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Found 22 results

  1. Meteorological spring starts a day late this year. Astronomical spring never does. Welcome to March. Roller coaster weather is not too far off.
  2. Happy New Years everyone! 2020 will be here in just a few short hours... Looks like 2019 is ending on a rather warm note locally. Average high this December is 41.5 (+3.1) and low is 27.1 (+6.5) with a monthly Mean at 34.3 (+4.8) degrees. A contrast to the cool anomaly in late summer and early fall.
  3. December is a few hours away! November ended a little warmer than normal at my place, ending the cool stretch that was September (-2.0) and October (-3.3)! Still had a nice cold blast and my most November snow in several years. High: 53.9 (+7.9) Low: 21.0 (-4.1) Mean: 37.5 (+2.0)
  4. Yeah, another question thread. I get it. This one's less of a downer, so there's that. Which weather event stood out as the most impressive that you have personally experienced here in the West? For me it's a tie between the 1/10/17 snowstorm (15-20 inches in a 10 hour period, we get it...), and the December 2008 snow event series.
  5. Three contenders, one winner. Which of these three snowstorms was most impressive in the given area that it targeted most, in regards to amounts, dynamics, temperatures, and perhaps other factors too (wind, ice, duration, etc.). The contenders: January 10-11th, 2017 (Portland Metropolitan Area and surrounding locations): 8-12 inches of snow in many areas (with higher amounts up to 20 inches in select areas within Portland) that brought along with it thundersnow, freezing fog, and of course a complete forecast surprise. February 24-25th, 2019 (Eugene and South Valley): Brought 10-20 inches of snow in many areas, creating havoc in terms of power and timber losses. Was a forecasted event, and dropped massive amounts in Central Oregon as well (20-30 inches in spots). Temperature never reached 32 degrees in Eugene during the storm (remained above freezing the entire time). January 18-20th, 2012 (Puget Sound area and Western Washington): Brought an onslaught of snow (6-12 inches in many locations), followed by an ice storm (0.25-0.75 inches of ice) which crippled power and transportation services for several days. A rather long duration event, that was forecasted heavily and warned in advance. So, which storm was the most impressive? Dynamics, radar presentation, wind, temperatures, almost anything is fair game. Just remember that your individual location doesn't matter, just the locations in which the storm impacted (all similar PACNW lowland locations).
  6. Post on our 3rd month of the year here. Looks to be wrung in with some more chili weather!
  7. What is your favorite winter of all? Mine would no doubt be 2016-2017. Snow events for everyone down the I-5 corridor, that snowstorm on 1/10/17 for my area. A windstorm in April and October, one of the strongest east wind years I've experienced. Heavy rain in February, and several snow/ice events in December and January. A rundown of that year (most are estimations): December 7th-10th: 1 inch of ice, 1.5 inches of snow December 14th: 2.5 inches of snow January 6th-8th: 0.75-1 inch of ice, 1 inch of snow January 10th-11th: 15-20 inches of snow, occasional thunder and lightning February 5th: 2 inches of rain April 7th: 55-65 gusts, 78 gust pretty close by ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2006-2007 would be on there too, as well as 2011-2012 (March storm dropped 11 inches IMBY, heavy rain in January, etc.)
  8. What is your least favorite winter? I would say 2012-2013. I don’t remember a single event in that year that was actually noteworthy. This latest winter is also up there with how annoying and bait-and-switching it was, imagine getting screwed over twice to areas just north and south. So yeah, 2012-2013 for being boring, and 2018-2019 for being the unluckiest winter.
  9. A little further out then we normally do a thread but signal strength and models can't be ignored, lol. For some just grazed by yesterday's storm, the excitement is palpable. While GFS and FV3 seem progressive and rush a N Stream wave thru in
  10. Okay the 00z models are in the night before the big event/bust. Final chance to make predictions for the following locations! Seattle Olympia PDX Salem Eugene Bend
  11. There is a real threat to the East Coast for this upcoming storm. The GFS has been fairly consistent with the general precipitation totals. Additionally, the 13km GFS output (18Z) shows 40+ mph 10 m winds well inland in New Jersey. 50+ mph along the coast!
