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Money

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Posts posted by Money

  1. 6z GFS shifted a tad south and widened the band a bit with general 6-12 

    MKE AFD this morning:

     

    Confidence is high (70-90%) in widespread accumulating snowfall
    for southern Wisconsin late Thursday through at least Friday
    morning, as a shortwave moves through the region. The big
    question with this system is the track of the stronger
    frontogenetic forcing. Models still vary a bit with the
    placement of the strong frontogenesis, ranging from along/just
    north of the northern forecast area border to along the WI/IL
    state line. Locally higher amounts are expected with the
    stronger forcing, but it`s too early to pin down totals,
    especially where these higher amounts may wind up. Given that
    this system has slowed down a bit, confidence is increasing that
    accumulating snowfall will impact the Friday morning commute,
    especially where any banded snowfall sets up due to the stronger
    forcing.
    

     

    9F53C373-8174-46F9-96CD-8143D93E1603.png

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  2. 4 minutes ago, MKEstorm said:

    Yeah, the mets are playing it safe with this storm, seeing what occurred near the lake yesterday. This system is much different though. It will be rapidly intensifying, whereas the storm yesterday not as much. There will be much stronger winds and also arctic air coming in behind it! Hopefully all of this can hold off any warm air off the lake. It will be interesting to see what happens.

    Playing it safe is fine but using the hrrr 48 hours is stupid. HRRR should only be used within 10-15 hours or less 

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