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April 2022 Observations & Discussions


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Pretty weak sauce in the long term from DMX. I mean at least take a stab and break down which guidance you prefer or not , but no---

The thermal ridge begins to build back towards the area for the
weekend, allowing for modest warm. First into the 50s on Saturday
and then perhaps the 60s south on Sunday. Of course, this also means
winds will become breezy again. Model solutions diverge from there
as a sharp front is expected to pass across the area. Timing
differences amongst the models result in a spread of temperatures
for early next week. Discrepancies also translate to precipitation
timing with a reinforcing shortwave. Depending on the model or
the timing, this may be the next chance for convection across
Iowa.

 

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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4 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Pretty weak sauce in the long term from DMX. I mean at least take a stab and break down which guidance you prefer or not , but no---

The thermal ridge begins to build back towards the area for the
weekend, allowing for modest warm. First into the 50s on Saturday
and then perhaps the 60s south on Sunday. Of course, this also means
winds will become breezy again. Model solutions diverge from there
as a sharp front is expected to pass across the area. Timing
differences amongst the models result in a spread of temperatures
for early next week. Discrepancies also translate to precipitation
timing with a reinforcing shortwave. Depending on the model or
the timing, this may be the next chance for convection across
Iowa.

 

Kind of like OAX.....

Southwesterly flow increases early next week as troughing digs
across the Rockies. There are still many uncertainties within the
deterministic and ensemble solutions, but the large scale pattern
would favorable a stormy few days.
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Pertaining to the previous post about a cold baseball opener-- why in the world in early April do Northern teams without a roof (Twins/both Sox/Cubs/Clev/Det etc.) have games right outta the gate is beyond me. Seattle / Twins was postponed like a month ago. Why not play it in Seattle? I know scheduling is tough and all- but places mentioned above should at least a play a week or so in warmer locations and than roll the dice around April 15th or so---  Just my .02.

Seattle/Twins apparently still on for a double dip Friday- OH boy in front off about 3500 fans in wind chills near 32F. Sounds like a lot of fun for MLB home opener said no one ever. The players gotta hate it also after coming from FL or AZ...  I think it was the 14' Season Opener that Clev/Det like missed the first entire WEEK after scheduling each other back to back home and home series.

image.thumb.png.26e01b6f96fa083eaebd32693942b392.png

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Last April at DSM- wow, what a differnce-three days in a row with high in 80s'. This year- 3 in row in the 40's(upcoming)

image.png.0a53f1321a9b2cdd2870e88c0e5c90d7.pngimage.png.d4edf406bd6061af047c4d08250a7302.png

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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27 minutes ago, Thunder98 said:

McAllen, TX was 109F today. They broke their old April All time high of 107F!

Will be interesting if that gets verified or not. Some pretty crazy swings in the dewpoint before and after the 109F.  The "$" means maintenance is needed on the ASOS, my guess is the temp/dewpoint sensor is kitty wampus but I'am not saying it didn't get to 109, just that the extremes have caused the "$" sign,

KMFE 070253Z 06009KT 10SM CLR 25/15 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP130 T02500150 53051 $
KMFE 070153Z 05009KT 10SM CLR 27/17 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP111 T02720167 $
KMFE 070053Z 02010G20KT 10SM CLR 31/09 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP091 T03110089 $
KMFE 062353Z 36014G22KT 10SM CLR 33/09 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 36028/2304 SLP078 T03330094 10428 20333 53030 $
KMFE 062253Z 36019G28KT 10SM CLR 36/11 A2973 RMK AO2 PK WND 34033/2235 SLP067 T03560111 $
KMFE 062153Z 01019G35KT 10SM CLR 38/14 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND 35036/2054 SLP055 T03780144
KMFE 062053Z 34024G36KT 8SM FEW030 39/13 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 35036/2039 SLP048 T03940128 55004
KMFE 061953Z 35009G19KT 10SM CLR 42/03 A2966 RMK AO2 SLP042 T04220028
KMFE 061853Z 29007G18KT 260V320 10SM CLR 41/08 A2967 RMK AO2 SLP045 T04110083
KMFE 061848Z 33010G18KT 10SM CLR 41/07 A2967 RMK AO2
KMFE 061753Z VRB04KT 7SM CLR 36/21 A2969 RMK AO2 SLP052 T03610206 10367 20200 58005
KMFE 061653Z VRB04KT 7SM CLR 33/21 A2971 RMK AO2 SLP058 T03330211