  12. Hopefully we can score something during the second half of the month.
  13. Hey! I am new here so I thought I would introduce myself I am Remy Mermelstein, in 10th grade at Irvington High School in NY just north of NYC. I have always been interested in weather, and did many reports on different weather topics back in elementary school. Back at the end of 8th grade I made my own Facebook Blog where I post forecasts almost every day, and other weather discussions, homemade maps and model data, the FB page is called Weather Or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein, it can be found at this link: https://www.facebook.com/remyweatherchannel Halfway through freshman year (last year) my good friend joined me on the FB page, and we then started an identical blog WeatherInTheHud with Remy & Dillon which can be found at weatherinthehud.blogspot.com We post the same things as on the FB page here, but for people who do not have FB. You can sign up with an email to get the updates by email as well This year we are both doing the Science Research program at my school, and consequently are working together on research regarding Teleconnections and Oscillations/Ocean Circulations and other major patterns and how they influence smaller local patterns and ultimately the everyday sensible weather. Our theory is that if we can foresee and predict the major and biggest patterns and know as many effects/causes they have on other smaller patterns then we can be in a much better place to forecast everyday weather. We are also using this to study climate change from both sides of the argument (AGW..etc). We have been lucky enough to be working with Joe D'Aleo as our mentor and much of the amazing team at Weatherbell Analytics since November, which has been absolutely amazing. Anyway, just wanted to say hi, this forum looks mighty fine Sorry if I posted this in the wrong forum
  14. After a very boring and dry winter for the Central Plains, how will the first full month of Spring shape up? Will we finally see a change towards a wetter pattern? The first week of April will be a time to watch, as the LRC begins to favor a stormy pattern again. Here's to hoping we won't get shafted to the East once again. Thoughts?
  15. Looking back on the twin cold snaps of the past winter it is really beginning to sink in just how impressive they are. A lot of the outlying stations are now updated for those months on the Utah State Climate site and the totality of these events is really evident. Here are some of the numbers from some outlying Willamette Valley stations, and I will probably throw the airport stats in to for good measure. As you can see there weren't a ton of records for a lot of these stations because for most of them their all-time minimum records were set during the December 1972 cold snap. * Denotes daily record minimum. Falls City (El 670') December: Dec 4: 37/22 Dec 5: 34/17 Dec 6: 29/16 2.5" sn Dec 7: 24/16 1" sn Dec 8: 25/9 Dec 9: 25/ NA Dec 10: 29/13 Dec 11: 33/23 February: Feb 5: 33/22 Feb 6: 30/18 Feb 7: 21/13 4" Feb 8: 27/14 8" Feb 9: 30/24 Feb 10: 34/28 Dallas (El 290') December: Dec 5: 35/16 Dec 6: 29/22 Dec 7: 27/18 Dec 8: 27/6 Dec 9: 25/9 Dec 10: 31/24 Dec 11: 30/17 Dec 12: 29/19 February: Feb 4: 35/22 Feb 5: 31/20 Feb 6: 23/19 Feb 7: 24/19 Feb 8: 31/24 Feb 9: 35/30 Lebanon (EL 330') December Dec 4: 37/19 Dec 5: 30/16 Dec 6: 27/23 4" sn Dec 7: 28/9 Dec 8: 24/4 Dec 9: 28/8 Dec 10: 32/19 Dec 11: 31/16 February: Feb 5: 38/23 Feb 6: 24/19 8.5" sn Feb 7: 28/21 7.75" sn Feb 8: 31/28 0.5: sn Feb 9: 38/31 Silverton December Dec 5: 36/18 Dec 6: 28/18* Dec 7: 29/17 Dec 8: 28/10 Dec 9: 26/11 Dec 10: 27/13 Dec 11: 32/23 Dec 12: 31*/18 February: Feb 5: 33/21 Feb 6: 33*/20 Feb 7: 25*/18 Feb 8: 25*/19 Feb 9: 31*/25 Stayton December: Dec 5: 35/17 Dec 6: 30/15* Dec 7: 28/11 Dec 8: 26/3 Dec 9: 23/5 Dec 10: 27/7 Dec 11: 30/15 Dec 12: 27*/15 February Feb 5: 34/23 Feb 6: 34*/20 Feb 7: 23*/18 Feb 8: 27*/15 Feb 9: 32*/26
