[Missing] March 2022 PNW Wx Discussion

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

Monday’s storm keeps getting more neutered. Saturday looks like only a narrow swath will really score. No way Portland stays as the bullseye. Spoiler alert, it will trend north. In fact, it will probably fall apart altogether.

Beyond Monday, it looks mainly dry until the end of the week. That’s 10 days out, so it’s meaningless and will inevitably end up drier.

Oh, and 0.00’’ here today. 

[Gradient Keeper]

.21" of Rain today. Nearly all precip today was focused near/east of I-5 to the Foothills.

[GHweatherChris]

Can anyone access the Everything Else threads?

[FroYoBro]

55 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Monday’s storm keeps getting more neutered. Saturday looks like only a narrow swath will really score. No way Portland stays as the bullseye. Spoiler alert, it will trend north. In fact, it will probably fall apart altogether.

Beyond Monday, it looks mainly dry until the end of the week. That’s 10 days out, so it’s meaningless and will inevitably end up drier.

Oh, and 0.00’’ here today. 

God bless and good night.

[GHweatherChris]

Test

[Deweydog]

19 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Test

Did I pass?

[Dan the Weatherman]

5 hours ago, Phil said:

At the rate things are going w/ respect to thermocline shoaling, we could maintain a -ENSO background state through 2022.

I’m shocked, tbh. Did not expect this at all, even just 4 weeks ago. I thought El Niño was a sure bet, but the climate system has made its intentions known.

It seems to me that a few years back, you were forecasting a multi-year La Nina episode during the early 2020's, possibly until 2022 or 2023 if I remember correctly. It seemed to have something to do with the deep solar minimum that we were beginning to go into at the time.

[Chewbacca Defense]

What the hell happened to the rest of the forum?  As in the other sections....

 

[Chewbacca Defense]

43 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Can anyone access the Everything Else threads?

I am only seeing one topic there....Dafuq happened?!?!??  Seahawks traded Wilson, dropped Wagner....did they shitcan iFred too?

[Front Ranger]

25 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

What the hell happened to the rest of the forum?  As in the other sections....

 

Seems as though the powers that be suddenly decided this is now a strictly weather forum.

[Gradient Keeper]

Dewey's name wasn't changed to Canteen Boy, so it wasn't me. That's for sure.

[ShawniganLake]

Getting some frozen stuff falling from the sky here.  Wet snow, graupel, soft hail. A mix of the above. 

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, FroYoBro said:

God bless and good night.

Both teams played hard!

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF (Day 1-10) 500mb Height Anomaly

10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[TigerWoodsLibido]

46F and cloudy.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Seems as though the powers that be suddenly decided this is now a strictly weather forum.

I’m cool with that. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 hours ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I am only seeing one topic there....Dafuq happened?!?!??  Seahawks traded Wilson, dropped Wagner....did they shitcan iFred too?

Fred got traded to Denver also….guess we’ll go to the BC forums?

[Meatyorologist]

29 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Fred got traded to Denver also….guess we’ll go to the BC forums?

Your bio says "above federal way but below des moines"... I thought Federal Way was like 400' and Des Moines near sea level?

Schrödinger's elevation?

[Gradient Keeper]

Winter has returned to the Columbia Basin and Eastern Washington as temps tumble into the 20s and dewpoints plummet to the 10s and single digits. In fact in Spokane it is 23 with a dewpoint of -2!

[Meatyorologist]

Never too early to look ahead

[Jbolin]

13 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:

La Nina might persist through the Summer now. Neutral Fall/Winter ahead? A 3rd consecutive Nina? Could be. I hope it's wetter than average for the entire west coast. The NCEP CFS agrees.

That would be pretty astounding and thankfully keep temps in "check" a bit this summer.

[ShawniganLake]

Cold front came through right around midnight on southern Vancouver island.  YYJ saw the dew point drop 20 degrees in 1 hour.  From 39F to 19F

[Meatyorologist]

KSEA now running below normal on the month thru the 8th.

