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April 2022 Observations & Discussions


Iceresistance

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Well, we got the tail end of this thing.  I’m glad Oklahoma got their rain but I hope we get our turn next. 
 

There were some awesome low clouds.  The low level racing N to S and the layer above moving SW to NE. 
Beautiful shades of light gray below to dark aloft.  But more rain would be welcomed. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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A little good news. Storms formed overnight. Some good showers and boomers.  Haven’t heard what totals were but it was a good night of rain.  😄

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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While you guys out east in the MW are on Freeze Watch, the valley of PHX is on Heat Watch (not officially) but we are going to test the Century mark again on Tuesday.  Let's see if we pop the temps to 100F. 

Meantime, here it comes, as nature is going to turn on the faucet late this week/weekend and into MAY.  Love seeing this across NE and the central ag belt.  All the models are pretty much in general agreement for a slow moving bowling ball to travers the Sub.

00z Euro...

1.gif

 

0z EPS...keep it coming....I love it when a plan comes into fruition...this is a great sign.

2.gif

 

Even though the modeling suggests AN precip, we still need to see it fall out of the Sky.  If I were a betting man, I would say that it finally breaks the seal for NE peeps.  This pattern is ripe...I see 4-5 troughs through early MAY sliding down S/SE from the N PAC into the PAC NW and then tracking across Plains/MW.  

 

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Yesterday’s official high/low at Grand Rapids was 74/56. There was yet another 0.34″ of rain fall that brings the total for the 4.35″ that is some +1.18″ above average. For the year Grand Rapids has now reported 13.48″ of rain/melted snow. That is +3.28″ for the year so far. Here at my house I recorded 0.30″ of rain fall yesterday. The overnight low was just 50 both here and at GRR. At the current time it is cloudy ad 52 here at my house.
The forecasted high for tomorrow is just 41. If that plays out it will be one of the coldest highs for any April 26th and that would be just 3 days after one of the warmest highs that happened on April 23. And the lows in the upper 20’s would be one of the coldest lows for any April 27th The record low for the 27 is a low of 27 in 1927.

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Backdoor marine push this AM, socked in low clouds with temperatures steady in the mid-50s.

Strong late April insolation will try to burn this off by afternoon. When exactly that happens will determine now warm it gets.

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11 minutes ago, Thunder98 said:

South Texas is getting hammered by slow moving Heavy Thunderstorms.

https://twitter.com/NWSCorpus/status/1518743146301120514?s=20&t=2kDcq6-cy1nZ-21A5iPNWQ

A good portion is under a drought, so these storms will help take it down

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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Colder temps returning along w some snowshwers again for late Tuesday nite and especially for Wednesday. No accumulations are expected, but, it continues to not want to end this Wintry scenario. Wednesday highs will struggle in the low 40s, so a  very blustery day. Low temps fall into the 20s.Temps do recover by the end of the week and especially by the upcoming weekend.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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May 2011 showing up on SV analogs now. T-storm season about to kick into high gear next month, it looks like.

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We are expected to drop to the upper 20s tonight.  I have my budding plants covered.  Hopefully, this is the last time.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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After a brief 2 day warm spell we are back into the cold pattern we have been in much of April 2022. Yesterdays official high at Grand Rapids was a reported 56 and that was recorded at 1AM. At Lansing where the colder air did not arrive until a little later the official high was 66 just after midnight and thus adding to the warmer mean so far this month at Lansing (it was still 65 at Grand Rapids just before midnight) 

As I stated the official high/low yesterday at Grand Rapids was 56/40. Today and tonight look to be one of the coldest April 26's in history. At Grand Rapids the coldest high for today is a cold 39 set in 1976 then comes 40 in 1950 and then 42 in 1932. We will have to see how today plays out. As for tonight the record low for April 27th is 28 set in 1927 there is a 4 way tie for 2nd place with 28 (1993, 1967,1967 and 1934) 29 is the 3rd coldest low for the date. Getting back to how cold it has been this spring in today forecast discussion 
"The
small extent in area of the core of coldest air means very little
residence time in Lower Michigan, and 850 mb temperatures are
expected to moderate several degrees C by Wed afternoon, likely
keeping record cold highs out of reach. But credit where it`s due,
today and Wednesday will be among a handful of historically cold
April 26s and 27s in the last century. Given the late start to the
growing season, we do not expect frost/freeze headlines to be
necessary in our area." 
No more has to be stated then the late start to the growing season. At the current time it is cloudy and 40 here at my house.

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Cedar Rapids hit 22º this morning, breaking a 115-year-old record.  Here in the city the nearby personal stations hit 26º.  We were only able to reach 40º yesterday afternoon.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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@TomI believe there are frost and Freeze Warnings for the Chicago area....Brrrrr

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Chilly and blustery atm w temps into the 30s.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Southwest Iowa is going to be 20º warmer than Cedar Rapids the next two days.  Ugh.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Currently at 44F under cloudy skies. Very blustery day. My forecast remains chilly to even cold for at least a couple of days. Snowshowers are also possible. Trees are mostly bare w only very few trying to blossom, but just cant. Lows tanite in the 20s here in Macomb and 32F or slightly below in the Detroit, Metro area. 

 

Btw: my grass is still brown.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Sunday afternoon Marshall had a Heat Index of 81F

..and today??

image.png.6eab62cb3baa19dc94e4b3a1f2d57502.png

 

What a craptastic yo-yo this spring's been around SMI. A day or 2 at +15 or 20 departure surrounded by a sea of negative departure days. Hoping this ends sooner than later.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Ping pong ball sized hail and 70mph winds with this storm.

And SPC left this area out of even the general t-storm area. 🤦‍♂️ They updated it an hour ago but still only in the green area. 
 

38A5E995-9A55-4A28-85E4-15A681825E96.gif

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There are snowshowers to my north. I have a strong feeling that they are heading towards S MI. 

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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3 hours ago, Phil said:

Ping pong ball sized hail and 70mph winds with this storm.

And SPC left this area out of even the general t-storm area. 🤦‍♂️ They updated it an hour ago but still only in the green area. 
 

38A5E995-9A55-4A28-85E4-15A681825E96.gif

I don't think that they expected that storm outside of the risk area.

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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3 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

I don't think that they expected that storm outside of the risk area.

Yeah big time swing and miss.

Ended up issuing a STW to cover the threat. Look how close the watch box gets to the edge of the light green. :lol: 

B0DE4485-369C-4601-9E25-9D37A836E5B9.png

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And that’s after they expanded the risk zone. This morning the area under the watch wasn’t even in the light green/see text area. 😬 

Need to get @Timmy Supercell a positive bust like that. Lol.

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