April 2022 Observations & Discussions

[Hawkeye]

Latest Euro for tonight/Friday

[OmahaSnowFan]

Drought forecast to intensify and increase further east into Iowa.

[james1976]

Fog was really dense this morning. Now it's full sun and pushing 60. Finally a nice day. Looking forward to a couple warm days and storm chances!

[OmahaSnowFan]

Some people....

https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2022/apr/20/ohio-woman-files-five-bogus-arkansas-storm/

[OmahaSnowFan]

7 hours ago, Clinton said:

.35 here yesterday with some scattered showers possible later today.  The fog this morning was as thick as any I've had in the last few years.  I had to run the wipers on the truck just to keep the moisture off and visibility might have been a 100 ft or so.  The forecasted high today is 76 but the sun will have it's work cut out to burn off this fog.

My gauge reported .01" of moisture from the fog it was so thick here overnight!

[Grizzcoat]

1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Drought forecast to intensify and increase further east into Iowa.

What was the CPC forecast for Spring of 2022' 6  months ago?  It's been epic cold in the N Central Plains lately, no?   not ever seen before in recorded history in several locations . I say the drought in NEB eases drastically based  on teleconnections changing and that the CPC needs to readjust.  AGAIN -- CPC for late winter in Upper Midwest last Fall was for near to above normal -- they have little clue past two weeks and we all know thats on how they flip flop--- but few know the difference.

 

[Hawkeye]

18z HRRR... kinda yikes if it's right.

The exact placement can change wildly from run to run, though.  The two-county tier in far southern Iowa was the bullseye at 12z and now gets nothing on the 18z.

[Hawkeye]

The 3k NAM does not have the real heavy band, just widespread solid rain.

[CentralNebWeather]

2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Drought forecast to intensify and increase further east into Iowa.

Making it even worse, we have been in a drought for over 6 months already and there is virtually no moisture in the ground.

[OmahaSnowFan]

Hit 71.2 a bit ago after all the fog this morning. That's actually only the 2nd time this month we've made it above 70, with the last being on 4/12 when it made it all the way to 90.3 degrees.

All other days have been in the 40s, 50s, and 60s.

[Thunder98]

4 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Drought forecast to intensify and increase further east into Iowa.

Most of Arizona is lucky with the monsoon forecast again this year. Looks like they will see some improvements at least.

[Clinton]

The last couple runs of the GFS look active for everyone on here in the extended. 

[Hawkeye]

00z HRRR - It has become pretty consistent with the placement, but it has backed off of the extreme totals.

Radar looks decent already over sw IA, but the heavy stuff isn't expected to develop until late tonight and not reach Cedar Rapids until sunrise.  I'd be happy with 1-2".

[Hawkeye]

00z 3k NAM

The 12k NAM has all the rain over the northern half of Iowa.

00z FV3

[Clinton]

Current temp is 68 the average high for today is 67.  I should top out around 83 today with gusty south winds.  Feels like thunderstorm weather.

[westMJim]

Yesterdays official high/low at Grand Rapids was 62/43 it was the 1st time in 7 days that the mean was above average. The overnight low for today was 38. At this time the clouds are moving in and the current temperature here is 46.

[CentralNebWeather]

13 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Current temp is 68 the average high for today is 67.  I should top out around 83 today with gusty south winds.  Feels like thunderstorm weather.

Woke up this morning to 66 degrees with a 62 dew.  Very unusual around here at this time of the year.  Had .05" last night with the thin line of storms around 10 PM with thunder and lightning .  Drove to school this morning in drizzle with the south wind starting to howl.  Headed to 95 degrees with gusts to 60 MPH and humidity plummeting to 20% or less.  Hopefully tonight the line of storms can drop 0.50" or more.  We'll see.  The one thing you can say about this area, it is never boring.  Many times frustrating, but never boring.

[Tom]

Happy Earth Day!  I am One with Nature and all of its beauty.  Speaking of beauty, it's going to be a beautiful day here in the "Valley of the Sun" as temps will ONLY top out in the upper 70's.  What a change it will be, but it will be accompanied by very windy conditions as we have a Wind Advisory issued for the valley.  Nonetheless, I'll be enjoying this step down in temps today and through the weekend.  It's very likely we will achieve the 1st 100F of the season at Sky Harbor next Tue/Wed. 

