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Prairiedog

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Everything posted by Prairiedog

  1. Pretty certain he's never said, "virtually impossible". He knows the stats for our area and has lived here long enough to know how our climate works and how it's changed some. I've lived here all my life and have seen a number of snow events the last 73 years of my life living below 500', albeit those event's are pretty short and sloppy most of the time. He has said many times that it's "increasingly difficult" (which is true) but it does snow obviously after the 15th. He knows that. That's different than virtually impossible or physically impossible. And yes, sun angles suck after mid Feb.
  2. Dec 6 '13 my coldest temp I can remember where I'm at. 8f. Two mornings of 8. Coldest day was 18f. Creek froze over. That was impressive.
  3. What do you think about Silverton vs ice? Will they be scoured out before the precip hits? They weren't included in the warning zones. Oversight or they're not going to be cold enough for a warning. Looks to me like they're on the bubble for ZR.
  4. I'm maybe 15 miles from you, near McIver Park down on Clear Creek. We're protected some from the strongest winds but still breezy. 19f with some sleet. .
  5. I'm 15 miles south of Troutdale and in a completely different world climate-wise during these events. Been at 37f all morning. Dropped 3 degrees about 5am but it's been constant since. I'm more protected from the east winds too so I'll be the last to see things change in this part of the valley. I'm 10 miles SE from 205/Division St and also in a drastically different world from there. Incredible how a few miles changes things. Mostly it's topography.
  6. They feed about every 15 min. This time of year in these conditions, without food, there will be a higher mortality rate. It will be a rough go for them.
  7. I finally broke down and got a heater. When the east winds are howling, the feeder freezes in a couple hrs. If I have to be gone, it's a problem. Now I don't have to worry. Usually I rotate 2-3 feeders. Always have one thawed one out.
  8. So we have the ICON, GEM, and GFS having the Metro in the prrecip shield. EURO a bit south? RGEM not our friend. NAM not reliable. Will the 850's support snow most of the time? Still some questions yet. What have I missed? I just don't want any ice. Still licking my wounds from '21. At least for now, I don't have a warm nose coming over me. That will probably happen at some point but the moisture might be done.
  9. Yes indeed! He loved those spots when cold air was marching south.. Grease pen in hand he was a master with isobars. He loved those places this time of year.
  10. How are the 850's looking Fri night through Saturday? Will it support all snow at least to Salem or no? Might be borderline with some slightly milder air sandwiching in midlevels.
  11. I have some friends down the hill from you in Silverton. What's your thoughts for them? More ice than snow? Or, will they stay cold enough for snow this weekend. They will get warm nosed as will I but that looks to come later for once.
  12. Dec. 8, 1972 Salem hit -12f if I'm not mistaken. El Nino year I bellieve. I lived in La Grande that year coaching the JV college team and getting my teaching degree, post grad. It was a cold winter there. Student taught in Elgin. Coldest temp I've been in, -18f
  13. Here's Rod's latest. Weather models finally beginning to agree. Look for early Friday rain, changing to snow in Portland before the noon hour as east winds start to blow. Daytime temps will fall with sticking snow quickly becoming possible. Friday afternoon temps could drop to 30 degrees with at least several inches on the ground in the city center before sunset. Friday overnight snowfall could reach 6" ( I am really guessing here, but attempting to paint a picture). Possible freezing rain or sleet areas develop going into Saturday morning. Dry weather returns by Sunday morning. Cold east winds and bitter cold nights through the day Tuesday.
  14. Usually around the first week of Feb/last few days of Jan give or take, they start. It''s pretty cool listening to them. Always a herald of spring although a bit of a distant one. Month after that, the Turkey Vultures show early March and then it's an avalanche of birds coming back. We have some winter to get through first but will be interesting to see if we go back to a "typical" Nino and how that might affect our migratory friends. Usually doesn't matter much. Biorhythms. Pretty rock solid.
  15. Couple more weeks and the frogs will be chorusing. Just sayin. Last year there was no standing water in some of the runoff ditches, small ponds and other places the frogs would gather to mate. We might actually have some water this time around. We'll see.
  16. His name is mentioned quite a few more times than the GFS or EURO is mentioned in the Bible. I Prefer not to see Jim H come here. Might as well bring in Urban Meyers out from "retirement". Jim would be better of the two, though. I'm a Mariner fan so I don't care as much. It is probably time for Pete to step down.
  17. It really depended on where you were at. We have over 20 micro climates in the Metro area. Trace at the valley floor in spots to several inches at 1K in the West Hills. Hit and miss. I'm 315ft near the Cascade foothills and never saw a flake and ended up at 37 for a low. Clark Co. did well. Some spots had a little snow south of the Metro but melted pretty fast. Don't know if there was any officially at the airport.
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