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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10 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said:

Will be interesting if that gets verified or not. Some pretty crazy swings in the dewpoint before and after the 109F.  The "$" means maintenance is needed on the ASOS, my guess is the temp/dewpoint sensor is kitty wampus but I'am not saying it didn't get to 109, just that the extremes have caused the "$" sign,

KMFE 070253Z 06009KT 10SM CLR 25/15 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP130 T02500150 53051 $
KMFE 070153Z 05009KT 10SM CLR 27/17 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP111 T02720167 $
KMFE 070053Z 02010G20KT 10SM CLR 31/09 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP091 T03110089 $
KMFE 062353Z 36014G22KT 10SM CLR 33/09 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 36028/2304 SLP078 T03330094 10428 20333 53030 $
KMFE 062253Z 36019G28KT 10SM CLR 36/11 A2973 RMK AO2 PK WND 34033/2235 SLP067 T03560111 $
KMFE 062153Z 01019G35KT 10SM CLR 38/14 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND 35036/2054 SLP055 T03780144
KMFE 062053Z 34024G36KT 8SM FEW030 39/13 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 35036/2039 SLP048 T03940128 55004
KMFE 061953Z 35009G19KT 10SM CLR 42/03 A2966 RMK AO2 SLP042 T04220028
KMFE 061853Z 29007G18KT 260V320 10SM CLR 41/08 A2967 RMK AO2 SLP045 T04110083
KMFE 061848Z 33010G18KT 10SM CLR 41/07 A2967 RMK AO2
KMFE 061753Z VRB04KT 7SM CLR 36/21 A2969 RMK AO2 SLP052 T03610206 10367 20200 58005
KMFE 061653Z VRB04KT 7SM CLR 33/21 A2971 RMK AO2 SLP058 T03330211

Nearby weather stations like Harlingen and Weslaco also experienced a dramatic drop in dew points when temps spiked above 100F.

 

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KHRL.html

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KTXW.html

 

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7 hours ago, Grizzcoat said:

Will be interesting if that gets verified or not. Some pretty crazy swings in the dewpoint before and after the 109F.  The "$" means maintenance is needed on the ASOS, my guess is the temp/dewpoint sensor is kitty wampus but I'am not saying it didn't get to 109, just that the extremes have caused the "$" sign,

KMFE 070253Z 06009KT 10SM CLR 25/15 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP130 T02500150 53051 $
KMFE 070153Z 05009KT 10SM CLR 27/17 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP111 T02720167 $
KMFE 070053Z 02010G20KT 10SM CLR 31/09 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP091 T03110089 $
KMFE 062353Z 36014G22KT 10SM CLR 33/09 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 36028/2304 SLP078 T03330094 10428 20333 53030 $
KMFE 062253Z 36019G28KT 10SM CLR 36/11 A2973 RMK AO2 PK WND 34033/2235 SLP067 T03560111 $
KMFE 062153Z 01019G35KT 10SM CLR 38/14 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND 35036/2054 SLP055 T03780144
KMFE 062053Z 34024G36KT 8SM FEW030 39/13 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 35036/2039 SLP048 T03940128 55004
KMFE 061953Z 35009G19KT 10SM CLR 42/03 A2966 RMK AO2 SLP042 T04220028
KMFE 061853Z 29007G18KT 260V320 10SM CLR 41/08 A2967 RMK AO2 SLP045 T04110083
KMFE 061848Z 33010G18KT 10SM CLR 41/07 A2967 RMK AO2
KMFE 061753Z VRB04KT 7SM CLR 36/21 A2969 RMK AO2 SLP052 T03610206 10367 20200 58005
KMFE 061653Z VRB04KT 7SM CLR 33/21 A2971 RMK AO2 SLP058 T03330211

North Texas hit 94* a few days ago.  
Really stinks.  
We’ll hit 70 today.  That’s more like it.  
These big swings are just miserable.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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All the morning models are trending toward more good action in the 9-10 day period as the pattern reloads.

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Had a couple low rumbles in the vicinity, upper 50's out and alternating between partly sunny and darkening sky. 