[Kayla]

Dropped down to -8F here this morning. Ended up with 16" of snow yesterday. Currently -6F.

[T-Town]

38 degrees here. Looks to be a nice day 

[TacomaWaWx]

Got down to 35 this morning. Should get a freeze tomorrow morning. 

[Thunder98]

8 hours ago, Dan the Weatherman said:

It seems to me that a few years back, you were forecasting a multi-year La Nina episode during the early 2020's, possibly until 2022 or 2023 if I remember correctly. It seemed to have something to do with the deep solar minimum that we were beginning to go into at the time.

We had a multi-year weak La Nina in 2016-2017 and 2017-2018, then had a weak El Nino in 2018-2019 and in 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 we are having a multi-year Moderate La Nina. 

[TacomaWaWx]

6 hours ago, Phil said:

I’m cool with that. 

Yeah, honestly it’s probably for the best. Most of the time it was pretty civil…and had some good discussions on there but sometimes not so much. 

[Blizzard777]

33* and the sun is out ! Going to enjoy this day! 
 

[MossMan]

28 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Yeah, honestly it’s probably for the best. Most of the time it was pretty civil…and had some good discussions on there but sometimes not so much. 

It quickly became quite negative in those topics and I was one of the culprits, hard not to be negative and divided right now but at the end of the day that is not going to help anyone or anything. Probably for the best that Fred shut er down. 

Had a low of 34, currently 36 and clear. Frosty grass. 

[TacomaWaWx]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

It quickly became quite negative in those topics and I was one of the culprits, hard not to be negative and divided right now but at the end of the day that is not going to help anyone or anything. Probably for the best that Fred shut er down. 

Had a low of 34, currently 36 and clear. Frosty grass. 

I don’t think there’s anything wrong with realistic honest negativity. Life right now and in the last couple years hasn’t been great hard to spin it any other way. I think some people just had different opinions and sometimes it got personal…but whatever the forum will be just fine without the extra sub forums. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Pretty nice morning…should be a decent day. Looking at the euro just one freeze (tomorrow morning) here the next 10 days. By the final 1/3 of March we start getting to the point we start seeing our final freezing lows of the season (here near the sound anyways). 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Currently cloudy and 37. Looks like we hit 35 this morning. 0.48" of rain since midnight. 

[Skagit Weather]

Dropped to 29F here overnight as the DP plummeted to 20F. Meanwhile Arlington somehow managed to over perform (like always) and got down to 23F this morning.

The 06z GFS looked incredible for the mountains! 10' of snow for the North Cascades in the next 16 days. Of course it sees to swing wildly with each run, but at least we should get the snowpack in the Washington Cascades close to if not above normal in the coming weeks.

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said:

Dropped to 29F here overnight as the DP plummeted to 20F. Meanwhile Arlington somehow managed to over perform (like always) and got down to 23F this morning.

The 06z GFS looked incredible for the mountains! 10' of snow for the North Cascades in the next 16 days. Of course it sees to swing wildly with each run, but at least we should get the snowpack in the Washington Cascades close to if not above normal in the coming weeks.

Wow we stayed warm here then, it is quite breezy out which probably kept the temp up a little. And I just looked at my DP when you mentioned that and I am sitting at 12! 

[Phishy Wx]

chilly March morning out

 

24 feels like 13

 

probably get in the teens tonight if the wind relaxes

[Cascadia_Wx]

Clear and sunny here this morning after some clouds earlier. East wind has picked up temp is 38 after a low of 36 should be interesting to see how cool today stays looks like it’s going to be pretty sunny 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Still raining down here. The earth is drinking the sweet nectar. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

New forum arrangement. Is Jesse coming back?

[ShawniganLake]

Not cold but the air is super dry in the outflow areas.  Dew point is -2F at Abbotsford