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Jesse

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Everything posted by Jesse

  1. Of course it’s a way different story west of the mountains.
  2. I can’t possibly enjoy the outdoors unless there is some sort of regional drought in progress.
  3. I wish there was a way to downvote this post 20 times.
  4. VUO and HIO were only about a degree above normal for April, FWIW. Both stations had average lows below 40.
  5. Worth mentioning April 1956 was about three degrees cooler on average than last month at PDX, as was 1949. Winter killing cold Octobers all of those years too ;(
  6. Cloudy with a low of 48 here this morning. Up to 52 currently. Picked up 0.07” yesterday, just under 1/2” for the April total. Looks like a lot of areas south of about Aurora did pretty well for rainfall last night. Might have saved some spots from recording the driest April on record.
  7. I feel that. This dry spring and the multiple model let downs advertising a wetter and active pattern has almost pushed me to the point of turning my back on tracking things period. At least until we turn a corner (if we do this year).
  8. Looks like a mild day at OLM out there.
  9. Looks like a more favorable pattern for some precip for you guys coming up. Too soon to call it a March miracle but we’ll see.
  10. We miss you Tiger 🐯 :(

    1. TigerWoodsLibido

      TigerWoodsLibido

      I'm still here watching and enjoying this like a coach from the sidelines. Sometimes when there's no pressure or borderline scenario then things are easier to come to acceptance with. This didn't really ever feel like an event that was going to be impactful this far south. My Leon Lett GIF was meant to me an indicator of that. No narrative-peddling here, happy for y'all and I hope you get many feet. We got buried 2 years ago. If this were a 1996-2003-type stretch then it would be tougher to come to grips with.

      One thing I would love to see is further study on the types of events which bring snow down here to the southern areas because it feels like they are of a different nature than this and I really would love to understand the dynamics of them better. Since there aren't very many people down this way, then I get sad and feel forgotten, like we aren't important and aren't worth studying or focusing on since we are in a pretty dynamic location IMO, being so close to the triple point of the Willamette, Siuslaw, and Umpqua drainages, while EUG is a few miles NW of the city proper and feels more like it is a distinctly Willamette Valley feeling IMO.

      In any case, I'm truly happy that y'all broke a bunch of streaks with this and it would be awesome if y'all could root for us to break our sub-freezing high drought one day because it's getting pretty hilarious to this point. I mean, our coldest temp of this fall-winter is gonna be from Oct 26 hahahahaha. I checked ACIS twice to make sure and this is the only fall-winter combo on record that would feature that for EUG lol.

      All the best to you man.

  11. Really wasn't expecting a GFS run like that so close to the event. Something tells me the Euro will sober things up quick around here. Sounds like the GEM was a good primer for that.
  12. Oh so now you like lows coming in to the south.
  13. Plz go north so people in Snohomish county don't have to wait an extra 24 hours for snow!!1!!
  14. Even the early March 2019 period put up some insane numbers, especially east of the Cascades in the basin. Really showed me how overstated the sun angle schtick can be when we are dealing with actual cold airmasses.
  15. Yeah, that's why I can't understand people getting so hung up on the initial system going as far north as possible and essentially shunting arctic air out of most of the region before the next one can even arrive. Seems like it would be a case of winning the battle but losing the war.
  16. 00Z keeps everything nice and suppressed with the first system. Everyone will probably benefit from that later on in the weekend.
  17. You can feel free to check out the Zaffino, Salesky, Shelby or Hill models. You will quickly find they are basically all just different versions of the NAM though.
  18. The two redheaded stepchild models trended in southerners favor tonight. It's a start!
  19. these events are always suxh great geography lessons aren't they andrew
  20. Isn't it usually used for precip? My guess is it just drifts toward climo for temperature output the farther out you get in the long range. Which for this particular model appears to be the 44-46 hour range.
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