CentralNebWeather Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 5 hours ago, Tom said: Tonight's 0z EPS is taking away more of the SN out west and increasing totals over the GL's. Strong E flow off of Superior will surely dump SN up near the Arrowhead. Prob a repeat scenarios of what we saw earlier this month when Duluth raked up totals. 0z EPS precip mean...trending E... Horrendous again for Nebraska. Drought breeds drought. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 9 hours ago, Andie said: Am I going to get my tookus whipped? No, Lots of Supercell activity in Southern Texas, Houston is now under an Enhanced risk for Tornadoes Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 26 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Horrendous again for Nebraska. Drought breeds drought. Welcome to the Drought Feedback loop. 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 Rare D3 Moderate risk issued for Mississippi & Louisiana 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 All I can say here is OH MY GOSH! 2 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 3 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: This system has quickly turned into a big nothingburger for SE SD. Hardly any snow and not even that much total QPF. Lame. Story of the year so far for most of NE/ SD… this pattern has been lame for most of us west of the Missouri River, and it just won’t break. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 15z SREF looks better for Central Nebraska. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 31 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: 15z SREF looks better for Central Nebraska. That’s a heck of an improvement. Hopefully this pans out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 18z NAM is west and looking snowy for Central Nebraska. Another much needed (would normally be very annoying) cold rain for SE Nebraska. 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 12z Euro further west than previous run. 12z GFS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 36 minutes ago, Clinton said: 12z Euro further west than previous run. 12z GFS Please 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 1 hour ago, snowstorm83 said: NWS Hastings is not bullish on much precipitation or snow. They believe most is going way southeast. Let’s hope for a last minute model surprise with a northwest shift. I don’t care if it’s rain or snow at this point. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 18z NAM precipitation. Huge jump from the 12z run 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 18z NAM snowfall from pivotal weather just for fun. 10:1 ratio. We’ll see. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 18z NAM 3km precipitation to 60 hours. Looking much better 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 Looks like the 18z GFS with also a shift west. Very similar to the NAM with amounts. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 Bad day in North Tx. 80*. 16% humidity Wind Constant 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. NO relief in sight yet Fire and Wind Warnings Ip Another fire SW of Ft Worth. Burned 3000 acres so far today, still burning at this writing. This is not going to stop. The drought west of us is growing and rain is not sufficient to turn this around. I have seen many photos of heart broken ranchers digging trenches and plowing a sizable part of their herd into it. Mind you this is the calving time of yr and ranchers lose 2 cows with pregnant heifers. Really tough to see hardened ranchers reduced to tears. They cut fences to try to herd them to safety but cannot reach them all due to fire or smoke. I live in the far SW corner of the county Ft Worth is in. I’ve seen wildfires come within a half block of me here and right up to our house when we lived west of Weatherford 30 miles from where I am now. It’s really dangerous for us now. Rain in the forecast tomorrow I hope they got it right!! Won’t be enough. We need a super soaker. 2 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 20, 2022 Report Share Posted March 20, 2022 12 minutes ago, Andie said: We need a super soaker. A Texas Tropical Cyclone may do the trick, back in 2012, even Coastal residents wanted a Tropical Cyclone to end the drought. 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 50 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: A Texas Tropical Cyclone may do the trick, back in 2012, even Coastal residents wanted a Tropical Cyclone to end the drought. That’s a ways off I’m afraid. But we’ll certainly take it!! 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Seems all rain this way....gonna get messy real quick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 OH MY- 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 21, 2022 Author Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE... Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's... 0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet??? Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region. I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 3 hours ago, Tom said: 0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE... Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's... 0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet??? Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region. I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology Local forecasts saying 1-3" snow overnight. Very poor morning disco from NWS Hastings that read like a forecast on my apps, so who knows exactly. They did say models have increased from yesterday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 4 hours ago, Tom said: 0z EPS...the last couple runs the EPS is trying to paint a snow band from CO/W KS thru C NE... Sorta backed off the snow in the N GL's... 0z Euro...not as aggressive as previous runs which wil Meantime, the 0z GFS is trying to give DSM another hit... @Grizzcoatand his snow magnet??? Needless to say, the evolution of this storm will be fascinating as it slowly tracks thru the Sub and occludes over the GL's region. I'm already preparing my psyche for some gloomy, dreary days ahead....#reversepsychology Crazy to see these models and all forecasters calling for no snow up here and just rain snow mix slop. Should be interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Could get bumpy here tomorrow. ...Far eastern Kansas and into Missouri... As an upper low moves out of eastern Kansas and across Missouri Tuesday, cold air aloft/steep mid-level lapse rates will reside across the area. An eastern Kansas surface low is likewise forecast to shift into/across Missouri with time. As modest daytime heating of the warm sector occurs, increasing low-topped, surface-based CAPE will support development of showers and scattered thunderstorms. With relatively strong mid-level flow expected in advance of the upper low, and ample low-level veering with height -- particularly in the eastern and northeastern quadrant of the surface low -- a few stronger storms will likely evolve. As such, hail, and a few damaging gusts, will be possible, and even a tornado will be possible in the cold-core-type setup. At this time, will introduce a MRGL risk area, but upgrade to SLGT could be necessary in later outlooks. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Forecast sounding for Angola, MS @ 18Z tomorrow. Looks like a discrete threat as there will already be an MCS cooking. 2 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Models have come into agreement for around 1.5" of QPF for Omaha/Lincoln with a band of snow setting up between Lincoln and Grand Island tomorrow morning. I would love to wake up to a surprise tomorrow morning but I doubt it anything will accumulate even if a changeover occurs. Regardless the mid 30s and rain will be welcome. 6 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Stay away cold front!! Made it to 73.0 a bit ago, but cooled down to 66 with clouds rapidly moving in. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Blizzard warning for the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma. Hoping this storm throws us a surprise up in my area! Actually I don't care, I just want some precip in the worst way. ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations up to 3 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 65 mph. * WHERE...In Oklahoma, Texas and Beaver Counties. Portions of the southwest, central and northeast Texas Panhandle. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday evening and Tuesday morning commutes. Strong winds could cause extensive damage to trees and power lines. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 19 hours ago, Andie said: That’s a ways off I’m afraid. But we’ll certainly take it!! I hope Texas gets hit by fast moving tropical depressions and storms this Summer and Autumn. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Here we go, just put into a WWA. ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM CDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, with locally higher amounts of 4 inches. North winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east central and south central Nebraska. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM CDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of strong winds and falling snow can lower visibilities to less than 1 mile at times. Rain will change to snow from northwest to southeast. Some locations south and east of the tri-cities may not transition to snow until near dawn. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Its very windy, humid and warm in Brownsville, TX. Earlier they had gusts at 60mph! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 1 minute ago, gabel23 said: Here we go, just put into a WWA. ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM CDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches, with locally higher amounts of 4 inches. North winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east central and south central Nebraska. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 1 PM CDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The combination of strong winds and falling snow can lower visibilities to less than 1 mile at times. Rain will change to snow from northwest to southeast. Some locations south and east of the tri-cities may not transition to snow until near dawn. I see I was also put in one. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 We’re having more winter in the last week than we had all winter and now it’s spring. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 Heckova storm complex down here. Tornadic sorms over N.C. TX. March is roaring like a lion today, for sure. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted March 21, 2022 Report Share Posted March 21, 2022 We’re at 74. Wind is 20mph but gusting to 44! Fun driving today. We had one nice downpour but quiet since. There is a line west of DFW that should deliver more rain…plz! We’ve got 1 more shot! Overcast Humidity 77% and Dew at 62. C’mon rain! 6 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.