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[Missing] March 2022 PNW Wx Discussion


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5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Lol, was a pretty impressive rainstorm here. Was actually the wettest day at my location since 2009. Most of January and February were pretty boring but the last week of February was pretty active. 

Best way to get rain in my opinion... all at once.    👍

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS looks really warm next week.   Probably won't happen... but it sure would feel nice.  

gfs-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-8166400.png

That would be amazing! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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I really hate this time of year, although I am pleased to say we finally had a thunderstorm here yesterday.  The first since October 2020.

In general I just hate the wet weather and gloom this time of year, while knowing the threat of meaningful winter weather has pretty much passed.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, smerfylicious said:

So a triple niña on tap eh? That's gotta be rare.

In other news, weather has been fantastic and upgraded my camera phone. New fangled tech makes zooms look gooood. Also holy crap night vision in one pic.

Snow levels look...decent. at least we can start up the garden!

20220316_183501.jpg

20220316_210648.jpg

20220316_190801.jpg

20220316_173341.jpg

20220311_153028.jpg

20220316_180535.jpg

What phone did you get?

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS looks really warm next week.   Probably won't happen... but it sure would feel nice.  

gfs-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-8166400.png

This would suck, but our weather always sucks.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This would suck, but our weather always sucks.

I'm afraid this will end the streak of below normal months some places in WA have seen.  At least the 3 month streak was the 3 main winter months.  Kind of weird to be talking about a big warm spell in a La Nina March.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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43 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

So a triple niña on tap eh? That's gotta be rare.

In other news, weather has been fantastic and upgraded my camera phone. New fangled tech makes zooms look gooood. Also holy crap night vision in one pic.

Snow levels look...decent. at least we can start up the garden!

20220316_183501.jpg

20220316_210648.jpg

20220316_190801.jpg

20220316_173341.jpg

20220311_153028.jpg

20220316_180535.jpg

What a view! Very scenic flower pots!

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2 hours ago, Cloud said:

Cool! The beginning of a 7-8 months stretch of dry, warm, and hot. 🤢 
 

Jesse hates this. 

Very unlikely.    There will probably be rain on 20+ days in April... and May... and then 15 days in June before we get the usual extended break in July and maybe the first half of August.  

There was a brief warm spell in March 2019 here... and then it rained on 23 days in April.     It also rained on 26 days in July and August combined that summer!  

Maybe you mean it will be a little drier than Nov-Jan for the next 7-8 months.   That is true.  😀

  • Weenie 2

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Gfs still looks pretty warm mid next week. Not quite as warm as the March 2019 heatwave but pretty big positive anomaly for March. Euro is fairly warm…but roughly 5-10 degrees cooler. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Gfs still looks pretty warm mid next week. Not quite as warm as the March 2019 heatwave but pretty big positive anomaly for March. 

It would probably mean quite a leap forward for the vegetation next week.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

It would probably mean quite a leap forward for the vegetation next week.

Definitely…if it were to fall on a weekend I’d be camping for sure. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Gfs still looks pretty warm mid next week. Not quite as warm as the March 2019 heatwave but pretty big positive anomaly for March. Euro is fairly warm…but roughly 5-10 degrees cooler. 

That heatwave was awesome! 

C11B2B86-3875-4EBD-97B3-A6214BB6FA27.jpeg

1A37D6FC-F3BC-4FD2-B7DB-7DC33142D6CE.jpeg

  • Like 4

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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I’m going to level with y’all. This sucks.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Snowpack at the ski areas continuing to look worse as we go later into the season. This week's snow mostly fell above 4,000' ft or so which is why Snoqualmie in particular lost so much depth.

Meanwhile the 66" at Hurricane Ridge and the 27" at Mission Ridge are the lowest snow depths ever for a la niña at those locations. I was skiing at Baker last weekend and while the upper mountain looked fine, below 4,000' coverage was actually starting to get kind of thin.

