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2/23 - 2/25 S Plains/OHV Cutter


Tom

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WinterCast

Thursday Evening - Friday Morning for Macomb area

22.svg
3 - 6 in
Snow
  • Snow 3

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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I shouldn't be surprised, but the models totally whiffed in this area.  Not a flake.  As late as last night's NWS Hastings disco, they were calling for up to 1 1/2" of snow.  GFS did horribly.  Canadian always had it dry for days, they nailed it.  Short term models started trending drier last evening, and continued through this morning.  Got my hopes up, and again we were missed.  In this entire great setup this week, we got about 1/2" bringing our unbelievable yearly snowfall to a whopping 7".  Wow.  

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23 minutes ago, mlgamer said:

We have a gentle snow falling this morning that has whitened everything back up to a 1/2" or so. Funny, we have had winter storms warnings end up like this and we don't even have an advisory here this morning...lol

snowpic.thumb.jpg.efbe042f4dcd440ed773bc4600ee6b28.jpg

 

Same here with frz drizzle and sleet this morning and now snow, roads are slick lot of accidents and no WWA.

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5 hours ago, Niko said:

This looks like a  3-6in snowfall widespread here in S MI (north of Detroit), roughly from Macomb to Romeo. Detroit is looking at 2-4" or maybe slightly more. Looks like a decent event and a nighttime one as most of the snow falls in the evening and early Friday. It will be a cold snowstorm also.

Prolly NOT down here in the Metro per DTX

The usual P-type issues that plague far SEMI with every storm coming into play. Highest totals north of M-59 (SHOCKER!)

Quote

The better moisture and thus higher QPF values are expected to
reside along and south of I69 with values ranging between .20 to .30
inches by the end of the event. Models continue to show a shallow
dgz between 600 to 500 mb with a lofty "warm" nose down to the near
surface, bringing about riming concerns
which would lower snow
ratios. Additionally, an elevated dry slot will also start to strip
moisture away
from the DGZ around 02-03Z through 09Z, which will
hamper snow ratios further and may even bring a period of freezing
drizzle.

Looking forward to my 1" in-coming

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Nice les power falling all morning at alpine valley but the warm and rain ruined the base from before pretty bad. If it wasn't for that heat and rain last Monday, today would be amazing, but it's still pretty good if you're skilled enough to deal with icy spots. Think we can break 20 for the season with this, almost to half of normal.

IMG_20220224_113913.jpg

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1 hour ago, jaster220 said:

Prolly NOT down here in the Metro per DTX

The usual P-type issues that plague far SEMI with every storm coming into play. Highest totals north of M-59 (SHOCKER!)

Looking forward to my 1" in-coming

This is 1" to maybe up to  4" event where the ratios and snows are more persistent.  widespread  3-6" lol 

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1 hour ago, bud2380 said:

Looks like central Iowa is getting hit hard.  Based on flake size here today so far I would imagine when the decent returns finally get over top of us, the snow will accumulate at a decent clip.  

Yes- system is over performing. 2.1" at KDSM through 5pm. have a legit shot at 4". Ratio is very high-- likely high teens to 20:1. Will find out in an hour when I melt the 8" and  I will post the results.  Yellows on COD radar are right over the airport as I write.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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I have not been out to measure, yet, but it's probably 3/4" or so.  I can tell the texture is fluffy.  The rate was ok at first, but has been abysmal for the last hour.  I'm waiting for the relatively heavier stuff to move in from the west.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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6 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Prolly NOT down here in the Metro per DTX

The usual P-type issues that plague far SEMI with every storm coming into play. Highest totals north of M-59 (SHOCKER!)

Looking forward to my 1" in-coming

I think you should do well w a couple of inches.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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9 minutes ago, BMT said:

Ripping out there real good.  Accumulating much quicker for sure in the last hour.

Yeah, big flakes are dumping pretty good.

  • Snow 1

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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10 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Last band with fattest flakes of the event. One event that Kuchera was actually too low.

PXL_20220225_004718767.jpg

PXL_20220225_004731298~2.jpg

Congrats! About time some of you west of Chicago snagged some action. As for here, radar is blowing chunks so my 1" call might be in jeopardy of busting high, lol

 

Screenshot 2022-02-24.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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