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tStacsh

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Everything posted by tStacsh

  1. My family went to the Whitecaps game last year on this date. We were not used to 80 degree weather yet. It was HOT in the sun.
  2. Finally signs of real spring coming next week. Hopefully we are done with the 30's. 60's next week, then let's see if we can keep it around normal until the inevitable shift to INSTANT summer as usual.
  3. Sad thing is, I don't think we are done with snowflakes yet this Spring.
  4. No thread for the lead wave, but this could be quite the sneaky little juiced up storm, These type seem to thump and over perform and the local office is taking notes. That said, I wish it was spring weather, but oh well. FROM GRR AFD - HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MODELS ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF A SFC WAVE ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE/ARCTIC DRAPE ACROSS THE PLAINS/MIDWEST ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, LEADING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE SNOW ACROSS JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA. ONE IMPORTANT DIFFERENCE IS THE OPERATIONAL GFS AXIS OF HEAVIES QPF BEING ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. CURRENT WPC QPF FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN, WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS FROM MKG TO MOP, BUT WE WILL HAVE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY THAT THIS TRENDS SOUTH TOWARDS THE ECMWF AND GEM WITH TIME. MID-LEVEL F-GEN SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO RESULT IN MESOSCALE BANDING WITH HIGHER SNOW RATES POTENTIALLY PERSISTING AS THE BANDS PIVOT OVER THE FORECAST AREA FOR SEVERAL HOURS. CURRENT STORM TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN FORECAST AREA IS INDICATIVE OF THIS.
  5. Of course after such a warm winter and early March, winter will refuse to leave and it will probably be an awful spring. I hate it.
  6. Warm to cold to warm to cold. Hate this time of year. 69 degrees here today full sun. Feels much warmer than the 70 yesterday due to much less wind.
  7. High of 61 today, It's 66 currently. Once again temps far exceed forecast temps. With the colder air possible the latter half of the month, this isn't good. Another warm day tomorrow. Growth will kick into overdrive, that's not good.
  8. Crazy end to meteorological winter. If it weren't for 8 days in January and 1 day in February, this would be the most non winter ever. Certainly looks to end up as the one of if not the warmest winter on record here in SMI. Looks like more record highs coming on Monday. And looks to be slightly to mostly above normal as we head into the first 2 weeks of March. It's certainly going to suck when late March and April are terrible. But maybe we break that trend in this pattern this year and bring on spring for good. If this were 200 years ago, this winter would be talked about as one of those "years without a winter" At least that how it feels.
  9. Not sure the official high, but I got to 74. Possible severe weather tonight and a now Winter weather advisory has been issued lol. Flash freeze in the morning. up to an inch of snow with winds gusting to 30-40 mph tomorrow. 60's return this weekend. Now that's some crazy up and downs.
  10. I'm up to 72 at my house officially. My car got up to 75 briefly before holding steady at 74 on my ride to work after lunch. I turned my AC on because I still had my windbreaker on in my car and the window didn't help. Dewpoint at 56. Could be an icy spot or two in the morning with snow showers lol
  11. 2012 was crazy. Doubt we get a March like that again, but 60's this early and often will once again destroy the apple and cherry crop. 2012 saw 85 percent of apples and 90 percent of cherry crop destroyed in Michigan due to the warmth then April freeze.
  12. Looks like March is coming in like late April.
  13. Wouldn't be that far of a stretch. The sun is out and I have hit 60 degrees today. Forecast was 54. Temps always outperform models in the late winter/spring in this type of sw flow pattern.
  14. Winter is basically over. Next ten days is AN except for 1 or 2 days around normal. EURO has record high temps next week. GFS hasn't sniffed a longer term pattern all year. Always over does the cold that never happens. (well the one week in January, but that was easy) After that it's March, and while we could get snow/winter weather in March, it doesn't last long. The fork hath been stuck. The pattern just won't let any sustained cold enter the USA. Also, temps always exceed forecast when any sun comes out this time of year in Michigan, not sure why, but we are always warmer than models forecast. High of 40 today, I've got 44.
  15. Looks like we stayed mostly all snow. Most of the models producing R/S line near GRR were wrong. The colder solutions won. I believe the HRRR and the Canadian did the best.
  16. Miss these type of snows. Quick hitting heavy snow. Got about 3” so far. Heaviest seems over.
  17. We’ve had 1 week of winter. GRR has a tough forecast tbh. South nothing, in the middle (where I am) unsure. North of here should do very well. This winter will be remembered as the “2 week winter”. Well more like 12 days.
  18. GR always seems lower than everyone else. I've had a lot of sun and had 60 as well.
  19. I believe we have tied a record of 60 here in Grand Rapids.
  20. Yup, like Tom said above. The weather cycles. It's been mostly warm followed by one week of cold/winter. It's coming back for 1 week, and then it gets warm again. As long as these storms are hitting the 4 corners region, we will be "warm" in the midwest. And that looks to be the case in another 10 days or so. That takes us to March, I hate March more than February in terms of winter weather. March can either be Spring or Winter here. I prefer Spring in March. So I'm hopeful. I'll enjoy one last run in February of winter, but after that, let's go Spring.
  21. This stretch of warmer weather coming up has only happened 1 or 2 other times in 125 years for Grand Rapids. 10 days of of around 10 degrees + (or more) of AN highs.
  22. Now this is my kind of mid to late winter. It definitely can get cold and snowy in late February and early March, but by then it doesn't last long. I'm going to enjoy the sun this weekend. It's been almost 2 weeks.
  23. I've had 9 minutes of sunshine total in the last 10 days!. Lost most of my snow without it. The sun this weekend and dryness will completely end snowpack in the midwest. Piles should last quite a bit though.
  24. Going to be a fun week or two of winter we have left. Best hope is a strong storm or two later in the month. But this will be remembered as a 10 day winter. It was a great 10 days. Maybe it repeats? But the writing is on the wall obviously for any sustained winter like weather. The UP barely had one. Here is a sad example.
  25. Upper 30’s to low 40’s for the next ten days. And the sun may come out which would boost those temps as well after the loss of the snowpack. Sure doesn’t feel like the dead of winter. Extended thaw apparently. Feels like November
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