CLIMATOLOGICAL SNOWDEPTH INFORMATION
NORTHWEST AVALANCHE CENTER SEATTLE WASHINGTON
DAY  15  MONTH  3  YEAR  2022 

DATA IN INCHES, -99 DENOTES MISSING DATA

            CURRENT  CLIMATE  PER CENT   LAST  THRU 2021  THRU 2021
            DEPTH    AVERAGE  OF NORMAL  YEAR  MAX/YEAR   MIN/YEAR

HURRICANE    66      101       65        116   252/1999     6/2015
MT BAKER    138      163       85        192   305/1999    14/2015
STEVENS      91      102       89        121   200/1956    18/2005
SNOQUALMIE   67       91       74        116   195/1956     0/2015
STAMPEDE    -99      100      -99        112   216/1964     0/2005
MISSION      27       46       59         44    83/1999     5/2015
CRYSTAL      65       69       94         92   136/1999     5/2015
PARADISE    142      169       84        204   357/1956    34/2005
WHITE PASS   42       58       72         79   132/1997     0/2015
TIMBERLINE  126      147       86        173   258/1999    34/1981
MEADOWS      95      123       77        145   288/1974    24/2005
  • Like 1

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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54 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’m going to level with y’all. This sucks.

I thought we wouldn't be playing "avoid the death ridge at all costs" this early in the season. The pattern really wants to go there constantly, just like in the summer.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Very unlikely.    There will probably be rain on 20+ days in April... and May... and then 15 days in June before we get the usual extended break in July and maybe the first half of August.  

There was a brief warm spell in March 2019 here... and then it rained on 23 days in April.     It also rained on 26 days in July and August combined that summer!  

Maybe you mean it will be a little drier than Nov-Jan for the next 7-8 months.   That is true.  😀

Even though that season was warm, Spring 2019 wasn't nearly as dry as others I remember, including in sub-saharan Southern Oregon. Both in April and May we had events where my monthly rainfall quota was met in just a day or two. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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In the Marginal tomorrow here ;)

day2otlk_0600.png

  • Like 1
  • Storm 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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52 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Snowpack at the ski areas continuing to look worse as we go later into the season. This week's snow mostly fell above 4,000' ft or so which is why Snoqualmie in particular lost so much depth.

Meanwhile the 66" at Hurricane Ridge and the 27" at Mission Ridge are the lowest snow depths ever for a la niña at those locations. I was skiing at Baker last weekend and while the upper mountain looked fine, below 4,000' coverage was actually starting to get kind of thin.

CLIMATOLOGICAL SNOWDEPTH INFORMATION
NORTHWEST AVALANCHE CENTER SEATTLE WASHINGTON
DAY  15  MONTH  3  YEAR  2022 

DATA IN INCHES, -99 DENOTES MISSING DATA

            CURRENT  CLIMATE  PER CENT   LAST  THRU 2021  THRU 2021
            DEPTH    AVERAGE  OF NORMAL  YEAR  MAX/YEAR   MIN/YEAR

HURRICANE    66      101       65        116   252/1999     6/2015
MT BAKER    138      163       85        192   305/1999    14/2015
STEVENS      91      102       89        121   200/1956    18/2005
SNOQUALMIE   67       91       74        116   195/1956     0/2015
STAMPEDE    -99      100      -99        112   216/1964     0/2005
MISSION      27       46       59         44    83/1999     5/2015
CRYSTAL      65       69       94         92   136/1999     5/2015
PARADISE    142      169       84        204   357/1956    34/2005
WHITE PASS   42       58       72         79   132/1997     0/2015
TIMBERLINE  126      147       86        173   258/1999    34/1981
MEADOWS      95      123       77        145   288/1974    24/2005

It’s ok. Tim’s house has had 300’’ of rain already this year and it could be dry from now until 2025 and there would still be a surplus of water. 

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10 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

It’s ok. Tim’s house has had 300’’ of rain already this year and it could be dry from now until 2025 and there would still be a surplus of water. 

Not too far from the truth.   And just 30 miles east of Seattle... where the water supply for Seattle is located.

Side note... its been a significantly wetter than normal rainy season across western WA.   The world is not ending.  At least not yet.

  • Thanks 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Anyone remember this 😎

SNOTEL-MAP-MD.jpg

  • Snow 2

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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7 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

It may look bleaker than 2019, but I still, perhaps stubbornly, have hope. 

1280499711_or_swepctnormal_update(2).thumb.png.38599f38ee7de234f18451011605d51b.png

February in the 2020's has sucked down there. That historically snowy Feb in 2019 was the last time they had a normal one in late Winter.

  • Snow 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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