Jump to content
The Weather Forums

2/23 - 2/25 S Plains/OHV Cutter


Tom
 Share

Recommended Posts

83* and very dry out there. Humidity at 38*
In 48 hrs it will hit a low of 23 with rain, ice, snow mix. 
How crazy is that? Just another odd week in a rather odd winter.  

  • Like 3

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

72 for the High tomorrow before it barrels down to 32 in the afternoon.  
We get a lot of these in the late winter as springlike weather tries to sneak in early.


Well, it beats being bored!!

  • Like 1
  • lol 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Clinton said:

0z RGEM and GFS in agreement for a widespread light snow event with a narrow band of higher totals.

0z GFS

snku_acc.us_mw.png

snku_acc.us_c.png

0z RGEM

snku_acc.us_mw.png

I do fairly well on the GFS. Most other models are minimal. NWS Hastings says 1” tops. Not expecting anything, so I won’t be disappointed if nothing materializes. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

I do fairly well on the GFS. Most other models are minimal. NWS Hastings says 1” tops. Not expecting anything, so I won’t be disappointed if nothing materializes. 

Dry air may be the problem, maybe some will make it to the ground.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Clinton said:

I need 5 to get to 20 inches for the month, so I'm pulling for it lol.

The eastern ag belt and Sub has done very well this month....nasso much in the central/western ag belt...

month.sperc.png

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

This part of the LRC produced significant snows in Cycle 2 for the SW and it looks to deliver the goods up in the mountains again...

image.png

 

image.png

 

This is exactly what the mountains ordered from Mother Nature into the Rockies of CO...esp near Durango/Telluride...

1.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Light snow fell all night here.  There are some places the grass is covered, and other places with nothing as the strong winds are whipping up the snow.  I would say a rough estimate of 1/2" seems about right.  Love when the snow whips down the street.  NWS Hastings a little more optimistic this morning of a couple of inches from Wednesday night through Thursday morning.  

  • Like 2
  • Snow 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Tom said:

06z GFS...

image.png

If I get the Stasch formula "last minute bump north", this could be good over here 👍

  • Like 2

Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, jaster220 said:

If I get the Stasch formula "last minute bump north", this could be good over here 👍

Should be cold enough wherever it does end up snowing.  My new snow blower arrives Friday.  I broke down and bought an electric one with cord.  Mid-size driveway.    Never got my one gas toro fixed this winter.  Haven't needed it!  So hopefully I get enough to test it out  before Spring.  

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, someweatherdude said:

GFS is trying to give me 6 inches of snow.  I'll be pleasantly shocked if that happens. 

From Garys blog this morning:

We had a similar issue with the last storm. In that one we wondered if the storm would stretch out and weaken too fast and lower snow totals, or would it hold together. We made the accurate prediction of it holding together. As it passed by it stretched out and weakened rapidly. This time we have similar issues, but instead of it having to hold together, we will be wondering if it will strengthen just a little bit.

 

Seems to me there is a possibility of this strengthening overhead which would be good for us and real good for those further NE.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Clinton said:

From Garys blog this morning:

We had a similar issue with the last storm. In that one we wondered if the storm would stretch out and weaken too fast and lower snow totals, or would it hold together. We made the accurate prediction of it holding together. As it passed by it stretched out and weakened rapidly. This time we have similar issues, but instead of it having to hold together, we will be wondering if it will strengthen just a little bit.

 

Seems to me there is a possibility of this strengthening overhead which would be good for us and real good for those further NE.

I feel like it's been a long time since we had an over-performer.  I'll certainly take it. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Clinton said:

12z FV3

snku_acc.us_c.png

There is those bands of snow that keep showing up.  Where those occur will make a big difference in a short distance.  This map again shows that pink band coming up to my county.  GFS also has shown it.  Many other models don't have anywhere near this amount.  Will be fun to watch in the next 2 days.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, CentralNebWeather said:

There is those bands of snow that keep showing up.  Where those occur will make a big difference in a short distance.  This map again shows that pink band coming up to my county.  GFS also has shown it.  Many other models don't have anywhere near this amount.  Will be fun to watch in the next 2 days.

It will be. The NAM barely has a dusting here.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

DVN going with 1-2" and isolated 3" totals.

 

Snow will overspread the area from southwest to northeast on
Thursday and end from southwest to northeast Thursday night.

Since the low track is south of the area precipitation would be in
the form of all snow. However I cannot fully rule out a brief period
of sleet or freezing rain when the precipitation initially starts.

The time frame of the relatively higher snowfall rates look to occur
Thursday afternoon into evening.

Right now it looks like a general 1-2 inch snowfall. Some isolated 3
inch amounts cannot be ruled out. While the overall snowfall rates
will be low, the Thursday evening commute will be impacted.
  • Like 3

Season Snowfall: 0.00"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

47 minutes ago, Clinton said:

18z GFS has been consistent in giving KC a nice snow and laying down a heavier band from mby into southern Mich.

snku_acc.us_mw.png

Getting close to @CentralNebWeatherwith a heavier band

snku_acc.us_c.png

Has been showing up for many runs in a row. NWS Hastings thinks GFS is overdone and going with much lower amounts. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Has been showing up for many runs in a row. NWS Hastings thinks GFS is overdone and going with much lower amounts. 

My office mentioned dry air being a problem.  For mby the GEFS has cut totals 2 runs in a row so probably won't get much here either. 

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

DTX calling this "sub-WWA level event". Oh well, the 50's and showers today, while messy does have me thinking spring again. Cold after this is going to be worse. 

  • Like 1

Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, Clinton said:

My office mentioned dry air being a problem.  For mby the GEFS has cut totals 2 runs in a row so probably won't get much here either. 

Wonder if that is what they’re thinking. They typically never go with the model that shows the most for any storm. Not me just wishing for more, just an odd thing I’ve noticed. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tom unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share


×
×
  • Create New...