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primetime

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primetime last won the day on July 24 2014

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  1. 4 separate storms on the Euro for Oregon with the last being late next week
  2. Worst kind of road setup IMO is where temperatures have been above freezing, then they fall into the mid 20's or lower...snow falls at a good clip and partially melts on the roads, then over a short period of time, freezes hard....no one can drive on snow that has partially melted and refrozen into a hard, icy crust.
  3. Euro Ensemble 5 day avg for days 10-15. For a 5 day average, this is a strong signal for the big Bering Sea ridge http://i64.tinypic.com/2mg5nx2.gif
  4. Check that Phil. The years on the analog maps are for the end of winter (Jan-Feb), not Dec....so, their years look to be mostly cool ENSO.
  5. Phil - why would this be considered +Solar since we are in a weak solar cycle and descending from the max? Solar flux is more inline with what is considered neutral in strength, but maybe you are looking at many other parameters?
  6. Excellent post newbigmack. You do a good job of presenting your thoughts in a well thought out and organized manner. Keep up the good work. It's a shame that posts like this garner less attention than the run of the mill post on the 300 hour GFS. The questions I would have are.....was there something during the fall that would have given us a clue that the walker cell behavior was going to be more nina-like for Dec? And do we expect it to remain nina-like through the winter?
  7. Phil - do you have any new thoughts (big picture) as we go into the heart of winter?
  8. No problem. I'd personally like to see it dump east of the Rockies given my location, but the Euro Ensemble is wanting to focus the cold moreso in the western and central states. GFS Ensemble has it farther east...but hard to go against the Euro Ens in a model war.
  9. 12z Euro Ensemble looks cold for you all in the 10-15 day range. Big ridge running up through Alaska with cold dumping into the western and central U.S.
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