Geos

Still looking to go positive. AO looks to dip though. Need to keep the +NAO to avoid the worse cold scenario.

NAM's showing a miss here for the most part.

MKX lowered amounts. WGN is saying 2-4" still.

This chart for the NAO shows nothing like that^.

This pattern doesn't do anything for me. With the way it's looking the rest of the month, it reminds me of January of 2003 - cold with moisture starved systems. Need some Pacific moisture to liven things up! - Classic GFS, keeps on pushing events further into the future.

Last snowfall map MKX put out.

With the way the GFS is looking that Arctic plunge starts next Tuesday!

Didn't look at the numbers until later in the day. - Not going to happen south of I-80 without an expansion of snow cover.

Dominic beat me to it. If it's 3", that'll be alright too. 1-4" seems reasonable with this system.

Looks like the new data suggests a weaker system.

Managed 0.7" with this system.

SN currently here.

Somehow managed 0.5" today. More snow moving into the area.

Snow this afternoon is doing nothing but wetting the ground. Little snow stuck on the trees, but that's it.

Wave for Saturday, just moving onshore now. 18z runs should have the complete data for it.

There's going to be a pretty sharp cut off to the south and west. Going to come down to the wire with this one I think.

I like the snow, but no thanks to that map! Up to 31° currently. Snow cover's enemy... Next Monday showing 40s pushing back northward.

I think the -EPO could break down if the MJO gains enough amplitude. That's a pretty powerful influence in the Pacific once it gets out of the circle.

I'm wondering if the MJO will throw a wrench into the predicted pattern. It will fight it... I see the new teleconnections show a -PNA, +AO, and +NAO towards the 1st. Wondering if the Polar vortex will come down next week; earlier, then leave earlier.

Looks like the cold is out and in quicker this time around 126-180 hours. (Just over 2 days) Extended looks chilly, but nothing like last week.

Was in the upper teens today, but it didn't feel that bad outside compared to last week!

4km NAM through 60 hours.

Manitoba Mauler is the correct name I believe.

0z NAM