Airport hasn't registered any thunder but hopefully some kind of lightning map can prove it. 😎

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Added a 'thunders' section on the signature. Since it might get longer this summer, took the frog away. :P

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Had some occasional snow/sleet showers all day off and on. Radar is very convective looking in nature with the showers moving through.

I've recorded my highest gusts yet on my new weather station IMBY with this system. 43.4 mph last evening which is rather impressive considering it's surrounded by trees and houses in the neighborhood. I'm still debating whether I want to put it up on a big pole to try and get it up in the wind better for days like this.... Maintenance would be harder and not sure if I would like getting temp/humidity reports from  25-30 feet off the ground.

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Long long range looks depressing with blocking.  I hate this new spring pattern the last few years.  April has become worse than March.  Use to be active with storms in Michigan.  Doesn't happen anymore.  Slightly below temps me crap damp weather.  

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10 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

 

You can see that real good on radar scope also. Been getting hit by off and on grapuel showers earlier than transitioned to snow showers. Then in between that we have blowing dust. Just a crazy time around these parts. 

PNG image-0FE2468F8211-1.png

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15 minutes ago, gabel23 said:

You can see that real good on radar scope also. Been getting hit by off and on grapuel showers earlier than transitioned to snow showers. Then in between that we have blowing dust. Just a crazy time around these parts. 

PNG image-0FE2468F8211-1.png

Wind gusting over 60 mph at times. It was tough walking to my truck. I can see dust blowing in the country. 

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1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Had some occasional snow/sleet showers all day off and on. Radar is very convective looking in nature with the showers moving through.

I've recorded my highest gusts yet on my new weather station IMBY with this system. 43.4 mph last evening which is rather impressive considering it's surrounded by trees and houses in the neighborhood. I'm still debating whether I want to put it up on a big pole to try and get it up in the wind better for days like this.... Maintenance would be harder and not sure if I would like getting temp/humidity reports from  25-30 feet off the ground.

What station do you have? Davis VP2 has the detachable anemometer for that exact purpose. Have mine on a pole as well.

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22 minutes ago, Phil said:

What station do you have? Davis VP2 has the detachable anemometer for that exact purpose. Have mine on a pole as well.

I have the Ambient Weather ws-5000. I love it except for the fact that it doesn't have the separate anemometer.

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2 hours ago, Thunder98 said:

tstrm_climo.png

I'm in the 45-54!! 🍹

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Cold Season

Snowfall - 16.1"
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"

Snow days: 10 - 4.8" - 3/12
Cold Highs (32 or below): 7
Coolest: 21 (Jan 7th)
Extreme Lows (below 10): 4 
Minimum: 5 (Jan 22nd)
Max wind: 40mph (Feb 18th)

Thunders: 24
3/6, 3/23, 4/7, 4/11, 4/30, 5/1, 5/3, 5/6, 5/14, 5/16
5/20, 5/21, 5/27, 6/2, 6/6, 6/8, 6/13, 6/17, 6/22, 6/25
6/26, 6/27, 7/1, 7/2, 

Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 3 / 2
Frequent Lightning: 2 (5/20), (6/13)
Hailstorms: 0
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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69* sunny 

WIND!!!  Man o Man, What a day.  Trial by fire just drive. 

Constant NW 25 mph

Gusting frequently to 50 mph. 
 

 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Looks like most of this month appears to be a Severe weather sequence for Oklahoma & Texas, especially in the 1st Half of April, that's what the 18z GFS is trying to do

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Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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3 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Massive fire southwest of me has already destroyed homes and is threatening to engulf the small town of Edison. Multiple departments trying to battle 60 mph winds with this fire. My gosh. 

 

Wow that is not far from you 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   2018-19: 55.5"   2019-20: 17.6"   2020-21: 49.4"   2021-22: 5.1" 🤮

Average: 26"

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1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Massive fire southwest of me has already destroyed homes and is threatening to engulf the small town of Edison. Multiple departments trying to battle 60 mph winds with this fire. My gosh. 

 

From what I have heard from the news the fire still isn't contained. Just sickening what's going on with this situation. The plume that was showing up on radar was the most intense reflectivity I have ever seen in a fire. 

