snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 GEFS is juiced along and south of I-80 in Nebraska. WxBell skips from 24 hour time frame to 4 days, otherwise 48 hour would be ideal lol. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 00z Euro 60-84 hrs 84-108 hrs 108-132 hrs 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 24 Hr Cobb totals- 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 EPS same track, but kinda weak Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 Winter Storm Watch just to my northwest so far. NWS Hastings morning disco talks about the storm, but afraid of being burned. I would bet they issue a watch this afternoon if noon models are favorable. However, they are an interesting office with their forecasts so who knows. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 Haven’t seen this type of forecast this winter. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 6z EC Mean 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 2 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: Haven’t seen this type of forecast this winter. Mother Nature says she was having some supply chain issues but is now going to make the deliveries for your area! Hopefully no last minute snags. Good luck! 3 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 12Z NAM. Good hit right over my house. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 As usual we missed our chance this weekend. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 Models are really honing in on the south half of NE and IA and northern MO for this one. RGEM below for illustration. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 GFS shifting further south this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 12z CMC Kuchera: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 Don’t like how this trending for Nebraska, by 00z it’s going to be 1-3” 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 8 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Don’t like how this trending for Nebraska, by 00z it’s going to be 1-3” Looking worse and worse for me too in SE Wisconsin, my fellow victim of old man winter's neglect. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 At this point, unless it is going to be something double digits I'd just as soon not have any more snow. I'm ready for spring 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 12Z Euro is up and running. Let's see if the south trend of the other models continues. I'm pretty happy where I am at now, but wouldn't want much more of a south shift. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 Old Man Winter this year is like the bad relative that shows up late for the family gathering and then won't leave...lol. Oh well, maybe some last minute stat padding... 3 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 Local ABC Met. saying 5-10" south of I 80. This is where I live. Probably a pretty good start with changes still to come, one way or the other. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 12Z Euro. Little further south than previous runs, amounts have come down a few inches. We'll see if this is also a trend or not in future runs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 This afternoon's runs have not been kind to my area. I have been missed all winter so far and wouldn't be shocked if I get missed again. These clippers tend to throw a lot of curve balls before the event so I'm sure more changes are to come. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 31 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: 12Z Euro. Little further south than previous runs, amounts have come down a few inches. We'll see if this is also a trend or not in future runs. Thought that was 10:1 and then saw it was Kuchera 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 1" at LNK brings us all the way to 4.8" for the season, reports across town generally 1-2". I slept in until like 11 lol, but there was still around 1.5-2" outside of direct sunlight. It should be about completely gone by the end of the afternoon. It's always when there's a 30% chance of snow it overperforms, not when there's already snow accumulation forecasted Need 2.4" on Thursday to match the least snowiest season on record (7.2"). If that doesn't happen, there's a pretty good chance 2021-22 will take the top spot for the lowest season ever. Edit: whoops wrong thread Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 What falls now is just needed Moisture because it’s only gonna stick around for a day or two Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 GEFS further south and weaker as well. Now 3.5" in Lincoln vs. 5" at 00z. Any further shifts and we're probably out of the game, 00z runs tonight are going to be scary. 2 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 42 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: Thought that was 10:1 and then saw it was Kuchera I had to check it myself. Not a great run of models today so far, except for the NAM. This thing might have more surprises ahead. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 37 minutes ago, snowstorm83 said: 1" at LNK brings us all the way to 4.8" for the season, reports across town generally 1-2". I slept in until like 11 lol, but there was still around 1.5-2" outside of direct sunlight. It should be about completely gone by the end of the afternoon. It's always when there's a 30% chance of snow it overperforms, not when there's already snow accumulation forecasted Need 2.4" on Thursday to match the least snowiest season on record (7.2"). If that doesn't happen, there's a pretty good chance 2021-22 will take the top spot for the lowest season ever. Edit: whoops wrong thread I don't mean to brag, but with our 2.8", we're up to 11.8" IMBY. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: I don't mean to brag, but with our 2.8", we're up to 11.8" IMBY. Whoa, my 2" last night brought us up to about 9" for the season. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said: I had to check it myself. Not a great run of models today so far, except for the NAM. This thing might have more surprises ahead. NAM has fooled me several times being north and wet, especially in the 2-3 day range. Speaking of the devil, 18z NAM is coming in slightly south and weaker. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 18z NAM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 NWS Hastings initial snow forecast, subject to updating and change. Local Met. saying 5-10" so fairly close. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 Yawn. Looks like another 2-4" for Omaha. The snow chances begin to slowly increase Wednesday afternoon, but really get going Wednesday night, and linger through Thursday. Models today have perhaps come into better agreement on the track of the storm system, and have perhaps shifted just slightly south. The evening commute should be OK Wednesday with flurries mostly just beginning. The snow becomes moderate into the evening and overnight and will definitely have an impact on the morning commute Thursday with a few inches of snow on the ground at that point. Winds during the event will be from the northeast gusting up to 20 mph, so there could be a small chance of blowing an drifting, but it could certainly be worse. Meanwhile, the snow will end in northeast NE Thursday afternoon, and end along/south of I80 early Thursday evening. Overall, the upcoming event feels like a solid winter weather advisory with some travel impacts expected. Our storm totals range from 2 to 6 inches, depending on location, which matches well with both the 12z GEFS and EC ensembles. The 25th/75th percentile ranges with the QPF we have forecast will show 1 to 8 (with the highest amounts in southeast NE). 8 inches seems like a bit of stretch to me, as even purely NBM 75th percentile output still only shows amounts up to around 6.5 inches. The snow will be spread out over a 24 hour period so that will help manage the impacts, despite what could be pretty messy commute Thursday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 Lol omg the 18z GFS Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 GFS just shifted several hundred miles south. Hard to trust that model right now. It's had a very rough winter. Hard to put much stock in it right now. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 1 minute ago, bud2380 said: GFS just shifted several hundred miles south. Hard to trust that model right now. It's had a very rough winter. Hard to put much stock in it right now. I believe this system will push south with strong high pressure pushing in fr the North. It looks like it’s going to be moving south of 1-80 and between 1-70 at the moment Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 7, 2022 Report Share Posted March 7, 2022 NWS Hastings holding off on issuing Winter Storm Watch for now. Knowing them they’ll issue it during the storm. Their disco gives many reasons to issue one, but not ready yet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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