Jump to content
The Weather Forums

April 2022 Observations & Discussions


Recommended Posts

It currently looks like that April 2022 is going to be wetter-than-normal for most of the Eastern & Southern USA, the Ensembles are going crazy for that.

  • Excited 2

Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tom pinned this topic
13 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

It currently looks like that April 2022 is going to be wetter-than-normal for most of the Eastern & Southern USA, the Ensembles are going crazy for that.

I hope that includes North Tx.  
We really need it!!

  • Like 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Early April is not looking good at all.

image.thumb.png.69caa2da4ce6cf8cf3e77e0bbadd07b7.png

  • Like 1
  • Snow 1
  • Sick 1
  • Downvote 1

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, Thunder98 said:

Ugh I wish every state was shaded in green

I know, I wish that too, but the patterns would not let that happen anytime soon :(

  • Sad 1

Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Are the "Ides of March" going to continue into April???  It appears the pattern will continue as potent troughs barrel their way into the PAC NW/West Coast and make their way through the Rockies into our Sub.  The Trio of Climate Models are all suggesting that the next 30 days are not signaling a return to Spring for the North/East members but those in the south are going to see some real summer time warmth induced by storms that will likely pump up the GOM warmth.  Gosh, I'm so ready for some warmer wx.

1.png

 

2.png

 

The JMA...cool/cold and wet for MW/GL's...

Y202203.D2312_gl2.png

 

Y202203.D2312_gl0.png

 

If you are to believe the Euro Weeklies, there is a signal that sometime after mid April a ridge could develop over the heartland of the nation....Iirc, the LRC suggests the active pattern to subside during this time which would allow for real warmth to build.  My concern, however, is the high lat blocking will put a wrench into any true sustained warmth near the GL's and parts of the MW.  The -NAO is not forecast to go away anytime soon and this could very well be a part of the summer pattern as well.  Something interesting is happening in the atmosphere this year and I'm getting a feeling that blocking will be a part of our pattern heading into Summer.

1.gif

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The 3/25/2022 0z GEFS Ultra-Long Range is currently suggesting Above-Normal Rainfall for the Southern Plains for most of April

  • Excited 1

Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Buckle up, the pattern that keeps on giving will continue the storm parade...this time, however, we may be seeing more of a "southern stream" storm track and not so many cutters with blocking really blossoming up on top and the EPO relaxing after a brief spike into + territory.  A winter lover's dream but in the wrong season....nature may be delivering more "stat padding" April snows in the Plains/MW....#AprilFools???

1.gif

2.gif

 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On this cold Monday morning (21F), there is no sugar coating this week's weather around these parts as the doldrums of Spring shall continue.  The Good, The Bad and The Ugly....The Good??  Moisture....The Bad...more cloudy, chilly and Sub normal temps likely....The Ugly....The CFSv2 is painting a very dreary and cold April for most of this Sub Forum....BUT, the Silver Lining....MOISTURE....I'm seeing a potent shot of some chilly air in the D 10-15 period targeting more of the eastern Sub and would not be surprised to see some LES and system snow near the GL's region.  

The key elements to the LR pattern ahead, is very active storm track coupled with high lat blocking that will produce a corridor of systems to track across our Sub.  It's going to be an active Severe Wx season for our southern members but how far north it gets is looking less likely, except for the KC region and maybe at times the S MW/Lower Lakes.  Our member in KY @Timmy_Supercellshould see some boomers this month.

 

 

1.png

2.png

  • Like 1
  • Storm 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

If the LR clues that I normally would use during the winter are right, Easter Weekend for the eastern CONUS, esp the GL's/MW will see a major trough in the region.  I know its a long ways out but this idea is strictly based on what I see is forecast to develop around Hudson Bay & W NAMER where it will create a favorable pattern to amplify the North American 500mb pattern.  If you are thinking of making any plans to head south to escape the cold, I recommend it.

 

temp30anim.gif

 

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pretty strong, slow-moving low advertised on the global models for next week. Euro basically stalls it in the arrowhead for a day @992mb, GFS brings the low over me. That'll be something to watch next week, at least for us Northerners.

  • Like 2

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, MSP_Weather said:

Pretty strong, slow-moving low advertised on the global models for next week. Euro basically stalls it in the arrowhead for a day @992mb, GFS brings the low over me. That'll be something to watch next week, at least for us Northerners.

Wow, I actually did not look at GFS close enough before making this post. GFS actually brings a CO low up towards me, it actually cuts up here like a bowling ball. It phases with Euro's clipper over the Dakotas and brings worlds of fun to me. Euro just keeps the lows separate.

