Money
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Everything posted by Money
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3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
Money replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
Check out the difference in the East coast storm on the icon between 12 and 0z -
3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
Money replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
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6z GFS shifted a tad south and widened the band a bit with general 6-12 MKE AFD this morning: Confidence is high (70-90%) in widespread accumulating snowfall for southern Wisconsin late Thursday through at least Friday morning, as a shortwave moves through the region. The big question with this system is the track of the stronger frontogenetic forcing. Models still vary a bit with the placement of the strong frontogenesis, ranging from along/just north of the northern forecast area border to along the WI/IL state line. Locally higher amounts are expected with the stronger forcing, but it`s too early to pin down totals, especially where these higher amounts may wind up. Given that this system has slowed down a bit, confidence is increasing that accumulating snowfall will impact the Friday morning commute, especially where any banded snowfall sets up due to the stronger forcing.
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3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
Money replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
One of the things I have noticed with 12z runs is euro has some sort of tropical storm on the east coast which forces this storm more north? GFS/Euro/CMC at 168 -
Think winter is pretty much done for February
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We literally had like two snowstorms here and that was it. Kind of crazy no ice up at the lakes for sturgeon spearing this year
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This video is insane https://x.com/Tom_Wachs/status/1746022391224861067?s=20 sums up the storm here. Reports of 15” just southeast of here
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Storm definitely over performed here. Already many reports of 10-12+ with several more hours left
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Everything on track here reports of 8+ in southern wisconsin with many hours left of snow
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For his area it is
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Playing it safe is fine but using the hrrr 48 hours is stupid. HRRR should only be used within 10-15 hours or less
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I have a TV met calling for 3-5 lakeshore counties and using the hr 48 HRRR as his reasoning and he thinks model QPF is too high because “what’s different between this system and last system that just came through”
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Euro came in stronger and west than 18z
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Using HRRR or RAP 48 hours out isn’t very smart tbh they aren’t good long term models
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The storm is gonna disappear and hit no one
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Mets would much better forecast lighter than saying 10-14 and getting 5
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Euro is coming east
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