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wxmet

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  1. Not a single flake here. Too much dry air. Looking onwards to the Friday system.
  2. Right. When looking at precipitation depiction radar imagery you should also check the surface observations. That being said, it looks like some of the higher elevation around 500' feet are seeing the transition under heavy rates.
  3. Maybe a window of opportunity during the late night hours when the models attempt to cool the boundary layer. The GFS is isothermal around freezing but I think this is part of it's cold bias. The ECMWF is very marginal with temps in the mid to upper 30s thus showing mixed precipitation unfolding. Rain/snow mix with the possibility of light accumulations but I don't anticipate anything significant. Will have to monitor the radar.
  4. Hard to track things in the West with so much unfolding in the East. But I'm glad to see reports of thundersnow on the Kitsap Peninsula where temperatures are in the low to mid 30s. Definitely too warm in the Seattle metro and rates probably won't be enough to overcome the warm air advection. Those above 500' in the metro may see a period of snow or rain/snow mix before changing over to rain.
  5. RGEM is not a questionable model. It's the high resolution version of the CMC. Here's an excerpt from weathermodels.com on the RGEM: How is the RGEM’s forecast data best used? The RGEM is a regional model, so its strength is depicting smaller scale features that the global models may miss. The model is especially good at figuring out the overall structure of storms, and often does pretty well with heavy snow bands. Of course, no model is perfect, but generally this one is pretty good.
  6. Love how the GFS finishes of things with a layer of ice in some areas. Gotta protect our snow cover
  7. 31 inches at my house. I'll need to get a shovel tomorrow and maybe even a generator
  8. Over 2 feet in both PDX and KSEA with the Kuchera. Let's lock this in.
  9. @iFred Someone is probably trying to crash the forum again. MySQL errors.
  10. Approaching 2 feet in PDX and 1 foot at KSEA by Saturday morning
  11. 00Z RGEM much more moisture further north than the GFS
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