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Everything posted by Brian_in_Leavenworth
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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
https://www.americanbankmontana.com/bozeman-webcam -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
But the Euro has more ensemble members, I would think that the GFS wouldn't have any more influence than the others. Maybe I'm wrong. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Does the NBM use 10:1 ratios? -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Cliffs model ran yesterday showed about 9" for Leavenworth. Just measured. We had exactly 9". This model, at least the 1.33K resolution version, is spot on for here time after time. I have been really impressed with it, so much that I ignore all other forecasts. Of course it only goes out 72 hours, but any snow maps shouldn't go out any further anyway. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Which op run? -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Hope you get snow! -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
I lived in Bellingham for several decades. And we did often get skunked in that situation. But Bellingham at least had that magical White Christmas a couple of years ago. Wish I could have experienced that when I lived there. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Shows my location getting 15"+. In addition to the 10 inches or so today/tonight. And ridiculous amounts over the next 10 days. Probably won't be that much, but we will have the cold air and the shown pattern is perfect for heavy snow. Especially with high qpf ratios due to the really cold air. Maybe similar to the 30-40" we got in 24 hours almost exactly 2 years ago. Probably won't happen, actually that snow was very hard to deal with even for us, so I don't want that much. Hope you get a huge snowfall! -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
And then the general public will blame the National Weather Service for wrongly forecasting a blizzard for Seattle. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
For me it is BY FAR the most accurate model. Maybe it's because it's the mountains. Don't know about other locations. And maybe because precip type is not usually the question here as it is over on the west side. 2 years ago this week NWS forecasted 18 inches of snow, this model forecasted more than 36". We got more than 36". Every big storm we've had this year and almost all we had last year were accurately forecasted by this model. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Are you talking about the 1.33k resolution model? Nobody ever posts the one I use. The one people post is the one that goes out 240 hours. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
That map shows 8-10 inches of snow, though the warm up on Tuesday could lead to rain. Guessing even if it rains we will hold on to the snow. Hopefully more later next week, and certainly cold. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
For me in Leavenworth, I use the UW WRF 1.33km map. I have found so often it is extremely accurate at this time range. Nothing is 100%, but this is really good. https://a.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/load.cgi?images_d4/ww_snowacc.72.0000.gif -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Interesting tidbit from the Spokane NWS regarding blizzard warnings. " The last time a blizzard warning was issued in our forecast area was February 9th, 2019. Seattle has not issued a blizzard warning since 2012. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
That's a good question, and I hadn't really paid attention to that. And do you mean like the foundation vents? Probably would be good to not only for cold but to keep pests out. I'm not familiar with foundation vents. Just reading a bit now it seems like they are no longer recommended since they actually promote moisture buildup instead of prevent it, so probably best to leave them closed year round. Maybe newer houses don't have them anymore? I will check my house tomorrow, though I suspect my pest control company would have done that. Our humidity levels are low most of the year except during winter when you would want them closed anyway. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Make sure when you drip water that you use the sink furthest from the hot water tank. Actually good to drop from several sinks but a must to use the furthest one. And turn the faucet to cold, that's the water you want moving. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
It's our fault. Though with so many people across the country potentially affected by this, maybe it really is our fault. I was hoping Weatherbell had it -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Anyone see graohcast yet? On the ECMWF site it says not available. -
January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)
Brian_in_Leavenworth replied to Meatyorologist's topic in West of the Rockies
Looks like they also added the Euro weeklies for paid subscribers