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April 2022 Observations & Discussions


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9 hours ago, Tom said:

You mean La Nina...and no, it's not backing off...in fact, its holding on strong through this summer...IMHO, it's the amount of blocking that is allowing storms to dig a lot farther south this Spring compared to recent ones where storms cut NW of your region and OK.  This season storms are tracking into the Deep South and ultimately producing more action down your way.  Enjoy as much of it as you can bc I think the heat will build in come May/June.

 

 

 

Yup, Nina, my bad.  We need the rain if we can avoid the hail and tornados.  So far it looks like those are tracking further east.  But we haven't had enough heating yet. The deep south has.  Still a bit chilly here.  We need a rainy spring without the drama.  I'll be happy to observe from afar. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Models have locked into the HW20 corridor for the snow tonight.  It's looking like little, if any, snow in Cedar Rapids.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Our next rise back to 60º, which isn't much above normal at this point, keeps getting pushed back to day 10.  We'll have trouble getting out of the 40s on several days. 🙁

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Strong storms in Texas from the Red River to San Antone.  Looks like the Gulf air is cooperating but it could get bumpy.   If we can avoid the hail fine, but I’ll have a husband on I35 driving South to an Austin conference in the a.m.  Not crazy about that.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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From GRR's March summary:

image.png.f876707d9381c0f193cc16c19d7662ab.png

Began the new month with a -5F departure and mid-afternoon SHSN.

Where was this in December when we wanted to see at least mood flakes.

..and this week's 30's & 40's is pure suckage 😒

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I finished with 0.45" of precip, nearly all rain.  A bit of snow fell at the end, but not enough to measure.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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16 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

Models have locked into the HW20 corridor for the snow tonight.  It's looking like little, if any, snow in Cedar Rapids.

I drove all day and night from Virginia. Rained turned to very heavy snow just south of Waterloo. Heaviest I have seen all season. I was able to make it home just after sunrise. Looked like a couple inches of very wet snow. And now it's all melted. 41°.

My band's tour ended 3 days early due to an illness so we did a 20hr drive home. That one took a lot of coffee.

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45 minutes ago, james1976 said:

I drove all day and night from Virginia. Rained turned to very heavy snow just south of Waterloo. Heaviest I have seen all season. I was able to make it home just after sunrise. Looked like a couple inches of very wet snow. And now it's all melted. 41°.

My band's tour ended 3 days early due to an illness so we did a 20hr drive home. That one took a lot of coffee.

Did you switch drivers?  I’ve done the trip from from AZ to Chicago in 27 hours straight but no way with one driver.  That’s just to much….20 hours straight is pushing the limit for me!

 

Meantime, it’s snowing again but this time it’s in April.  The only good thing about this type of weather…???  Great napping!

 

6BB616E0-DB86-4929-A1A5-7A9C32DEF7BE.png

 

 

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One of the biggest snowfalls of the season, while I'm waiting to get jet skis, kayak, and sailboat ready, can't snowmobile, can't snowboard, what a waste. This winter was so cruel, give me 60s and rain in the end of February to make the snow suck at ski hills, then give me snow when it's useless to me.

https://www.aos.wisc.edu/%7Esco/clim-history/stations/msn/msn-sts-2002-03.gif

https://www.aos.wisc.edu/%7Esco/clim-history/stations/msn/msn-sts-2021-22.gif

 

Pretty close analog, I hope 22-23 isn't like 03-04 because that winter was garbage too. I have about 3.5 inches on my deck right now and it's still coming down. I have half an idea to take my crappy snowboard and find a sledding hill lol.

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ORD officially had 0.1" of snow on both April 1st and 2nd (32.6 season total)...and a Trace of snow on March 31st....3 days in a row with snow in the air, ok...I think that's enough, don't ya think?  Well, it appears that nature doesn't wanna let go of winter just yet for the GL's region later tonight into tomorrow and then again later in the week when yet another powerhouse cutoff low inundates the GL's.

0z GFS...

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

03z RAP...

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

 

On the flip side of Winter, Mother Nature will showcase some weather whiplash as the Sub Forum enters a potentially warm pattern in the Day 8-10 period.

0z Euro...this is going to bring forth a real Spring like pattern that will fuel storm action across the central Sub mid the following week.  Buckle up...things look interesting....oh, what about Easter weekend???  Well, let's not focus on that right now b/c it ain't trending rather nice.  The LR clues I've been leaning on are point towards that ugly way.

1.png

2.png

 

1.gif

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2 hours ago, Tom said:

On the flip side of Winter, Mother Nature will showcase some weather whiplash as the Sub Forum enters a potentially warm pattern in the Day 8-10 period.

I sure hope it indeed warms up. The baseball season starts here on April 8th the home opener for Grand Rapids is on April 12th and as I work for the local minor league baseball team (West Michigan Whitecaps) I sure hope it warms up. It in always cold in April and even early May but so far this year it has been very cold. And even though we have had a lot of rain and the grass is turning a little green it is still not spring like green yet. They do put a warming tarp on the field and that looks great.