  • Like 1

>1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"),

 

Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7"                                                  Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Where have we seem this before???  The southern stream storm track continues to show that the "slot" has been a magnet for areas of LP to eject out near the TX PanHandle region.  3-peat???  As @MSP_Weathermentioned, another powerhouse storm is poised to target the MW/GL's region.  This is a storm generating pattern I have not seen in quite some time.  In years past, we would see 1, maybe 2, of these gigantic systems but to track one per week is rather unusual.  I'm pretty sure the high lat blocking has something to do with it, thus keeping the jet stream stronger than normal.  These systems just wanna...dig, dig, dig and GO BIG!

1.gif

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Who's ready for some #RealSpring weather?  The models are suggesting a reversal in the PNA (-) that will pop the SER and alongside the +EPO will flood the Sub with a "Spring Surge" as temps will likely head into the 70's/80's for a lot of peeps on here...some may see Summer time temps! 

First, however, there are multiple systems to track every other day it seems for parts of the MW into the GL's.  Some models even suggest more stat padding snow for parts of IA/WI this weekend and next Monday and then the Big storm late next week.

1.gif

 

1.png

 

 

 

  • Like 3
  • Excited 2
  • Snow 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Off the charts lightning display from this recent hard pushing front.  
it’s been a while since Mother Nature went bonkers.  😄

 

  • Like 4

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Joe Bastardi has this to say for April 2022, & we need to get ready for anything, especially if we need to jump into our Storm Shelters.

 

  • Like 3

Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Euro and EPS both showing about day 9-10 (April 8th-9th) before we show signs of an actual warm up.  

The average high for April 8th in Cedar Rapids is 57.3 and in Iowa City it is 60.1, so this would be right around average, which would feel great compared to this dismal weather we've been having.  

sfctmax_024h.conus.png

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1

Season Snowfall: 0.00"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The latest Euro has two compact, fairly potent, snow systems through early next week.  All the models show the Saturday morning snow.

image.thumb.png.21f8080b9b8649183a43b79d255eaf80.png

image.thumb.png.33a403a87f75e6e39db86f3aa7e13467.png

  • Like 1
  • Snow 1

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Today's Euro showing a pretty wet pattern over the next week.  Unfortunately, it does not include Nebraska.

image.thumb.png.12c7cfb12e6c949eac13f8b5420111c6.png

  • Like 2
  • Sad 1

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The 0z Euro is showing some pretty strong wind gusts into all of NE on Sun afternoon from that vigorous upper level wave that will track into the MW.  A bit of a wave train is setting up shop and will continue the wet/active/cool pattern into next week. 

Max gusts up to 50-60mph???  Hold onto your hats!  #NEDustBowl

3.png

More snow??  Yup...precip through Tuesday...

1.png

2.png

 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Welcome to April. One of the issues I have with the CoCoRaHS is that the time that is used is 7AM to 7AM thus the amounts of rain/snow do not match up with the official NWS readings. Anyway that said I recorded 0.09" of rain/melted snow yesterday and overnight. The overnight low here was 30 and it looks like the official overnight low at GRR was 31. I have a trace of snow on the ground at this time with a current temperature of 32. March ended up with a mean temperature of 36.2 at Grand Rapids and that was just a departure of +0.5. There was 3.50" of rain/melted snow and that is above the average of 2.39" and 6.0" of snow fell that is below the average of 7.6". At Muskegon it was also wet and somewhat mild with less snow fall. At Lansing all three were above average as they had above average snow fall as well.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NWS is thinking there will be a band of 1-3" (isolated 4") of snow in the area tonight, probably a bit north of me.  The 06z HRRR does sink it down to Cedar Rapids, but it's a south outlier.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z Euro looking quite breezy with that system next week.

Gusts approaching or exceeding 70 mph, with widespread 55-65 mph common across the N/Central Plains and into the Midwest.

Edit: Woops, see I Tom already mentioned this. Oh well... More pretty colors!

sfcgustmax_006h_mph.us_nc.png

sfcgustmax_006h_mph.us_nc.png

  • Like 2

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The 12z HRRR continues to be farther south with tonight's snow.  It will probably be a bit north and weaker than this.

image.thumb.png.892766b19a5da04d408469dc44ff8501.png

  • Like 2

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NAM is trending weaker, and it's still mostly north of Cedar Rapids.  The FV3 is also nothing like the HRRR.  I expect the HRRR to back off at 18z and 00z.

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Mother Nature knows today is April Fools apparently. For a brief less than 10 minutes a wet snow shower came over me and briefly produced a 40-45mph gust. Some graupel was falling too. 

It made the grass all white for a few minutes. 

