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Hawkeye

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Everything posted by Hawkeye

  1. The snow did not last long. Instead of expanding throughout the precip shield like models predicted, radar shows it shrinking as the temp gradually warms.
  2. We have finally switched to snow after getting a glaze of ice this morning. Models are not too bullish on accumulation... maybe an inch.
  3. The latest GFS and Euro both show a stretch of 50s, or even 60s, across the region in early February.
  4. Models have most or all of our snow melting by Groundhog Day.
  5. The Euro had been pretty weak, but it is trending toward a few inches of slop.
  6. I finished with 1.8", a bit disappointing. We were toward the north edge of the snow, where the flake quality was poor, so the ratio was only 11 to 1 despite the very cold atmosphere. The best snow definitely shifted south.
  7. It appears Des Moines got bulls-eyed yet again. There is a report of 4.5" near the city.
  8. Radar shows most of the snow sagging into southern Iowa. The latest HRRR/RAP have dropped Cedar Rapids down to only 1-2".
  9. For days, models showed all rain here. Recent runs have certainly trended colder and snowier.
  10. Several models have sagged south this morning... tracking the snow band through southeast Iowa.
  11. 00z Euro has juiced up a bit more through Iowa.
  12. Other spotter/Cocorahs reports from Cedar Rapids are in the 6-8" range, but I'm just going to record 5". My snow board only has 2.5" on it this morning, but the liquid is 0.43. Extrapolated to 5", that's 0.80" and a 6 to 1 ratio. This always happens when the snow is dry and the wind is strong. The dry snow should have a relatively high ratio, but it's ends up being 5 or 6 to 1 for me.
  13. More good snow is blowing up across the Quad Cities area. They may end up with 15+".
  14. Another three hours of snow produced only about 0.1" on my snow board, so my measurement is worthless. I'll probably just record 5" or whatever the local average is.
  15. Snow is vanishing from radar around Cedar Rapids, but somehow it's still going strong in the Des Moines area. Is it just me or does Des Moines hit the jackpot almost every storm?
  16. The HRRR has the snow lasting til 10pm, but it will gradually weaken. Current radar shows it's already weakening over Cedar Rapids and the heavier snow shifts east. Despite getting pretty good snow for the last two hours, there is only another 0.7" on my board. My total so far is a lousy 3.3". At this rate it will be difficult just to finish with 5". We got bulls-eyed by the early-week storm. Unfortunately, it goes the other way, too.
  17. 13" in Muscatine. Davenport should exclipse 12" shortly.
  18. The 500 mb energy that is producing this system is pretty messy. The models have struggled with the details. For the last few days it looked like southwest through all of northern Iowa would get hit hard. However, it is southern Iowa that got hit hard while northern Iowa appears to be busting badly.
  19. I am at about 2.6" now, a pretty underwhelming first half of the storm. My two small snow boards only have 1" on them, so the wind is clearly blowing the snow off the boards. My main board, with the backstop built up around the south side, has 2.6". The snow has been a bit light so far, but it's getting heavier.
  20. I have three snow boards out. Because snow tends to blow off my boards, I backstopped my main board by adding an incline around its south side, hoping that would help keep snow on the board a bit better. The other two boards are just sitting on a flat area. The main board has 1.7", the other boards have 1.0" and <0.5".
  21. Maybe 1.5" here. The model trend was correct, unfortunately. Southern Iowa got hit hard overnight, with 5-6" totals from Omaha to Des Moines to Ottumwa to the Quad Cities, but the snow really crapped out as it headed north toward highway 30. At this point I'm just hoping for 5" total.
  22. Sheesh... after greatly improving for the previous two runs, the Euro just totally pulled the rug out from under Cedar Rapids/Iowa City. It basically has the storm splitting around us now. The UK did the same thing tonight. Now the 06z NAMs have both cut us way down. The EPS mean also just cratered for Iowa. I'm suddenly very worried about this.
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