  16. How will the cruddy winter of 2013/2014 end? Will the plains finally see that monster snowstorm we have been waiting for? How will spring start? March could be a very interesting month! GFS is showing a snow event during the first week of March. Wouldn't surprise me to see a large trough come out of the 4 corners and produce a storm during that time. LRC would indicate around March 4th for that. We should probably be hoping for a Colorado Low in Nebraska/Iowa. The current models are wanting to show yet another Panhandle Hook storm, which of course misses us to the East. We really need a nice bowling bowl Colorado Low to give us that monster snowstorm we have all been waiting for. I know I'm not alone in saying this: If we don't get a monster snowstorm it might as well just warm up and be spring. I am tired of these 1-3 inch snows. I say go big or go home winter! I am just as ready for severe weather season and tornado chasing. Let's see what March of 2014 has in store! Thoughts??
  17. Will the state of Nebraska finally see a classic Snowstorm this season? We are long overdue for one. I don't think I ever remember a winter when we didn't get at least 1 big storm. All of our snow has been from little 2-4 inch systems. GFS hints at some really big snows for pretty much the entire state through the first week of March. I guess all we can do is wait and see if this is finally our time to shine! GFS snowfall through March 5th. Most of this falls during the 23rd through the 25th and again from the 28th through the 5th of March. Thoughts?
  18. There is a slight chance that the plains may see some snow during the month of February. Anybody see this happening? P.S. this is a thread to post frustrations about lack of snowfall.
  19. Up late, and figured I'd start a contest for February snow accumulations for three key cities along the west coast (Vancouver BC, Seattle, and Portland). What's on the line? Pride...plus a cool shirt. Enter here: http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/1/28/snowfecta-february-snow-contest The Rules: To enter: The participant must use the provided Google Form (see link) to submit answers to the nearest tenth of an inch/cm, and must denote which unit was used. Once the form is submitted the guesses are final. The contest begins on January 29th at 12:00 am PST and ends on January 31st at 11:59 PST. One (1) entry per participant for the entire contest period, and by entering you agree that you have read these specific contest rules. Eligibility: Must be human (sorry, no bots). This contest is organized by the owner of 50 Shades of Van, and the owner reserves the right to change or cancel the contest at any time and is not responsible for failed, incomplete, or delayed computer transmission that interferes with a participants entry. Prize: One (1) prize will be awarded consisting of one (1) 50 Shades of Van t-shirt, similar to the design above (may not be identical). Contest winner is responsible for paying shipping and handling if outside Canada or the USA. Winner: The winner will be selected based on who submits the 'most correct response' as determined by the owner and verified using official sources. All answers will be converted to centimetres rounding to the nearest tenth. If there is more than one correct submission, a random number generator will be used to select a winner. Privacy: E-mail addresses and names will not be shared, but the winner agrees to the publication of a first name and last initial, should they be selected as a winner. Good luck! http://50shadesofvan.com/blog/2014/1/28/snowfecta-february-snow-contest
  20. A possible Winter Storm could take aim at parts of the Great Plains this weekend. Looking like Saturday might be the best day for it. Also looking like it might stay south of Nebraska, and mainly affect Kansas and Iowa. Thoughts?
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