Clinton

Remember as cold as it will be this could overachieve.

I like the way this model is trending

6z GFS for the next 7 days.

6z GFS through Sunday morning

Wow the 0z Euro is non stop snow over the next 7-8 days. The storm showing up next Monday could go bigly!

Not sure if it will make it up to ya but I don't think we have seen the final solution.

0z GFS Mean

0z GFS 10:1

0z GFS is stronger but still weak and fast. Maybe a trend in the right direction.

For KC none of them have been worth a D**n this year.

Well in tonights episode of As The Models Turn the ICON has came all the way back with a major storm.

18z Euro weak and stretched out.

18z ICON back with the storm but it is in southern Missouri and NW Ark.

I agree ratios will be much higher, I just don't have Kuchera available for The Euro Control.

Euro Control more juiced than op.

12z Euro at 10:1 for weekend storm

12z GFS ensembles still look ok.

6z Euro Control continues to trend well. More coverage this run. I only have 10:1 available with this map.

I can get behind this! First time this year KC has had a storm and Artic air at the same time.

18z Euro control coming back with snow on Sunday.

KC climate summary for January. The climate for January 2021 in Kansas City can be categorized as wet and warm. The average temperature of 34.1 degrees was 5.3 degrees above normal and the 22nd warmest on the 133-year record. We had over twice the normal precipitation at 2.47" which was 1.40" abv normal and the 18th wettest on record. Snow was 5.1" which was 0.5" above normal and the 54th snowiest on record. Perhaps the most interesting stat for Jan 2021 in KC is the coldest temperature we had for the month was only 18 degrees. This is the 4th warmest cold temperature for any January on the 133-year record. Only 2 nights for the month had below normal lows...1/3 when we hit 19...and 1/28 when we hit 18. The other 29 days of the month had lows that were above normal and 1 that was right at normal.

Glad you scored. Hope more is on the way.

Will be interesting to see how tonights 0z runs go. The ICON has a biggy on Sunday.

KC office take on storm next weekend. Model discrepancies in the extended lead to a low confidence forecast at this time. Models in fairly good agreement that a fast moving shortwave trough moving through the northern and central Plains into the Upper Midwest forcing a cold front through the area. Moisture with this system will be meager however, forcing will be strong enough to produce light rain. High Thursday will be in the 40s. Beyond Thursday, model solutions diverge drastically. The GFS depict deep, broad upper level troughing across much of the central CONUS and is very cold with only a passing shot of snow on Saturday. Conversely, the EC and Canadian models depict more zonal flow on Friday behind Thursday`s system. However, it develops a trough digging through the east Rockies on Friday and developing a 700mb low over the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles by Saturday morning. this low then ejects out across southern Kansas into during the day Saturday and then along the I-44 corridor Saturday night. This would be a favorable track for heavy snow across the forecast area. Consequently, this system will need to be monitored closely as we move into the work week.

And that is a real concern, esp with the forecasted dip in the AO to -4.