Jesse

80/50 day. Pretty nice, but too bad it’s only going up from here.

8 hours ago, Phil said:

Man, that would be an amazing severe pattern imby, as long as we don’t end up under the ridge.

Though with E-Hem/Indian Ocean MJO/CCKWs next month, that fat, ugly 4-corners/plains ridge is only going to get fatter and uglier. I fear a top-5 hot August is in store for the lower-48. And September is looking progressively worse of late, as well. Even squinting, I don’t see any real hope on the horizon.  

Ice age never?

13 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said:

Even cooler this morning.  Yes that's a 38 reading in Yacolt...

Down to 51 here. Looks like PDX is holding steady at 57 which is their low end month to date.

Stay tuned for Flatiron’s next argument: if we completely ignore the last week of the month July 2021 was nowhere near as hot as our hottest July on record.

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Funny how you can predict how every other GFS run will end up without even looking at it.  

Our frigid, merely 2-3F above average July could be in jeopardy. 

Really beautiful day here. 74/51 spread with partly to mostly cloudy skies.

Enjoying it considering we are likely barreling toward another major heatwave to close out July due to the simple fact that the west Pacific exists and someone might have sneezed there at some point in the last 18 months.

8 hours ago, Phil said:

West-Pacific is active right now. Similar to the early/middle part of June…and we know what happened afterwards.

Will this event produced a similar long wave response over the NPAC next month? Or will seasonality save the day?

I wish I could downvote this six thousand times.

20 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Got down to 65F. Now 69F and beautiful.

Just 12 degrees warmer than the official station down there.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KEUG&num=26&raw=0&banner=off

Mostly cloudy with a low of 59 here. No drizzle yet.

87/57 day here, still no 90s this month.

Nice marine push in progress this evening. Breezy NW winds and down to 72.

26 minutes ago, Phil said:

Second half of August looks pretty nasty in the West. But the first half will probably have the blowtorch east of the Rockies.

The entire summer so far has been pretty nasty in the west (aside from the deep SW which has enjoyed a more active monsoon season). So I guess nothing will change in late August.

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’ll go with mid-August for the next heatwave.

To kick off our late August/September furnace right?

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It has. Not nearly as impressive as 2018, 2015, etc for the western PNW lowlands, though. 

Kinda interesting, looking like it could be one of the smallest differences in average temperature between June and July in quite awhile (for many places). At this point, would have to go back to the 1980s to find something comparable.

Obviously a record warm June with an average temp close to that of an average July won't have a lot of trouble doing that. 

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

SLE up to 82, running +3 on yesterday. Good shot they sneak in another 90. 

Tiger Woods may hit triple digits.

Nice looking 12z Euro run. Overall trends seem to be keeping the 4CH displaced slightly eastward. Models have had a recent tendency to try to show it moving back our way and then will correct in the mid range. Great pattern for keeping the heat and smoke at bay, although not great for meaningful precip chances. Mean trough is too far north and west of us.

As stable as it’s been, we will probably see the pattern flip to something different at some point in early August, IMO. And I think we will see another heat event or two before we see any rain, unfortunately.

Sunny and up to 75 here after a low of 57. Looking forward to a more extensive marine layer tomorrow.

79/58 today after a 76/55 yesterday.

Quite nice. Although some rain would be nicer.

Looks like today stayed below 80 at PDX.

#iceagenow

52 minutes ago, CloudBFIWx said:

Tomorrow will be last 9:00pm sunset until June 2022!

We already had ours a few days ago. Down to 8:55pm today!

00z EPS looks like it wants to retrograde the trough offshore around day 8-10, allowing the 4CH to build a little closer to us again.

Mostly cloudy with a low of 56 this morning. Would be nice to squeeze some drizzle out of this pattern.

78/55 here. Marine layer was pretty weak today and it warmed quickly when it burned off early afternoon. PDX invariably hit 80.

Hoping we can score one coolish day tomorrow before things start warming up again.

Cloudy and 55 this morning. Low clouds started to filter in around 11pm last night so a pretty thick marine layer. Hopefully we will manage to score our first below average days in about a month today and tomorrow.

Those near to moderately above average temps on the models the next 7-10 days are pretty dreamy.

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

+2 on VUO today. Seems like a frequent occurrence lately.

Just touched 80 here. Clouds held on until noon or so. Hoping for a more expansive/stubborn marine layer tomorrow.

The price we pay so some can enjoy summer boating perfection