3/4 - 3/8 Multi-Day Wave Train

[Hawkeye]

The Euro is getting weaker... mostly junk snow that whitens the grass.

[Madtown]

Looks icy here I guess

[OmahaSnowFan]

There’s a weird “liquid” falling out of the sky. Amounted to .05”, but I guess it’s a start

[snowstorm83]

Just heard thunder in Lincoln 

[snowstorm83]

Pouring rain now, it’s a relief to know that precipitation is still possible 

[Madtown]

Any chance that Euro is in to something with flakes tomorrow night. only one to show it, but drops 6" or so on me.

[OmahaSnowFan]

After a few model runs of weaker storms, the HRRR has ticked back up on the potential tomorrow afternoon.

It’s a nice luxury to be so close to the target tomorrow!

[Tom]

4 hours ago, Madtown said:

Any chance that Euro is in to something with flakes tomorrow night. only one to show it, but drops 6" or so on me.

Gonna be a close call...

 

[Hawkeye]

We have a nice line of storms moving through eastern Iowa this morning.  There is a lot of lightning.  The thunder is almost constant, but it's not loud.  The rain was heavy, briefly.  I received less than 0.20".

[Clinton]

6z Euro and GFS still dropping snow for a few.  Something to watch today if this second piece can be slightly colder, a thin line of higher amounts would be possible.

[Bryan1117]

Had a couple rounds of thunderstorms roll through last night which dropped around .75 of rain in my backyard. It's nice to finally see some moisture, finally! Not a drought buster by any means, however anything will help right now.  

Watching to see how the severe weather threat plays out today, looks like the action will fire up right on top of the Omaha metro and roll east however it's going to be a close call this afternoon!

[gimmesnow]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

Hope that Euro verifies, drops the heaviest band practically right on Tyrol Basin, it would make a trip out there on Tuesday very nice for me since my home hill is probably going to be closed. Looks like the heaviest rain is going north but it'll hit Cascade, but they have a massive base

Glad to see NE get some precip, cost of wheat is going through the rough right now, really need the best we can for farmers

[Hawkeye]

Most models are showing a couple inches of snow in Cedar Rapids Sunday night.  Unfortunately, the timing is very poor for viewing.  It doesn't start til bedtime and ends before sunrise.

[CentralNebWeather]

1 hour ago, gimmesnow said:

Hope that Euro verifies, drops the heaviest band practically right on Tyrol Basin, it would make a trip out there on Tuesday very nice for me since my home hill is probably going to be closed. Looks like the heaviest rain is going north but it'll hit Cascade, but they have a massive base

Glad to see NE get some precip, cost of wheat is going through the rough right now, really need the best we can for farmers

0.0” in Central Nebraska. Drought continues. 

[Hawkeye]

12z GFS

[OmahaSnowFan]

It’s 40.6 degrees at my house and 15 miles southeast of here on the other side of the metro it’s 57 degrees.

[Hawkeye]

12z Canadian

[CentralNebWeather]

I 80 West of Ogallala as of 10:15 AM Mountain Time. This part of Southwest Nebraska has actually had some winter events, and some fairly heavy. 
 

[CentralNebWeather]

Heavy snow moving north from Southwest through West Central Nebraska. They may 6-7” or more in that area. It can snow in Nebraska this winter in a few places, just not around here. 
North Platte Nebraska off I 80. 

[Hawkeye]

Models are inching up with snow amounts over southeast Iowa Sunday night.

12z Euro

[snowstorm83]

2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

It’s 40.6 degrees at my house and 15 miles southeast of here on the other side of the metro it’s 57 degrees.

The front ended up a bit farther south than expected, that forecast of a Saturday in the low 70s turned into 40 and damp in Lincoln. A bit south in Beatrice, it's currently 69. 

[CentralNebWeather]

I 80 not too far Northwest of me. 

[CentralNebWeather]

I’m south of the Elm Creek exit. Freezing drizzle has been falling at my house for several hours. Sidewalks are slick. Snow doesn’t look to make it here unfortunately. 

[Clinton]

12z EPS and GEFS

[Clinton]

SPC upgrading to an enhanced risk for south central Iowa

[Stacsh]

Calling for 3-5 inches Monday here.  A big upgrade from earlier.  

[bud2380]

The Sunday night-Monday system is trending up. 

[Bellona]

Confirmed large and dangerous tornado over Winterset. Has its sights on southern West Des Moines.

[Tom]

DSM under a TOR warning with a confirmed Tornado on radar… @DSM WeatherNut. @Grizzcoat

[Bellona]

Damage has been reported in Winterset and south of there as well. My friend is at the State Fair Grounds in Des Moines for her son's archery contest.

[Grizzcoat]

Large Wedge just to my SW.  Marble sized hail in my back yard. 

[Grizzcoat]

Only the 3rd time in KDSM Manual ASOS history (since 1996) that a confirmed tornado has been reported at the airport. I haven't checked the stats- but I believe this stretches a lot further back than 1996. For what ever reason.

