Jesse

At least it’s cloudy out this morning. Might be the last clouds we see for at least a few weeks, unless you count smoke. Low of 59.

Basically take whatever worst case nightmare scenario there is for our ecosystem and the most crooked, one sided departure from anything resembling climo that you can imagine and you have a great weather prediction tool lately.

00z EPS took a pretty decisive step toward keeping the trough well offshore following the heatwave (which means the heatwave wouldn’t really end) And so it begins.

August sh*tbox!

Looks like our crew will be going out around August 5. Not sure what fire yet, though.

I'm really hoping we can tap into some of that monsoonal goodness later in August. Don't even care if it gets hoomid.

I remember going to the Hillsboro air show during a 100 degree day in late July 2015.

Won't last. 90s through Elvis Presley's death day.

Euro definitely trending hotter Thursday and Friday.

#12 for PDX. Just a few shy of the old 1981-2010 average and it’s not even August.

Didn’t realize vile had to include offshore flow. Be nice if it rained. Some earlier runs were toying with the idea of some monsoonal moisture getting entrained on the back end of the traditional heat wave. I liked those runs.

Some improvement out beyond hour 200 I guess. But the upcoming heat event starting late this week keeps getting stretched out. I’ll always take improvements in the mid range over the long range, because I am a weenie

Shaping up to be a pretty vile 12z Euro run.

I've come to the conclusion that engaging Flatiron is almost as pointless as engaging Tim.

Yeah, the heat hasn’t really gone anywhere and has been incredibly consistent throughout the west this month, following the hellwave in late June. We’ve just lucked out in that the ridge axis has been to our east much of the time. The fact that many places on the west side are still seeing one of their warmest Julys on record despite having onshore flow much of the month sort of says it all.

Hit our first 90 of the month yesterday at 90 degrees even. Today should be close again. Then should pick up at least another 3-4 later this week into the weekend. Absolutely cannot wait for this summer to end, or really any summer these days. Will probably be waiting for awhile, though.

The progression in the mid to long range on the 00Z GFS is nice. Too bad it has about as much a chance of verifying as Acer hardware figuring out the most efficient way to downvote en masse.

Took me maybe two minutes. #skills

Decent day on the upward swing toward yet another heat event. 84/54

Heads up guys, expect some whining from Winter (wiener?) dog soon

Well if you only care about the small part of the region surrounding your house, don’t chime in on a debate regarding regional anomalies with incorrect statements like you did earlier. Sorry that it’s warmer everywhere else this year and wherever you live is largely unrepresentative of the region.

Yeah, no. It’s far from a stretch to say this summer is on track end up close to as hot as or even hotter than 2015 for many parts of the region, fog belt locations within five miles of Puget sound notwithstanding.

The crazy thing is how insanely hot this month has already been in the western US, especially east of the Cascades and south of the Willamette Valley. The last week looks to really push things over the edge.

It was clear it would get hot again at some point this summer. Our four weeks of onshore flow with temps just 2-4 degrees above average was pretty pleasant. I guess the most one can hope for is it is a relatively short lived event with some sort of pattern change on the far side. Although we all know the odds are low of either being the case.