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Everything posted by Phil

  1. I’m actually surprised you haven’t surrounded your house with Palm Trees yet. Always figured it was inevitable.
  2. Really got under your skin didn’t I. Your climate will never be hot or tropical. Suck it up buttercup.
  3. The GFS warm surface temperature bias is acknowledged by NCEP. Not a debate.
  4. Another swampy day. Not hot, but oppressive. Had 80°F (and 80°F dewpoint) with fog midday, then a brief downpour in the late afternoon. A bit more comfortable outside now. All the windows in the house were fogged up today, and have been for the last several days, thanks to the high humidity. Nastiest time of year here..never fails.
  5. GFS warm surface temperature bias. Most of those 80s would be 70s in reality.
  6. Lol I’m under no illusions, winter is gonna suck here (again). One of these next few years should be a solid El Niño, though. Hopefully a super Niño.
  7. I think so, worst flooding was farther south in the state. These tropical airmasses are getting legitimately stupid though. Almost a foot of rain here this month. July average over the last decade is now 8”. A century ago July avg was barely 2”. Not the same climate.
  8. Happy for you guys, the West needs it more than anyone. But that pattern sucks. Sorry.
  9. That’s heaven bro. I’ve got 80/80 with midday fog again.
  10. This needs a “viewer discretion advised” warning label.
  11. There should be a trough in there somewhere. Hard to believe ridging could be that expansive across the country.
  12. Certainly true for Ashes and Chestnuts. Elms it more mixed and depends on the species. Slippery Elm is doing fine. We have 2 of them on our property and they’re very healthy. American Elm is more susceptible to Dutch Elm Disease, but it doesn’t seem to affect all trees equally. Hemlock also a mixed bag w/rt insect damage, though it’s not really a canopy tree around these parts anyway. Most of the declines are in areas with large stands of hemlock a bit farther north, where-as they’re more of an isolated understory tree here. One concerning development I’ve noticed in recent years is the rapid decline of Oaks, especially Red Oak. Mostly mature individuals. Starts with crown dieback then spreads through the tree. Not sure what’s causing it but it’s very widespread. Willow Oak and White Oak seem to be fine, but Northern/Southern Red Oak and Black Oak are struggling. Through all this, Tulip Poplar has clearly emerged as the dominant hardwood (and dominant tree overall) Pretty much the only species that has improved in numbers/health since the 1980s. Something like 50% of all mature trees around here are now Tulip Poplar, as they seem to weather both storms and disease better than other species.
  13. Unfortunately there’s basically nothing that can be done to stop Emerald Ash Borer. Unless you want to pay for expensive injections every year (if you have a particular ash tree you want to save). Otherwise it’s a done deal. Probably best to find the surviving/resistant ash trees and repopulate from their gene pool(s). Blue Ash is the most resistant but every species of Ash has a few isolated survivors that are resistant. Problem is the trees don’t seem to recognize they’re under attack. Where-as the Asian Ash trees have adapted to the beetles and have figured out how to quickly mount a counterattack. American Ash trees should be capable of doing the same, so there’s hope the surviving/resistant trees can repopulate.
  14. Probably helps that you’re not surrounded by water and are on the upslope side of the apps. I think we do better than you in May/June for the same reason, residual cooling effect of the water. But it starts to hurt us in July, and even more in Aug/Sep. Also the 11” of rain this month probably doesn’t help. Transpiration from biosphere is crazy rn, banks of fog have been forming in the tree canopy every evening this week.
  15. Makes a huge difference when there’s no relief at night and it’s right back into the low/mid 80s (or higher) after sunrise. I’d much prefer a dry 100°F with a low in the 50s/60s. Which apparently used to happen here a century ago, but no longer does.
  16. Emerald Ash Borer killed all of the ash trees here back in 2016. Literally all of them. Millions of snags dot the forests across the Mid-Atlantic. Haven’t seen anything like it since the American Chestnut Blight a century ago. Every now and then you’ll find an ash tree (usually blue ash) that’s strangely resistant to the beetles, but they’re rare.
  17. Sorry for OT rant but this is getting stupid. Skycover was 0-30% last night, no WAA, and we’re in a trough pattern. Don’t get why we can’t lose a single f**king degree between midnight and sunrise. Defies logic. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KDCA&hours=72
  18. But the EPS mean doesn’t delay, and I think that’s what matters. So close to finishing off this useless season. Barely dropped below 80°F again last night despite being under a trough. F**king stupid.
  19. Yet another night where we struggled to drop below 80°F. Diurnal cycle can be nonexistent at this time of year. Muggy/gross again this AM, 85/75 as of 10AM. Probably will get to around 90 before convection gets going.
  20. DC has still only dropped below 70°F twice since June 29th. Cool nighttime lows have been tough to come by in recent years, especially in summer. Muggy evening, low 80s currently with dews in the mid-70s.
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