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gabel23

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Everything posted by gabel23

  1. Been in the bullseye from the GEFS for the past two days; It has for sure increased. What could go wrong......
  2. Both AO and NAO should help the cause! Bring on a monster; I just hate to see that snow hole showing up on both models tonight. Let's see what the EURO has to say.
  3. Man that would do wonders for a lot of us on here!! Come on!
  4. I would take that and run. Too bad we are a long ways out! I’m thinking a big storm is a good bet though.
  5. It would be great if we can get a straight west to east track, spread the wealth to everyone. I’m tired of riding the line with cutters! Good to see all major models picking up on a biggy!
  6. That 1983 winter was a beast I think for most of the lower 48. My area was below zero for a week straight. I was born on the 21st and my parents had to drive 20 miles in a blizzard with temps well below zero to get to the hospital. I swear to this day is the reason I love the snow and cold so much!
  7. That’s insane. Things never bode well for all of us if you don’t have at least a little snow on the ground. Is this comparable to 2016 El Niño? How did you do then? We had one major blizzard at the end of January that year.
  8. Just got home and measured 4.5" of snow. Not as much as I thought we would have but I'll take it. I'm just hoping we can keep it around for a while.
  9. You guys are racking it up again congrats! I seen an amount of 11” around the Kearney area! You guys might make a run at a foot! I’m rooting for you guys hope you score a special Christmas present!!
  10. Few picks from David city, snuck out before supper and snapped some pics out in the country. I’m interested in seeing how much we got back in Shelby, 20 miles west of here. We got about 5” here but the way it sounds we got more back home! Overall I’ll take what we got!
  11. It was an interesting ride to my in laws this morning! Snow coming down hard and got quite a bit of drifting. If I had to guess I’m sitting between 1-2” of snow. Will see how today goes, looks like banding is setting up north and south of me.
  12. I'm surprised I''ve been upgraded to a blizzard warning. The Low looks to go right over me darn near. Typically winds and precip aren't as much. I'm gonna be riding a fine line. I feel bad for those of you to the east; just missing out is horrible. I did pick up .50" of rain; this month will end up well above normal so that's huge! I'm trying to figure out what's best for my family. We have christmas in David City tomorrow and we are trying to figure out whether to leave after mass tonight or risk driving through it tomorrow morning.
  13. Here’s what I take away from that disco and all I have to say is wow!! 15-20 hours of snow?!? Bottom line is a moisture laden, large upper low will be energized by some backside cold air (baroclinicity) late Sunday night and Monday night. All the moisture will set up a trowel- like structure and ride around the top of the low and down the backside, potentially setting most of south central Nebraska up for an 15-20 hour period of deformation axis snowfall, with rates at times 1" per or more. The heaviest snow would fall from midday Monday until early Tuesday. Add into the forecast, the deepening nature of the low scaling up backside north winds. We are forecasting wind gusts of 25-45 mph with some gusts to 50 mph possible both Monday and Tuesday. Needless to say, the combo of wind and snow has major winter storm potential, over a major holiday, and could induce blizzard-like conditions at times.
  14. Pulling for you guys! Typically when Omaha does well so does my area!! I’m holding off the cheering until we actually see something flying too!
  15. I’m not freaking out. I’m not freaking out….. on another note, it just has the feel something major is about to happen. We have had the dense fog the past couple days and now fog rolling back in. I’m hoping for a Christmas miracle!
  16. D**n dry air that we are always battling showing its ugly face over you guys out east. Might actually be the wrench in everyone's side I hate to say it....could see the models not picking up on that thus why it's showing the high snowfall forecast over us. Could see QPF fall as we get closer for everyone; otherwise the NWS offices will have to start throwing out watches tomorrow evening.
  17. It’s pretty crazy what the gfs is showing tonight….almost identical to that barrel low that came thru in 2009. Jim flowers mentioned it back a couple weeks ago when models were picking up on this storm; it’s called the Fujiwara effect. Retrograde that low inside the main area of low pressure….if far enough west of that low and it could dump some snow. Lots of runs to go but would love to lock this one in.
  18. I’ll tell you one thing… Moisture should not be a problem. Been a while since I have seen fog hang around our area for such a long period of time. I was in a dense fog advisory for 24 hours and far eastern Nebraska is in it again tonight. Top off that the sun was out and it got up to 55 degrees today…..hoping for a Christmas surprise!
  19. Hoping models just had a glitch today and shift back southeast about 50 miles. Always have to ride the line!
  20. Gfs and euro almost exact same spot. CMC on its own now…wouldn’t surprise me if this is what will happen. I’m cursed!
  21. No thank you on the 12z gfs. That retrograde west shuts off precip and snow. I continue to like the look of the early stages of the nam. Come on and hold serve euro.
  22. Looks like euro is holding true. I’m loving the trends tonight… The only problem is what happens to the area of low pressure? Looks like trends are slowing down and the euro has occlusion occurring over Iowa; that would bode well for heavy snow to the northwest. Gfs, cmc, and nam are also starting to show that as of tonight…
  23. Looks like the current gfs and today’s euro.
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