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[Missing] March 2022 PNW Wx Discussion


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21 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

That thing had a hook! I think we're in for a nice spring season. Maybe sometime I can swap out my gif for a new local one. Still using one from an Oregon video.

Yeah big severe season incoming, I think. Most bullish I’ve been since at least 2016.

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Yeah big severe season incoming, I think. Most bullish I’ve been since at least 2016.

Nice that there can be years that universally provided throughout the US. I noticed the 1992-1993 winter were big on both sides.

My profile video is dated 5/4/2016. ;) (Star Wars Day haha)

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Headed to LA for work sunday, suppose to be up into the mid to upper 80s wed and thursday.  decent rain/Mtn snow storm coming for E WA on Monday.  We'll probably get dumped on because I'm out of town

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13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Out of curiosity, when was the last time it snowed in Seattle in April? 

The 2007-2013 period had several lowland snowfalls in April. It's not that uncommon in C-Zone areas and of course above 500'.

Last noteworthy, widespread event was April 18-20, 2008. Pretty much all of western OR and WA saw at least falling snow.

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32 minutes ago, Phil said:

Out of curiosity, when was the last time it snowed in Seattle in April? 

Not sure about Seattle but I had 4” or so up in my area in April of 2008. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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44 minutes ago, Phil said:

Out of curiosity, when was the last time it snowed in Seattle in April? 

April 2008, especially in the northern part of the city into Snohomish county. Some 6"+ totals on the higher hills up there.

That was a weird month. Very cold overall, save for a single day heatwave to an impressive 79°F on the 12th. Snowfall, and the coldest days of the month, followed exactly seven days later. ~80°F and snow in the same week, particularly in that order, is highly anomalous for Seattle. April is the month to do it, I suppose.

2008, 2008... hmm.... That number rings a bell ;)

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

April 2008, especially in the northern part of the city into Snohomish county. Some 6"+ totals on the higher hills up there.

That was a weird month. Very cold overall, save for a single day heatwave to an impressive 79°F on the 12th. Snowfall, and the coldest days of the month, followed exactly seven days later. ~80°F and snow in the same week, particularly in that order, is highly anomalous for Seattle. April is the month to do it, I suppose.

2008, 2008... hmm.... That number rings a bell ;)

Hmmm...that's also the last time gas prices were ridiculously high...of course we did just have a pseudo December 2008 up here so maybe this time it came early?

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.24 (2010)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 21.75" (12/24: Tr, 12/25: 5", 12/26: 3", 12/27: 1.5", 12/28: Tr, 12/29: 1", 12/30: 3", 1/5: 2.5", 1/6: 1", 2/2: Tr, 2/21: 1.5", 2/22: 0.75", 2/23: 1.5", 2/24: 1")

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5 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Interesting that your location ended up wetter than normal this month unlike here…yet are below normal for the year while we’re above normal here. 
 I find these precipitation maps pretty cool to look at…looks like I’m right on the border of below and above normal rainfall for March. 

Yeah, I always like to look at them at the end of the month to get an overall sense of the climate of the region. Of course they have their flaws as well. They are based on individual stations I believe which then are extrapolated out to cover the rest of the map. That can of course lead to super anomalous maps when a single station is incorrectly reporting (or gets hit with a very localized heavy rain event).

In terms of precipitation, we're technically still ahead of normal on the water year because of how wet November was, but honestly other than Whatcom county the precipitation has done a pretty good job of evenly coating all of Western Washington even though some months have been more anomalous than others in different regions.

2022WAFirstHalfWaterYear.thumb.png.46e3a2d00a427cbf5bba571b9ba9d5ba.png

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.24 (2010)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 21.75" (12/24: Tr, 12/25: 5", 12/26: 3", 12/27: 1.5", 12/28: Tr, 12/29: 1", 12/30: 3", 1/5: 2.5", 1/6: 1", 2/2: Tr, 2/21: 1.5", 2/22: 0.75", 2/23: 1.5", 2/24: 1")

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1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

La Nina returns in April! C'MON!!!!

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals.

May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'Total QPF (in) over model run F240 Valid: Mon 2022-04-11 00z Init: 2022-04-01 2022- Fri 00z GFS 1.2 www.pivotabveather.com 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.2 1.6 2 2.5 pivato pivatalweather 3545681015'

May be an image of map and text that says 'Total Snowfall, 10:1 Ratio F240 Valid: Mon 2022-04-11 00z Init: Fri 2022- 2022-04-01 00z GFS 0.6 0.5 0.2 www.pivotalweather.com weather.com .1 0.5 8 10 12 16 20 24 piv#talweath piv#tal 28 32 36 44 52'

Last year we had ice pellets in April. Can we get accumulating snow this year?? #2008ing

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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51 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Yeah, I always like to look at them at the end of the month to get an overall sense of the climate of the region. Of course they have their flaws as well. They are based on individual stations I believe which then are extrapolated out to cover the rest of the map. That can of course lead to super anomalous maps when a single station is incorrectly reporting (or gets hit with a very localized heavy rain event).

In terms of precipitation, we're technically still ahead of normal on the water year because of how wet November was, but honestly other than Whatcom county the precipitation has done a pretty good job of evenly coating all of Western Washington even though some months have been more anomalous than others in different regions.

2022WAFirstHalfWaterYear.thumb.png.46e3a2d00a427cbf5bba571b9ba9d5ba.png

I've also found that these maps badly render actual base "normal" precipitation. Sometimes they'll represent "dry" areas where there is natural downsloping, and vice versa for upsloping areas. For instance, is Sequim really as anomalously dry as depicted in this graphic, or does the map simply misestimate that region's relatively dry climate; blending in the wetter normals of the rest of western Washington? Same goes for the Forks area and the cascade foothills, on the wet end of the spectrum. Taken literally this map would depict a wet season with a tighter than usual gradient between mountain precip and sound precip.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I've also found that these maps badly render actual base "normal" precipitation. Sometimes they'll represent "dry" areas where there is natural downsloping, and vice versa for upsloping areas. For instance, is Sequim really as anomalously dry as depicted in this graphic, or does the map simply misestimate that region's relatively dry climate; blending in the wetter normals of the rest of western Washington? Same goes for the Forks area and the cascade foothills, on the wet end of the spectrum. Taken literally this map would depict a wet season with a tighter than usual gradient between mountain precip and sound precip.

They’re definitely not 100% accurate. It’s a broad brush especially considering how many microclimates are in western WA but still can paint a decent picture. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Well nobody started a new April thread from what I saw so I started one. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I've also found that these maps badly render actual base "normal" precipitation. Sometimes they'll represent "dry" areas where there is natural downsloping, and vice versa for upsloping areas. For instance, is Sequim really as anomalously dry as depicted in this graphic, or does the map simply misestimate that region's relatively dry climate; blending in the wetter normals of the rest of western Washington? Same goes for the Forks area and the cascade foothills, on the wet end of the spectrum. Taken literally this map would depict a wet season with a tighter than usual gradient between mountain precip and sound precip.

Yeah, you're right. According to ACIS Sequim is 122% of normal on the water year so definitely not below normal. Maybe for precipitation the PRISM estimates are slightly more accurate although they have their own problems as well probably.

 

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.24 (2010)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 21.75" (12/24: Tr, 12/25: 5", 12/26: 3", 12/27: 1.5", 12/28: Tr, 12/29: 1", 12/30: 3", 1/5: 2.5", 1/6: 1", 2/2: Tr, 2/21: 1.5", 2/22: 0.75", 2/23: 1.5", 2/24: 1")

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36F and partly cloudy.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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