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2 hours ago, westMJim said:

I sure hope it indeed warms up. The baseball season starts here on April 8th the home opener for Grand Rapids is on April 12th and as I work for the local minor league baseball team (West Michigan Whitecaps) I sure hope it warms up. It in always cold in April and even early May but so far this year it has been very cold. And even though we have had a lot of rain and the grass is turning a little green it is still not spring like green yet. They do put a warming tarp on the field and that looks great.

The Cubs home opener is scheduled for this Thursday and the weather looks ugly.  It’ll prob be postponed if the forecast holds.

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Picked up 1.8" here in the Detroit Metro region this weekend. Wow. It just keeps coming in pieces. It has all melted off, but was kinda nice I guess seeing it, b4 Spring really kicks in.

000
ASUS63 KDTX 031459
RTPDTX
MORNING TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1059 AM EDT Sun Apr 3 2022


.BR DTX  0403  ES DH00/TAIRZX/DH08/TAIRZP/TA/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ
:SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN -- TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATIONS
:....................................................................
:       STATION              MAX / MIN  / 8 AM  / 24-HR / SNOW/ SNOW
:        NAME                TEMP/ TEMP / TEMP  / PRECIP/ FALL/ DEPTH
:....................................................................
WHKM4: NWS White Lake      :   44 /  28  /  32  / 0.02  /  0.1 / T
ADG  : Adrian Airport      :   45 /  32  /  35  /
123M4: Ann Arbor           :   46 /  32 /   33  / 0.17  /  1.1 / 1
BAX  :*Bad Axe Airport     :   42 /  32  /  32  /
CFS  :*Caro Airport-Tuscola:   45 /  32  /  34  /
DET  : Detroit City Airport:   46 /  35  /  37  /
DTW  : Detroit Metro Airprt:   45 /  34  /  36  / 0.18  /  1.8 / 1
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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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8 hours ago, Tom said:

ORD officially had 0.1" of snow on both April 1st and 2nd (32.6 season total)...and a Trace of snow on March 31st....3 days in a row with snow in the air, ok...I think that's enough, don't ya think?  Well, it appears that nature doesn't wanna let go of winter just yet for the GL's region later tonight into tomorrow and then again later in the week when yet another powerhouse cutoff low inundates the GL's.

0z GFS...

snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

03z RAP...

sn10_acc.us_mw.png

 

On the flip side of Winter, Mother Nature will showcase some weather whiplash as the Sub Forum enters a potentially warm pattern in the Day 8-10 period.

0z Euro...this is going to bring forth a real Spring like pattern that will fuel storm action across the central Sub mid the following week.  Buckle up...things look interesting....oh, what about Easter weekend???  Well, let's not focus on that right now b/c it ain't trending rather nice.  The LR clues I've been leaning on are point towards that ugly way.

1.png

2.png

 

1.gif

But no rain around here. GFS with not a drop the next 10 days. Pastor at church today praying for rain. 

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On 4/2/2022 at 2:55 PM, Tom said:

Did you switch drivers?  I’ve done the trip from from AZ to Chicago in 27 hours straight but no way with one driver.  That’s just to much….20 hours straight is pushing the limit for me!

 

Meantime, it’s snowing again but this time it’s in April.  The only good thing about this type of weather…???  Great napping!

 

6BB616E0-DB86-4929-A1A5-7A9C32DEF7BE.png

 

 

Yeah for like 3 hours haha. It was tough. Unfortunately I think I have the flu bug now. 

Some nice spring weather sounds good right now but that prolly isn't happening this week. 

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On 4/2/2022 at 4:02 PM, gimmesnow said:

One of the biggest snowfalls of the season, while I'm waiting to get jet skis, kayak, and sailboat ready, can't snowmobile, can't snowboard, what a waste. This winter was so cruel, give me 60s and rain in the end of February to make the snow suck at ski hills, then give me snow when it's useless to me.

https://www.aos.wisc.edu/%7Esco/clim-history/stations/msn/msn-sts-2002-03.gif

https://www.aos.wisc.edu/%7Esco/clim-history/stations/msn/msn-sts-2021-22.gif

 

Pretty close analog, I hope 22-23 isn't like 03-04 because that winter was garbage too. I have about 3.5 inches on my deck right now and it's still coming down. I have half an idea to take my crappy snowboard and find a sledding hill lol.

On 4/17/20 (after like 6 wks of warmth) I suddenly got a decent snowfall. It was a very wet and heavy snow that was falling on warm ground and compacting a lot. I was so past winter, I wasn't even taking the time to measure at proper intervals. When I finally had to brush my car off to go somewhere, I measured the 4" of cement on the roof. I just put 4.0" in my log, but it may well have been more like 5 or 6 prior to all the compaction. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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7 hours ago, Niko said:

Picked up 1.8" here in the Detroit Metro region this weekend. Wow. It just keeps coming in pieces. It has all melted off, but was kinda nice I guess seeing it, b4 Spring really kicks in.

