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Powerful Spring Equinox Storm System


Tom

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5 hours ago, Tom said:

Tonight's 0z EPS is taking away more of the SN out west and increasing totals over the GL's.  Strong E flow off of Superior will surely dump SN up near the Arrowhead.  Prob a repeat scenarios of what we saw earlier this month when Duluth raked up totals.

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0z EPS precip mean...trending E...

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Horrendous again for Nebraska. Drought breeds drought. 

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3 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

This system has quickly turned into a big nothingburger for SE SD. Hardly any snow and not even that much total QPF. Lame.

 

Story of the year so far for most of NE/ SD… this pattern has been lame for most of us west of the Missouri River, and it just won’t break.

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Bad day in North Tx. 
80*.  16% humidity  Wind Constant 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.  
NO relief in sight yet   
Fire and Wind Warnings Ip  

Another fire SW of Ft Worth. Burned 3000 acres so far today, still burning at this writing.   This is not going to stop. The drought west of us is growing and rain is not sufficient to turn this around.  I have seen many photos of heart broken ranchers digging trenches and plowing a sizable part of their herd into it.  Mind you this is the calving time of yr and ranchers lose 2 cows with pregnant heifers.  

Really tough to see hardened ranchers  reduced to tears.  They cut fences to try to herd them to safety but cannot reach them all due to fire or smoke. 
 

I live in the far SW corner of the county Ft Worth is in. I’ve seen wildfires come within a half block of me here and right up to our house when we lived west of Weatherford 30 miles from where I am now.  
It’s really dangerous for us now.

Rain in the forecast tomorrow I hope they  got it right!!
Won’t be enough. 
We need a super soaker. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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12 minutes ago, Andie said:

We need a super soaker. 

A Texas Tropical Cyclone may do the trick, back in 2012, even Coastal residents wanted a Tropical Cyclone to end the drought.

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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50 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

A Texas Tropical Cyclone may do the trick, back in 2012, even Coastal residents wanted a Tropical Cyclone to end the drought.

That’s a ways off I’m afraid.  
But we’ll certainly take it!!

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE...

1.png

 

Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's...

2.png

 

0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil

3.png

 

 

Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet???

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region.  I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology

 

 

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3 hours ago, Tom said:

0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE...

1.png

 

Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's...

2.png

 

0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil

3.png

 

 

Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet???

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region.  I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology

 

 

Local forecasts saying 1-3" snow overnight.  Very poor morning disco from NWS Hastings that read like a forecast on my apps, so who knows exactly.  They did say models have increased from yesterday.  

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4 hours ago, Tom said:

0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE...

1.png

 

Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's...

2.png

 

0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil

3.png

 

 

Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet???

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

 

Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region.  I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology

 

 

Crazy to see these models and all forecasters calling for no snow up here and just rain snow mix slop. Should be interesting. 

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Could get bumpy here tomorrow.

day2otlk_0600.gif

 ...Far eastern Kansas and into Missouri...
   As an upper low moves out of eastern Kansas and across Missouri
   Tuesday, cold air aloft/steep mid-level lapse rates will reside
   across the area.  An eastern Kansas surface low is likewise forecast
   to shift into/across Missouri with time.  As modest daytime heating
   of the warm sector occurs, increasing low-topped, surface-based CAPE
   will support development of showers and scattered thunderstorms. 
   With relatively strong mid-level flow expected in advance of the
   upper low, and ample low-level veering with height -- particularly
   in the eastern and northeastern quadrant of the surface low -- a few
   stronger storms will likely evolve.  As such, hail, and a few
   damaging gusts, will be possible, and even a tornado will be
   possible in the cold-core-type setup.  At this time, will introduce
   a MRGL risk area, but upgrade to SLGT could be necessary in later
   outlooks.
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Models have come into agreement for around 1.5" of QPF for Omaha/Lincoln with a band of snow setting up between Lincoln and Grand Island tomorrow morning. I would love to wake up to a surprise tomorrow morning but I doubt it anything will accumulate even if a changeover occurs. Regardless the mid 30s and rain will be welcome. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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Blizzard warning for the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma. Hoping this storm throws us a surprise up in my area! Actually I don't care, I just want some precip in the worst way. 

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations up
  to 3 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph.

* WHERE...In Oklahoma, Texas and Beaver Counties. Portions of the
  southwest, central and northeast Texas Panhandle.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Monday evening and Tuesday morning
  commutes. Strong winds could cause extensive damage to trees and
  power lines.
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Here we go, just put into a WWA. 

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM CDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches,
  with locally higher amounts of 4 inches. North winds gusting as
  high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east
  central and south central Nebraska.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds
  could cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of strong winds and falling
  snow can lower visibilities to less than 1 mile at times. Rain
  will change to snow from northwest to southeast. Some locations
  south and east of the tri-cities may not transition to snow
  until near dawn.
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1 minute ago, gabel23 said:

Here we go, just put into a WWA. 

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM CDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches,
  with locally higher amounts of 4 inches. North winds gusting as
  high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east
  central and south central Nebraska.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds
  could cause tree damage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of strong winds and falling
  snow can lower visibilities to less than 1 mile at times. Rain
  will change to snow from northwest to southeast. Some locations
  south and east of the tri-cities may not transition to snow
  until near dawn.

I see I was also put in one.

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We’re at 74.  Wind is 20mph but gusting to 44!   Fun driving today.  
We had one nice downpour but quiet since.  There is a line west of DFW that should deliver more rain…plz! 
We’ve got 1 more shot!

Overcast 
Humidity 77% and Dew at 62.  
 

C’mon rain!

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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