CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Been off the site for awhile. We are having our Parent Teacher Conferences. Taking a little break. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 21z SREF at a 10:1. The more models I look at the more confused I get. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Nam is south (at least in Nebraska so far) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralweather44 Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, jcwxguy said: Nam is south (at least in Nebraska so far) Some how this doesn’t surprise me. Caving to the GFS? How does it treat Lincoln? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 GFS for the win! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, centralweather44 said: Some how this doesn’t surprise me. Caving to the GFS? How does it treat Lincoln? We do decent but on the edge. Much less in Omaha. Just another step towards the GFS. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Jim Flowers says this storm will have 17:1 ratio. Thinks there could be more than the models show. He is talking about Omaha, but probably would be the same for other places. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Ouch I’ve seen this movie before this year. That dreaded northeast wind and dry air killing it for me. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 50 minutes ago, jcwxguy said: This model has been very consistent for this storm. We’ll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 11 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Ouch I’ve seen this movie before this year. That dreaded northeast wind and dry air killing it for me. I’m afraid that may hurt your amounts. Someone mentioned that yesterday, can’t remember who. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Looking at the HRRR beyond a 18-24 hr lead time seems risky. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, winterfreak said: Looking at the HRRR beyond a 18-24 hr lead time seems risky. Yeah NAM is already moving towards GFS and Euro. I imagine models will mostly be corrected by tomorrow morning. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 0z NWS Blend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 0z HRW WRF NSSL 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Lots of models. Now we are waiting for reality to see which one is the closest. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 This winter blows. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 2 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 03z RAP. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Ukie is south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralweather44 Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Live or die for the short term models for us in Lincoln. Gripping on straws here. Not a good thing. Lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Wow, didn't think that we could possibly end up with only a dusting to an inch out of this system but here we are again... what a garbage Winter here. Stick a fork in it and bring on Spring this weekend! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 KC magnet??? 0z EPS showing the dry northerly flow and the "bullseye" near KC proper... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Winter Storm Warning issued. ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 7 inches. * WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas and central, north central, northwest and west central Missouri. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 6z models are mostly in agreement with the GFS being the furthest south. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 2 hours ago, Tom said: KC magnet??? 0z EPS showing the dry northerly flow and the "bullseye" near KC proper... NWS Hastings morning disco spent most of their time on the dry air cutting back on amounts in the north. My location is right on the edge. Maybe far enough south to get 5" or more. Could also see 2-3" if the band is too far south and dry air continues to sag. We'll take what we can get. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 06z NWS Blend. This is basically an I80 to I70 storm. The cutoffs are pretty sharp. This shows my county getting 7". However, about 30 miles north is 3-4". 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Good read from Lezak this morning https://www.kshb.com/weather/weather-blog-major-snowstorm-targets-kansas-city 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 This winter can die a slow death. Been cut off and on the edge of every storm and missed in all directions. With this miss I should finish the year off with less than 5” of snow. Wohoo to futility! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 12Z HRRR. Very sharp cutoffs on both sides of the band that seems to be getting narrower. On this run, my county has 4" on the northern edge to 8" on the southern edge. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 44 minutes ago, gabel23 said: This winter can die a slow death. Why not a quick death? 3 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 12z NAM Kuchera: 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Just started snowing here in the last 30 minutes. I see by the 511 site that many places north and west of here are already snow covered. I will be waiting anxiously this evening when the main band comes up from the southwest. Will it just miss me to the south, or can it shift a little north? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, someweatherdude said: Funny. He has the heaviest stuff southeast of the city. NWS has it northwest of the city. Gary's looks closest to the GFS, which I understand he tends to favor (and which has outperformed the Euro for the KC area this year). I don’t get the NWS snow map either. All the models show the heaviest band over and south of the city but they have the band 2 counties north. I’m sure they will be changing their map or have egg on their face tomorrow 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 Lolz. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 17 minutes ago, someweatherdude said: Funny. He has the heaviest stuff southeast of the city. NWS has it northwest of the city. Gary's looks closest to the GFS, which I understand he tends to favor (and which has outperformed the Euro for the KC area this year). 13 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: I don’t get the NWS snow map either. All the models show the heaviest band over and south of the city but they have the band 2 counties north. I’m sure they will be changing their map or have egg on their face tomorrow I am watching to see if that 2nd piece of energy misses us to the SE. The NWS map is awful, it will be changed drastically this afternoon I bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2022 Report Share Posted March 9, 2022 14Z RAP, only to 21 hours. That pink band is what I'll be watching. Where that ultimately sets up is the key. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.