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March 2022 Observations and Discussions


Hawkeye

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Thought I’d post this in both forums. Very interesting strong solar storm coming potentially viewable as far south as the equator. 

Dr Tamitha Skov, a space weather physicist tweeted yesterday: "Direct Hit! NOAA & NASA prediction models show solar storm to hit Earth between 12:00 and 21:00 UTC on March 13.

"Impact should be strong! Expect aurora deep into mid-latitudes, amateur radio & GPS reception issues, especially near dawn/dusk, and on Earth's nightside!"

Enjoy! 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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19 minutes ago, Brennan said:

Been in the forums for almost 15 years… just moved from Bellingham Washington to Inman South Carolina. 25*f. Freezing cold. I’m assuming this is unusual for this time of year here. 

Welcome!  Nice to see the loyalty and looking forward to hearing more about the wx across the eastern Sub.  Charleston, SC and Myrtle Beach are on my bucket list of places to visit.  BTW, that's quite the cross-country move!  Literally, from Sea to Shining Sea...

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Spring Forward has officially kicked in....the season starts when models coming in an hour later...anyway, while yesterday was certainly a sunny day, the March sunshine didn't make it feel any warmer in the blustery and cold weather.  Spent majority of the day indoors and will try to spend some time today outside enjoying the warmer weather.  Prob fire up the grill while I'm at it.  #SundayFunday

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Yesterdays official high of 18 at Grand Rapids tied 1896 as the coldest maximum for any March 12th. At Lansing their high of 20 is now the 2nd coldest maximum of any March 12 and at Muskegon their official high of 24 was the 4th coldest maximum. This morning there is light snow falling and the ground is now covered here with just under a half inch of new snow with a temperature of 17.

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3 hours ago, Tom said:

Spring Forward has officially kicked in....the season starts when models coming in an hour later...anyway, while yesterday was certainly a 100% sunny day

The day started out sunny here but the clouds moved in and it was cold. As I stated tied for the coldest maximum of any March 12th here.

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https://forecast.weather.gov/newimages/large/sn.png Crazy weather over S MI now. Hopefully this ends b4 the parade starts today. Approaching an inch.

 

Heavy Snow Freezing Fog

22°F

-6°C

NOAA:

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
406 AM EDT Sun Mar 13 2022

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-140815-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
406 AM EDT Sun Mar 13 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Clipper system will bring widespread snowfall to Southeast Michigan
this morning. Total snowfall of up to 2 inches will be possible.
  • Snow 3

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Now starts the thaw! In the mid 30's with direct sunlight. 

No additional snow today but it did look like it was going to flurry a couple hours ago.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

What a beautiful day! Sun actually feels warm today with a high temp of 57 so far. Loving all the sunshine this climate seemingly enjoys. It's been partly to mostly sunny most days since we got here almost a week ago, besides a couple days of clouds/flurries. By this time in Seattle it would have probably rained 6+ inches. 😆

Got my weather station/website back up and running this weekend. Still some tweaking to do as I had to completely redo my weewx server after the move but it's slowly starting to come along: https://sodakweather.com

Winters are typically on the sunnier side, and this has been a very dry and sunny winter for the region. More active years can have some gloomy stretches, though I would guess nothing like Seattle. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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The overnight low here at my house was 24 the official overnight low at GRR was 27. At this time it is partly cloudy and 38 both here and at GRR. There is just trace amounts of snow left from the snow events this past weekend and that should be all gone this week as we get a good taste of early spring. 

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25 minutes ago, Clinton said:

GFS keep trending colder for the late week storm. 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

No no no, lol

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Melt-a-thon ongoing under strong March insolation. Snow cover will be all gone within the next 24hrs.

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58F here in the west Metro.

Meanwhile..a few hrs north at APX it's like another world!

image.png.3be86bc92f1e69a89fc6bb66dedb1b12.png

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Spring thunderstorm this evening complete with pea size hail.  
Not a great deal of rain but the thunder, lightning, awesome clouds and a double rainbow we’re welcome. 
 

A bit slow grabbing my phone but it was really nice nevertheless. 
67* and gorgeous.  
 

4C1142C6-19B6-46AA-9FAB-52CC8F90E81A.thumb.jpeg.073edbf9ab74f2b067f505af08b5768f.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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I am now averaging above normal snowfall for this Winter season.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Tis the season of "cooler by the lake"...yesterday's high of 63F amid sunny skies felt wonderful until, of course, that pesky lake breeze that rolled in after 3:00pm that dropped temps 20+ degrees in an hour.

 

@Andie, looks like that potent Upper Level storm produced some hail/wind reports across E TX.  Next stop, it looks to target the SE and our newest member in SC @Brennan

 

1.gif

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22 minutes ago, Tom said:

Tis the season of "cooler by the lake"...yesterday's high of 63F amid sunny skies felt wonderful until, of course, that pesky lake breeze that rolled in after 3:00pm that dropped temps 20+ degrees in an hour.

yes that will be the case at times until June. On this side of the lake we get that with a west wind and it can be 20° difference from the lake shore and less than 3 miles inland.

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2 minutes ago, westMJim said:

yes that will be the case at times until June. On this side of the lake we get that with a west wind and it can be 20° difference from the lake shore and less than 3 miles inland.

Not a big fan of this wx phenom around these parts during the shoulder months of Spring but once we get into Summer they are welcomed.  I love it when the lake breeze sparks storm along the boundary and you can see the towering clouds develop...ahh, thinking about summer gets me excited.

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The official high at GRR yesterday was 54 and the official overnight low so far has been 34. Here at my house the overnight low so far has been 35. If that 34 holds that will be just the 2nd time this year that it has not gotten down to 32 or colder here at Grand Rapids. Here at my house it is now 36.

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Another week or two its , "see you next year" for the PV.

 

The strat. vortex is currently stronger than ERA interim average 
but is forecasted to weaken compared to average (according to GEFS-mean)
0 of 31 members have stronger vortex than average at the 
last forecast step (2022-03-30 00:00:00)

The zonal mean zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N is today (GFS analysis): 22.4 m/s 
Weakest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA interim record for todays date is: -30.8 m/s 2016 
Strongest zonal wind at 10 hPa 60N in ERA interim record for todays date is: 49.3 m/s 2019 

u10serie_cfsCorrGefs.png.75b6f3f3faf607cc65931841cf82db2d.png

 

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2 hours ago, Tom said:

Tis the season of "cooler by the lake"...yesterday's high of 63F amid sunny skies felt wonderful until, of course, that pesky lake breeze that rolled in after 3:00pm that dropped temps 20+ degrees in an hour.

 

@Andie, looks like that potent Upper Level storm produced some hail/wind reports across E TX.  Next stop, it looks to target the SE and our newest member in SC @Brennan

 

1.gif

Indeed it did.  I had to listen to my husband screaming and cussing that storm as he drove home with rain and hail on his sports car!  
That’s anathema!!!🤭 

That was quite a Low although we needed more rain. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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I'd like all 10 of those days to show lightning! 🍹

2022-03-15 09_47_10-Window.png

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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