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  1. We're now entering the crucial window that will determine the momentum of the tropical circulation as we head deeper into 2014. Right now, a massive kelvin wave (possibly the strongest wave in history) is propagating across the tropical pacific as the climate system begins a significant transition away from the 1998-2012 regime. This wave similar to the persistent wind forcing/wave event that jump started the 1997-98 super Niño. However, I'm not sold that we're in for a strong Niño at this time. As I've been saying for a year now, I believe winter 2014-15 will feature a weak to moderate
  2. During the past several years, the frequency of zodiac lights and noctilucent clouds have been increasing for observers in the mid-latitudes. Here is an example of the ZL I captured near Santa Fe, NM last year: http://www.astrobin.com/81543/. Both phenomena occur in the upper reaches of the atmosphere where meteor vapor and ice crystals reflect sunlight. Could it be that the globle temperature pause of the past 15 years or so is related to this potential blocking of incoming solar radiation in the upper atmosphere? Food for thought.
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