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4 hours ago, Madtown said:

Snow falling all day...no real accumulation....1-3" tonight down to 27atm high of 32 tomorrow

The beat of Ol' Man Winter hangs on....doesn't appear it wants to stop as an Easter Weekend storm is lurking...the result of a late season SSW event, blocking and our active wx pattern....man, this reminds me of April '17 so much but with the powerhouse storms this year.  What a friggin' wild pattern we are experiencing.  

Happy Good Friday...bundle up for those who will be heading to church...

image.png

 

0z Euro Snow Depth through next Friday...

image.png

 

The Long Standing idea of a Major Trough across the eastern CONUS is unfortunately panning out for Easter Weekend as the models are all pointing towards a major late season cold surge.  This is, in a unique and fascinating way, the end result of what happened in the STRAT way back in MAR.    The issue now is that we have high lat blocking and an energized jet stream that'll produce some wicked weather.  My goodness, but the 0z EPS is suggesting a lot of Snow up north...

image.gif

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Not a spring like day here this morning.  I've had snow showers and windy cold conditions with a temp of 34.  Freeze warning in effect for the entire area tonight with temp dipping into the middle 20s.

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The official high at Grand Rapids yesterday was 45 and that happened just after midnight. The daylight hours seen temperatures in the 40 to 42 degree range for a cold raw April day. With clouds it did not get cold overnight and the low was above average at 38. The first 7 days of April have been wet, cool and cloudy. At Grand Rapids the mean for April is now 40.0 that is -2.9 below average. The high for the month so far is 56 and the low is 23. There has been 1.22" of precipitation that is above the average of 0.83. At Muskegon the mean is 40.1 that is -2.2 below average the high so far is 57 and the low 25. There has been 1.40" of precipitation there average there is 0.76". To the east at Lansing the mean there is 41.2 that is a departure of -1.2 the highest at Lansing so far is 59 and the lowest is 25 They have recorded 1.06" of  precipitation the average there is 0.38. After this cold weekend there looks to be what could be a brief warm up with more rain. April showers this year should bring a lot of May flowers.

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0.4" of snow fell here overnight.

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season snowfall: 27.1"

 

'20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Today is opening day for the Tigers (that is if they can get the game in) and it looks to be cool and wet. But that is normal for opening day at Detroit. Here are the game time temperatures for the past 7 years. 2021 37, 2020 84 but that was on July 27. 2019 39, 2018 39, 2017 42, 2016 38, 2015 52. So in the last 7 years the warmest was in 2020 with a July start day and the warmest with a April opening day was 52. That just shows you how cold Michigan is in April.

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Unfortunately, the dry weather, fires, have had deadly consequences.  Two first responders were hit by another vehicle in the smoke yesterday.  One has died and the other was life flighted to Omaha.  I know the man that was life flighted, and coached his son in junior high football and basketball.  Two school districts southwest of me, Southern Valley and Arapahoe are closed today to feed and give the responders from all the area a place to rest.  Please god, we need moisture.

https://nebraska.tv/news/local/fire-90-contained-in-gosper-and-furnas-county-roger-powell-arapahoe-elwood

 

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15 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Unfortunately, the dry weather, fires, have had deadly consequences.  Two first responders were hit by another vehicle in the smoke yesterday.  One has died and the other was life flighted to Omaha.  I know the man that was life flighted, and coached his son in junior high football and basketball.  Two school districts southwest of me, Southern Valley and Arapahoe are closed today to feed and give the responders from all the area a place to rest.  Please god, we need moisture.

https://nebraska.tv/news/local/fire-90-contained-in-gosper-and-furnas-county-roger-powell-arapahoe-elwood

 

When tragedies strike close to home they inevitably make it feel worse.  Prayers for his family and sending healing vibes to the one fighter in the hospital.  🙏 

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13 minutes ago, Tom said:

When tragedies strike close to home they inevitably make it feel worse.  Prayers for his family and sending healing vibes to the one fighter in the hospital.  🙏 

Thanks for the kind words.  There are many people that I know that are continuing to try and and get the fire 100% contained.  Winds still gusting to 30 MPH with a temp in the mid 30's as of 10 AM.  

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A huge shame for the family that lost the fire chief, the wind has really increased at my house lately, gusting up to 35 mph

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Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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