[james1976]

Woke up to thunderstorms this morning. Finally feels like spring. Our new little puppy was scared of the thunder and lightning haha.

[Hawkeye]

It's unlikely the big rain will pan out here.  This event ended up north of where most models predicted.  I'm at about 0.60" now with only a couple light rumbles so far.  I'm just hoping the central Iowa storms can hold together and get me over an inch.

[CentralNebWeather]

Local NBC story of the man from Holdrege injured in the accident 2 weeks ago during the wild fires that killed another man.

https://www.ksnblocal4.com/2022/04/21/phelps-county-emergency-manager-justin-norris-facing-long-recovery/

[Niko]

Absolutely gorgeous outside. Hello Spring, finally. It does turn colder next week. All snow has now melted.

[Niko]

@Clintonhow much snow have you received this  past Winter bud? I am assuming ya did pretty decent.

[Hawkeye]

I just hit 1.00" of rain.  I really hope the strong line two counties to the west holds together.

[Iceresistance]

@CentralNebWeatherI've noticed the WPC has increased the QPF for most of Nebraska.

[Phil]

Downsloping making quick work of temperatures this morning. Went from 45 to 70 in a few hours.

Not a cloud in the sky to be found.

[CentralNebWeather]

2 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

@CentralNebWeatherI've noticed the WPC has increased the QPF for most of Nebraska.

I hope so.  Going to be a close call on who gets some and who gets missed.

[Clinton]

33 minutes ago, Niko said:

@Clintonhow much snow have you received this  past Winter bud? I am assuming ya did pretty decent.

I finished with 27 inches almost all of it fell in February. 

[Niko]

9 minutes ago, Clinton said:

I finished with 27 inches almost all of it fell in February. 

That is Fantastic! Congrats amigo! I thought you were a little less than that amount. 

[Iceresistance]

28 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

I hope so.  Going to be a close call on who gets some and who gets missed.

There was storms in Southern Nebraska last night

[CentralNebWeather]

2 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

There was storms in Southern Nebraska last night

Yes, very spotty.  Our local total was only .05 -.07".  Better than nothing which has been our theme.

[Niko]

Cannot wait for severe weather. Really looking forward to some Spring-like Thunderstorms. So far, the extended shows zilch. As a matter a fact, it gets quite chilly next week. 

[Iceresistance]

3 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Yes, very spotty.  Our local total was only .05 -.07".  Better than nothing which has been our theme.

But some areas really cashed in, up to .25-.5 inch of rain

[Iceresistance]

The reason why Winter is getting it's Spring revenge has been found!

 

[CentralNebWeather]

3 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

But some areas really cashed in, up to .25-.5 inch of rain

This map lines up pretty well with what I had.  As always, winners and losers with rainfall.

 

[Niko]

@TomWow..sounds like ur having a blast in Arizona. Enjoy it!

Btw: Did you also experience  a couple of nights ago the stars that were aligned in a straight line. (really early in the morning) I did. It was an awesome sight to see. They were Jupiter, Mars, Saturn and I believe it was Venus. Luckily my skies were clear at that time.

[Tom]

9 minutes ago, Niko said:

@TomWow..sounds like ur having a blast in Arizona. Enjoy it!

Btw: Did you also experience  a couple of nights ago the stars that were aligned in a straight line. (really early in the morning) I did. It was an awesome sight to see. They were Jupiter, Mars, Saturn and I believe it was Venus. Luckily my skies were clear at that time.

Yup, I’m loving every minute of it out here…just a great vibe and the weather is gorgeous.

I didn’t know about the stars and wish I did…dang!

[jaster220]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

I finished with 27 inches almost all of it fell in February. 

February WAS winter, at least for most of us south of 45N lat.

[Iceresistance]

21 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

February WAS winter, at least for most of us south of 45N lat.

And me, at least 80% of the total snowfall was in February.

[Minny_Weather]

I'm in Lincoln right now and WOW is this warmth a shock. 80°F and climbing.