000
ASUS63 KDTX 031459
RTPDTX
MORNING TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1059 AM EDT Sun Apr 3 2022


.BR DTX  0403  ES DH00/TAIRZX/DH08/TAIRZP/TA/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ
:SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN -- TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION STATIONS
:....................................................................
:       STATION              MAX / MIN  / 8 AM  / 24-HR / SNOW/ SNOW
:        NAME                TEMP/ TEMP / TEMP  / PRECIP/ FALL/ DEPTH
:....................................................................
WHKM4: NWS White Lake      :   44 /  28  /  32  / 0.02  /  0.1 / T
ADG  : Adrian Airport      :   45 /  32  /  35  /
123M4: Ann Arbor           :   46 /  32 /   33  / 0.17  /  1.1 / 1
BAX  :*Bad Axe Airport     :   42 /  32  /  32  /
CFS  :*Caro Airport-Tuscola:   45 /  32  /  34  /
DET  : Detroit City Airport:   46 /  35  /  37  /
DTW  : Detroit Metro Airprt:   45 /  34  /  36  / 0.18  /  1.8 / 1

That must've been a pretty narrow band of snow (N-S) as I had nothing/nada/zilch here in Canton just 8 miles north of DTW. Driving west on 94 this early pm, I did see snow covered ground and temps around 36F west of AA. Go spring! 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Here we go again.......

Tonight: A slight chance of snow after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 10%. Chance for snow tonight

Monday: Snow between 8am and 2pm, then rain after 2pm.  High near 43. Light east southeast wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Chance of snow for tomorrow and rain/snow mix for later in the afternoon

 

 

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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25 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

That must've been a pretty narrow band of snow (N-S) as I had nothing/nada/zilch here in Canton just 8 miles north of DTW. Driving west on 94 this early pm, I did see snow covered ground and temps around 36F west of AA. Go spring! 

Yes sir. Was definitely a very narrow band hovering over the Metro area. Not sure, but I think more snow has fallen here in April than back in December. Crazy.

Hopefully, mild air will when out in the coming weeks.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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11 minutes ago, Niko said:

Here we go again.......

Tonight: A slight chance of snow after 5am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 10%. Chance for snow tonight

Monday: Snow between 8am and 2pm, then rain after 2pm.  High near 43. Light east southeast wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Chance of snow for tomorrow and rain/snow mix for later in the afternoon

 

 

Sorry amigo, but I had to down-vote that since it is April, and won't be like a real snowstorm, just more nuisance level stuff. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Just now, jaster220 said:

Sorry amigo, but I had to down-vote that since it is April, and won't be like a real snowstorm, just more nuisance level stuff. 

You are absolutely correct. I don't blame ya. A double down-vote from me as well 😆

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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1 minute ago, Niko said:

Yes sir. Was definitely a very narrow band hovering over the Metro area. Not sure, but I think more snow has fallen here in April than back in December. Crazy.

Yep. At least for mby, 3.2" (so far) in April, and just 2.5" back in December

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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5 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Yep. At least for mby, 3.2" (so far) in April, and just 2.5" back in December

That is just insane. Unimaginable. I don't know what happened to December anymore. It just does not want to snow anymore during that given month. How many years has it been like this now?? .......3rd, 4th year in a row?....5th? Just absurd. I remember Decembers being snowy and frigid.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Another day with 40+mph winds. Have had a lot of those lately.

Soaking rain likely Tues-PM/Wed-AM, then another round likely Thur-PM, possibly more convective in nature. 

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Next week looks quite interesting as we enter a more typical climo pattern heading into mid April.  Teleconnections support a hard cutter up into the Upper MW...I smell a late season Blitz for the N Rockies/Black Hills/Dakotas.  Could @hawkstwelveget involved??  Could be close for ya...

Gosh, it does appear the longstanding idea wrt Easter Weekend are not trending nicely....

1.gif

3.gif

 

 

On the warm side of things, the warmer and active pattern setting up is poised to setup a multi day severe wx threat.  The battle of the seasons looks interesting.

2.gif

 

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I picked up .25 inches of rain overnight and have thick fog this morning.  The home opener for the Royals looks miserable with cloudy damp conditions and temps in the 40s.  Looking forward to the second half of the month as temps should rise and the big thunderstorms hit.

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11 hours ago, Niko said:

That is just insane. Unimaginable. I don't know what happened to December anymore. It just does not want to snow anymore during that given month. How many years has it been like this now?? .......3rd, 4th year in a row?....5th? Just absurd. I remember Decembers being snowy and frigid.

2017 was a good year, we lived at Union Lake.  One of the best Christmas snows I can remember.  In November I think it was near 80s.  The. one day like a switch, winter hit early December.  Totally agree the last few have been snoozers for us in the metro area. 

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