  • Like 3

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 3/31/2022 at 9:43 AM, Iceresistance said:

@Andie

Already something worth watching on Monday, April 4th from the WP

day5p24iwbg_fill (1).gif

Wow,  more rain.  Love it.  We may be on the edge of the good stuff but I'll take it. 

Is all this goodness due to the Nino backing off, of just dumb luck??

 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

47 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

I'm going to visit my parents tomorrow (in northeast Iowa), if the GFS is correct they'll have several inches of new snow.

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

That's something else for sure. I've never experienced more than 2" on the ground in the month of April when I lived in Klamath Falls. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Welcome to April!  Will April showers, or rather, snow showers bring May flowers??  If this wet/cool pattern continues through April across the eastern ag belt, I'm worried that the soils will be to wet for the farmers to get out there and till the soils.  Let's think warmer thoughts bc the models are showing relief from this abysmal cool, cloudy, wet pattern we have been stuck in.   I read that Chicago has recorded (9) 100% cloudy days since MAR 17th.  I'm soo looking forward to see the sunshine today, albeit, a cool day in the 40's.

With that being said, a warmer pattern is on the horizon and a pattern that is ripe for severe wx action....the clash of airmass's is going to ignite some boomers...SW Flow aloft is a classic signal...

1.gif

 

1.png

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, Andie said:

Wow,  more rain.  Love it.  We may be on the edge of the good stuff but I'll take it. 

Is all this goodness due to the Nino backing off, of just dumb luck??

 

You mean La Nina...and no, it's not backing off...in fact, its holding on strong through this summer...IMHO, it's the amount of blocking that is allowing storms to dig a lot farther south this Spring compared to recent ones where storms cut NW of your region and OK.  This season storms are tracking into the Deep South and ultimately producing more action down your way.  Enjoy as much of it as you can bc I think the heat will build in come May/June.

1.gif

 

wkxzteq_anm.gif

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The formerly south outlier HRRR is trending north with tonight's snow.  It is now mostly north of Cedar Rapids.

image.thumb.png.1ed7d85fea77a07eaa1f56abd714806f.png

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The HRRR is suggesting that there could be a narrow 4-5" band somewhere in eastern Iowa. Looks like it's just north of highway 30 as of the most recent run.

I doubt we will see more than 2" in CR but anything is possible. WWA just issued for CR.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, Tom said:

You mean La Nina...and no, it's not backing off...in fact, its holding on strong through this summer...IMHO, it's the amount of blocking that is allowing storms to dig a lot farther south this Spring compared to recent ones where storms cut NW of your region and OK.  This season storms are tracking into the Deep South and ultimately producing more action down your way.  Enjoy as much of it as you can bc I think the heat will build in come May/June.

 

 

 

Yup, Nina, my bad.  We need the rain if we can avoid the hail and tornados.  So far it looks like those are tracking further east.  But we haven't had enough heating yet. The deep south has.  Still a bit chilly here.  We need a rainy spring without the drama.  I'll be happy to observe from afar. 

  • Like 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Models have locked into the HW20 corridor for the snow tonight.  It's looking like little, if any, snow in Cedar Rapids.

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

With a official high of just 37 yesterday was a very cold start to April. And the overnight low of of at least 23 will be one of the colder lows for April 2nd so a cold start to April 2022. At the current time it is a frosty 22 here in MBY.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Our next rise back to 60º, which isn't much above normal at this point, keeps getting pushed back to day 10.  We'll have trouble getting out of the 40s on several days. 🙁

  • Sad 1
  • scream 1

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Strong storms in Texas from the Red River to San Antone.  Looks like the Gulf air is cooperating but it could get bumpy.   If we can avoid the hail fine, but I’ll have a husband on I35 driving South to an Austin conference in the a.m.  Not crazy about that.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From GRR's March summary:

image.png.f876707d9381c0f193cc16c19d7662ab.png

Began the new month with a -5F departure and mid-afternoon SHSN.

Where was this in December when we wanted to see at least mood flakes.

..and this week's 30's & 40's is pure suckage 😒

  • Like 2
  • Sad 2

Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I finished with 0.45" of precip, nearly all rain.  A bit of snow fell at the end, but not enough to measure.

  • Like 1

season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

Models have locked into the HW20 corridor for the snow tonight.  It's looking like little, if any, snow in Cedar Rapids.

I drove all day and night from Virginia. Rained turned to very heavy snow just south of Waterloo. Heaviest I have seen all season. I was able to make it home just after sunrise. Looked like a couple inches of very wet snow. And now it's all melted. 41°.

My band's tour ended 3 days early due to an illness so we did a 20hr drive home. That one took a lot of coffee.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share


×
×
  • Create New...