KDSM 052259Z 12008KT 10SM +FC TS BKN018CB BKN100 OVC250 16/14 A2947 RMK TORNADO B58 AO2 LTG DSNT SW-N PRESFR TORNADO B57 10 SW MOV NE FRQ LTGICCG SW-NW TS SW-NW MOV NE T01610139 $

[Grizzcoat]

The damage in Winterset  ,IA is at least EF3. So sad. Sorry no- pics, just getting the news.

[Cfweather]

16 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

The damage in Winterset  ,IA is at least EF3. So sad. Sorry no- pics, just getting the news.

I’ve seen a couple pictures on social media.  It looks devastating 

last I heard it’s still on the ground 

[Stacsh]

8 minutes ago, Cfweather said:

I’ve seen a couple pictures on social media.  It looks devastating 

last I heard it’s still on the ground 

Still looks nasty on radar 

[Madtown]

was supposed to reach 37never above 32 down to 30...rain just started again 

[Stormgeek]

Raining steadily here. Looking outside at my driveway you can see it is starting to flash freeze / freezing rain. Going to be some scary roads.

[james1976]

Heavy rain with thunder and lightning in Vadnais Heights, MN currently. And its 34°

[St Paul Storm]

26 minutes ago, james1976 said:

Heavy rain with thunder and lightning in Vadnais Heights, MN currently. And its 34°

James I’m a few miles west and south of you. I have some heavy pingers hitting the windows with lightning and thunder. I can’t believe how much of a bust the high temp was today. My weather station shows a high of 35.2. It was supposed to be 41. This could be a mess overnight. 

[Hawkeye]

The NAMs are showing 6+" across Iowa, but that seems overdone.  The 00z HRRR has only a couple inches.  The FV3 has 1".

[Madtown]

Hrrr and Nams give me 6". That would be a huge suprise

[Hawkeye]

I picked up a solid 0.51" of rain today from three storms.  Any thunderstorms in early March are a bonus.

[OmahaSnowFan]

Back from chasing in Iowa. Unfortunately didn’t see the big tornado due to being 15 miles behind and never catching up bc of the fast storm motions of 50-55 mph.

I was on a nice looking tornado warned storm but the main show came from the cell to my southeast.

Being behind and trying to catch up led me through the damage path of the storm.

First was the town of Orient, IA which was hit by 3-4” hail just to the north of the tornado path. Multiple cars had their windows busted out.

I made it to Winterset, and just south of town observed major damage.

After that, realizing I was never going to catch the storm with the 2 hour long tornado still on the ground south of Des Moines, I headed for home.

Quite the weather day experience for me. Went to bed last night with T storms  and mid 50s. Woke up to upper 30s and late am storms with pea sized hail. Left town and crossed into the warm sector with temps near 70. Came across 3-4” hail and tornado damage and beautiful sunlit supercells. Headed home crossing back into the cold sector and pulled up to my house with snowflakes falling!!

[Tom]

Boy, what a day of wx yesterday for the MW and the storms that barreled through IA.  The 1st line produced one strong cell that track right overhead with vivid lightning and loud thunder.  After that I went to sleep and was awakened by the second line of storms that went through N IL after 11:00pm.  Man, I gotta tell ya, the roaring sound of the winds out ahead of this line I haven't heard in a long time with the bare trees.  The sound it generates without the leaves on the trees is different when comparing it to a full tree of leaves.  It's hard to explain, but it certainly is "fitting" that MAR "roars" like a Lion, albeit delayed by a few days.  ORD had a peak wind gust of 66mph &  RFD 81mph...

Courtesy of our guy @barrybuttler from last nights boomers...

 

[Tom]

Not sure what to expect but I'd imagine WWA's should be issued this morning...

 

 

"Ride the RAP"....?

 

 

0z Canadien...

 

0z GEFS...

 

0z EPS...

[St Paul Storm]

Haven’t stepped outside yet but eyeballing it I’d say we got about 5” of snow overnight. So what was supposed to be mostly rain/mix turned into a snowblower event.

MPX: 

Overnight was a classic example of squeezing every ounce of energy out of the atmosphere over the Twin Cities as an intense mesoscale band of snow developed in response to a band of fgen centered in the h85-h7 layer. While most of you were sleeping, we saw snow rates of 2" per hour develop with this band, which quickly blanketed much of the metro in 3-5 inches of snow over the course of about 2-2.5 hours.

[Grizzcoat]

Great chase video of ydays wedge tornado near DSM. 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

This area has had quite a winter. They also had good snow yesterday. Just never seems to make it to Central Nebraska this year. 

 

[Hawkeye]

Models have generally raised our snow a bit this morning.  The latest GFS is its best run so far.

[bud2380]

Almost every model showing 3-5” for Iowa City and Cedar Rapids now.