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jaster220

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Everything posted by jaster220

  1. With this map and that WPC d8-14 map showing another snow swath, it reminds me of Jan '79 that buried Chicago and other regions like NMI with several systems in a row.
  2. Two different departments of the same WPC agency no doubt, but this map sure doesn't add up to "HIGH WINDS" in places outlined on the hazards map including here. I don't see SMI being windier than NMI if the MSLP flashed by the EPS happens.
  3. Yep. Why I had to get out of there. And unlike Hotel California, I actually left. I think we've been sub-freezing up here for at least the past 3 days if not longer. Latest from the WPC hazards folks. A few winners and losers in the last 24 hrs
  4. No doubt. Normally (especially this season) I'd be stoked about that 998 SLP coming my way, lol
  5. TYPO?? lol Hafta say, that's a pretty nice cluster of 965-970 mb progs at this range.
  6. All indicators saying we have a sig if not better storm on our hands. I think the coming runs, especially when fully sampled will be about just what the ceiling looks like. Needless to say, a 955 mb SLP is bliz of '78 grade material (without a merge scenario no less).
  7. Note that it is now evening of the 4th, and the "HEAVY SNOW" swath starts on the 7th in CO - just 3 days till kick-off so we are not that far away. I really think this is getting dialed-in and major wobbles will be fewer and fewer. Today's WPC map has a good look imho. I stepped out to my car after work with WC's in the lower teens. It is cold enough in NMI to support bliz conditions and I do believe models like the EC are sniffing the colder air source and jacking up the response. At least up here it should be able to "take off" nicely.
  8. IDC, please share it for my "museum of weenie runs"
  9. No, but GHD-1 also qualifies, and was more recent by 9 yrs. I know it was 02 because that was my last year in S. Bend and we got grazed by only 2-4" while the jackzone strip was not too far NW of us. Had to be 02, since both 01and 00 were duds during late winter.
  10. Feb 2002? I know my fam in Rockford just north of GR had 18" from a synoptic storm.
  11. This afternoon's WPC "guestimate" map As @Tom would say "here blizzard-blizzard-blizzard"
  12. 1st day for my new commute started with ZR in the am, and SHSN this evening with some slightly dicey x-way conditions. Had to scrape my icy windshield too, so all-in-all a very wintry day. We are not in the genuine LES belt, yet occasional showers (not really seen on radar) have whitened the ground with a coating and W/C's are a blustery lower 20s. After endless spring it feels chilly. Streamers continue
  13. Exactly. So what about all those NOAA maps showing nothing but BN over our region for precipitation??
  14. Tbh, that's more in line with my personal expectations. I envision the SLP more or less on a line from "Little Egypt" to in the vicinity of DTW.
  15. Already here at the new address two days. I think the temps will sort themselves out. I also believe my new region should have less fretting the borderline temps issues that tend to plague SMI. We will see though.
  16. This loop off of the NYD Euro 12z is some awesome eye candy for sure. h204-210 is absolute pound-town.
  17. Happy 2024 btw! Let's u-n-me start this party right, lol First time I have ever scored MODERATE on an 8-14 day map. Been crazy busy with moving and that's not changing anytime soon. Seems they are pretty comfortable with the track/trajectory even at this range. The Ensembles do look consistent as well so that has to help boost the confidence level. If not mistaken, this would be a LOT like GHD-1 in presentation.
  18. I do remember models having it that low, but did not realize it was that low in reality. I thought it was only mid-980s as it passed SEMI?
  19. Back this down to reality (985 mb) and it will take a much more likely and traditional path over DTW
  20. Not sure which run you meant, but I'd take the 12z in a heartbeat.
  21. Verbatim how could that be anything but a dynamic storm here in NMI. Seems like it maxes out at this LAT as well. Notably, I do not see any arctic HP feeding cold as you've mentioned before, so without looking into thermals I'm presuming this would be much like our March storm that produced it's own cold via dynamics of lift. Fairly progressive as well, so not huge totals via duration but like in March, a quick-hitting medium totals style system. Sure would be a nice "welcome present" at my new abode tho! On a side note, they are making snow furiously at the slopes just south of here:
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