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gabel23

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Everything posted by gabel23

  1. Wow. Probably over done but man models just keep going up.
  2. Wow updated snowfall potential for my area! I posted the map yesterday and this was the high end 10% chance. Totals keep going up as we get closer to the event, can't recall having this happen in a while!
  3. I have seen this happen twice in my life where the high end 10% forecast actually verified. Tonights runs will be very interesting.
  4. Well I have seen my probabilities increase today. Went from expected 5" to 7". Nice yellow bullseye showing up in my county also!
  5. It has actually been more consistent than the gfs and cmc!
  6. Hastings says nah.. .WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Snow and blowing snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 to 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east central, and south central Nebraska.
  7. I will certainly take the nam but will cry for you guys in kc if models trend towards nam. Let’s see what the gfs has to say. Thing seems to be slowing down it seems?
  8. This is a crush job for Nebraska, this run is very similar to its run from when nam got into range. Nam doing nam things again, probably throw that run out.
  9. The euro has highs in the mid 10’s below zero towards the end of the run. That would be record breaking for me if that happens.
  10. I think we gonna be busy again! Insane pattern that we are in. The Gem has it coming out in pieces so lots to iron out. Has potential for sure though!
  11. We have a separate thread for that, look at the main page. Crazy we are chasing two storms at once but try to post on that thread!
  12. Monster, granted it’s the icon. Can’t wait to see what the other models show! This is insane….. can’t remember watching multiple storms at once!
  13. My gosh the icon would bury a lot of us. Things are gonna be fun following this guy!
  14. Here comes the watches! WHAT...Blizzard possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 or more inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 to 60 mph creating whiteout or near whiteout conditions. * WHERE...Portions of central, southwest and west central Kansas. * WHEN...From Monday morning through early Tuesday Morning. ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations up to 6 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Republic, Washington and Cloud Counties.
  15. LMAO NAM doing NAM things on the 18Z run!
  16. It was crazy Tom, I remember it really well! Even Hastings NWS mentioned how bad the models were up until the day of the storm. Here is their write up and what they said: Forecast-wise, this storm provided quite a challenge, as some areas ended up receiving at least 2-3 times as much snow as originally forecasted 1-3 days before the event. Part of this had to do with the storm track shifting a bit farther north, but also, computer forecast models were unusually inconsistent until the "last minute", when it finally became apparent that it was going to be a fairly major storm especially for the eastern half of the local area. In other news, this month looks like the best opportunity for a lot of us on the forum to see a winter for the ages! I'm pumped with what Jan. will bring for all of us!
  17. That storm surprised a lot of us in Nebraska. We ended up receiving twice as much as what was being predicted!
  18. I’m rooting for you! More snow north should bode well for us south. Just build a glacier.
  19. The gfs is my heart attack and celebration every 6 hours my gosh. Back giving me snow.
  20. That’s a long ways out there! Insane to think about really. Just watch when we get inside 84 hours how much models change then too!
  21. Ugly dry air really getting into my area these past couple runs. Don’t like that.
  22. Ok just want to get everything straight with today's runs. 12z GFS goes south and crushes Kansas. The GEFS mean is wider and a more north. CMC goes south much like the 12z GFS and the EURO stays pretty much where it was last night. Ok then I think we got this handled! LOL. One thing that was mentioned earlier; if the LRC is 45 days this would fall right in line with the storm back on Nov. 25th that crushed Central Kansas.
  23. Euro is going nuts for the central plains wow.
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