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jaster220

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Everything posted by jaster220

  1. 3-Season room looking a lot more wintry OMG Yby was indeed in/near ground zero - congrats! Some yuuuge totals around there: Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 954 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0951 AM Snow 3 W Grattan 43.09N 85.43W 01/14/2024 M15.0 inch Kent MI Public Since evening of Saturday 13th.
  2. #frozennation! Pretty sure I wasn't expecting Detroit to be colder than up north today, but I will be there this afternoon to get the real-feel surprise.
  3. Looks like we received another 1-2" of LES over night. CAM's looked "iffy" as to whether or not a decent streamer would swing through, but I'll take the score. Due to a trough trailing the path of the big SLP, there is a unique phenomenon where the two primary LES belts in The Mitt are working with different wind directions. It will sometimes happen as a CF is swinging through from the NW, but this has just been a stationary feature.
  4. To give perspective, on the heals of the PV Bliz of 1/5 -6 2014 I had -16/-41 WC at 7 pm in far SMI. We're not IA or NE where that kind of cold wave is pretty common. Sheltered by the big lakes as we are. At the time, I was just trying to get my driveway cleared of 18" that fell. Now, after all these mild winters it is obvious how crazy 13-14 was for my region.
  5. Those spots with 25+ have to be a bit surprised. The huge GFS runs burying MO ended up in IA
  6. You guys in SEMI got lucky to see a sig event considering the SLP went well NW of that area and the air mass before was not at all cold like the Jan '99 bliz. You benefitted from aggressive lift and dynamics. That was fairly common occurrence back in the 70s and 80s but not so much any more. If we had today's winds while that +SN was hitting last night, this would've been the memorable bliz advertised for sure.
  7. And I had it wrong. The red is normally 18-24", so even more exaggerated, lol.
  8. Guess it was lake front Peeps calling this a total fail. Those are respectable numbers and seem in line with the WWA headlines.
  9. I like this fake-out map from GRR. LOL, the person took the standardized NWS color scheme and pasted on it some lower range totals for each color. The red that is usually 18-24" is 10-12+ on their improvised scale. Makes the storm look better than it otherwise would. Have to wonder if they did this to save face after the lackluster performance.
  10. Sweet! was just going to say that their snowfall maps have the highest totals south of GR, not yby. But things may have changed for the better. Good luck, not that you need it. SHSN has reached here after quite a lull in flakes flying. Constant drone of the plow guy doing a 2nd round of clean-up here at the Plex.
  11. With the Low not getting so deep it also takes away a bit of the favorable backside moisture unfortunately. Already just 18F here
  12. Yep. Dbl-barrelled Low "fooled" the pro's. Been a long time since I've seen one, and iirc they can happen with an EC Low and an OHV Low which put SEMI in the same favorable position that SEIA and SWI enjoyed with this storm. For up here, at least it was still a decent storm, just not the "once in 30 yrs historic event" touted by APX. Seems like it is always something working against the Big Dog outcome for SMI. Having said all that, back-to-back 8-10" storms in a "strong Nino" is impressive in it's own way. Difficult to eye-ball depth from a 2nd story window and drifting off the lake ice due to the strong N winds again adding to the mix but my guestimate of a 9-10" total here seems about right. You can clearly see there was a swath of 8-15" right along the glacial ridge that runs SW to NE right through this region. Neighbors unburying their Mercedes. Why they don't garage it is beyond me.
  13. Thanks amigo. The Tuesday storm was just starting when I left for work so it was ok via good tires, lol. Wed morning was about 3" deep and speed got me up. I'd say the limit for my car is likely in the 4-5" range. It has been snowy and wintry since we got here at NYE. I really like my commutes with like 3 other cars on the x-way. Dicey driving tho for sure.
  14. 3k NAM with some wicked looking LES streamers over The Mitt as "part 2" of this large storm reaches it's peak overnight tomorrow.
  15. GR certainly in on this one. Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 756 PM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0745 PM Snow 3 ENE Kentwood 42.89N 85.54W 01/12/2024 M6.0 inch Kent MI Official NWS Obs 6 hour accumulation. 0.6 inches in the last hour. Depth of snow on ground 9 inches.
  16. APX confirms we are getting the "East Coast treatment" Primary Forecast Concerns: Snow/wind and related impacts. Isentropically driven light snow is currently spreading across parts of northern Michigan this afternoon. Increasingly strong warm advection and frontogenetic forcing late this afternoon/evening are expected to aid in bringing a robust swath of snow into southeastern portions of the forecast area by early-mid evening. Very high snowfall rates (likely convectively aided with potential embedded thunder), especially east of Interstate 75, are expected within this heavy snow with HREF means of 2.5-3"/hr as that band of snow works northward through the evening. Localized 4"/hr snowfall rates not out of the question.
  17. Very glad to see you guys in SEMI getting in on the action - finally. Left work at 5:40 and it was just getting started with under an inch. This was a much drier snow with tiny flakes than on Tuesday. Drove south and it just got heavier and heavier. Was scraping bottom of my car on the exit ramp. Public roads freshly plowed in town here, but I live on a short private street and it was not touched, not even someone else's vehicle tracks. Snow was too deep to go up the slight incline of my driveway so I was stuck sideways in our street. Good thing I picked up that $12 shovel the other day. It worked perfectly to dig my way into the garage, lol. Not sure what time it started down here, but if at 5 pm then we've gotten pounded with 7-8" in the last 4 hours. I'm officially snowed-in until the snow removal contractor can get around to plowing our street. We are down at lake level and there is quite a hill to get up and out. Already told my director not to expect me in the morning.
  18. 1999 Bliz had to be close, no?? Ready 2 b buried up here!!
  19. 2016 missed ORD southeast iirc. Nailed yby tho, right? Not sure what to think on this one. Not sold on the winds until like last night, most of the snow has already fallen. We'll see tho. Super busy with new work and not the best time for me to be able to follow. Keep falling way behind on these threads. With a very solid 10" already OTG, anything more with winds would be pretty amazing. Good luck down there!
  20. And here I was worried the Wisco crew were stealing my snowstorm. Looks like all the offices jumped on those NAM runs that had everything running NW, only to have the NAM sheepishly follow the globals last-minute.
  21. Almost scored top honors for GRR's region. Not sure where exactly that measurement comes from here in Harrison, but just eye-balling plow banks along the x-way looks more like 12" from here and the next 8 miles north. So, once again the globals beat the NAM's silly scenario(s) and the last-minute bump on the Euro and GFS was a legit trend. Super pleased with everything except my NWS office's headline and statement that "nobody in their CWA was expected to reach the 7" in 24 hrs Warning threshold". Well, we had at least 10" in that time. Yes, I'd rather have the bigger snows ofc, but "come on man" they are the paid experts and miss the mark regularly regarding synoptic systems.
  22. Can confirm after driving about 80 miles this evening. Fairly disappointing for most of Michigan, but still a respectable first storm of any season. Looks like at least 8" has fallen here, but due to compaction it is sitting more like a solid 6 or 7" storm. Very much the flavor of a November storm for NMI. @East Dubzz's photo of the trees plastered pretty much how it looks here as well.
  23. GRR's map has my place under 8-12", but a WWA ofc. Just another day of life in an obscure corner of their CWA. Feels just like old times
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