April 2022 (April 2008/2011 redux)

[TT-SEA]

New ECMWF weeklies through the first part of June...

[RentonHill]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That does seem true for a few people on here.     

I don’t even know what it is we’re here for. I just do the gifs, man.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

I don’t even know what it is we’re here for. I just do the gifs, man.

And you are really good at it... you make me laugh almost every time.  

[RentonHill]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

And you are really good at it... you make me laugh almost every time.  

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Well... it appears we are going with a 2011 type spring.    

Looking for the positive aspects for those who enjoy the warm season... there was no rain out here in the Snoqualmie Valley for a 16-day period centered around the 4th of July in 2011.   That is pretty darn nice and better than most years.    There was almost no rain at all from mid-July through mid-September in 2011.    We had about 30 days with rain in that same period in 2019.   

If we are repeating 2011, at least it won’t be “overdue” anymore and you’ll have that monkey off your psyche.

[Phil]

This is a d**n impressive La Niña signature, considering it’s almost May. Actually more reminiscent of 1999 than 2011, especially relative to the (detrended) global anomaly in both years.

[Meatyorologist]

KPDX is making a run for wettest April on record, in addition to snowiest.

[Skagit Weather]

5 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Wow we haven’t cracked 3” yet. 2.92” so far this month. We should finish with atleast 3.5” though. 

Up here we haven't even hit 2". Looks like I might end up below normal on the month, but considering there seems to be a lot of uncertainty still about the last couple few of the month I'll wait to call that for another couple days.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

My wife is having surgery in a few hours and I’m pretty nervous. Hope everyone here is doing ok.

[Jbolin]

2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

My wife is having surgery in a few hours and I’m pretty nervous. Hope everyone here is doing ok.

Hope she recovers well bud.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

06z gfs was wet

[Clancy MT DW9972]

19 hours ago, Kayla said:

Massive improvements in the statewide snowpack out here this month! So great to see and more significant snow/rain is on the way this week! April really came through this year after a really dry winter, especially for the mountains.

Yes!   things are slowly improving which is great, but for many areas, what moisture did fall, was just a drop in the bucket.  May and June are known as our wettest months of the year, so if things work out in our favor, maybe we can push fire season away a bit. 

[Phil]

5 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

My wife is having surgery in a few hours and I’m pretty nervous. Hope everyone here is doing ok.

I’m sorry man. Sending her healing energy.  

[Phil]

06z GFS finally gave up the ghost on the giant cutoff. Looks more like the Euro now.

[Phil]

Thread title was on the money.

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

I suppose 2008 and 2011 were also La Nina years. 

[MossMan]

Cloudy and 41.

4.56” for the month, 22.53” for the year. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Low of 42 this morning. 

[TT-SEA]

I have been thinking about the massive release of pollen this past weekend... that was pretty unusual timing given that the same thing had already happened back in March and almost always happens in March.    I think it might have been a secondary response to the very cold period earlier in April.    Someone posted an article about trees responding to very cold weather after coming out of dormancy and it said the trees will just go through another cycle when the weather warms up because a proper leaf out is critical for survival.    

[Phil]

Pretty insane +SOI numbers now.

https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/soi/

The 30 and 90 day combined average is actually the highest it’s been since the start of this La Niña in 2020. Crazy stuff.

[TacomaWaWx]

43 minutes ago, Phil said:

Thread title was on the money.

 

Lol it was kind of a joke at first when I started the thread but then it ended up being pretty accurate. 2008 and 2011 did not have a large lowland snowstorm in mid April though. 

[TacomaWaWx]

8 hours ago, Skagit Weather said:

Up here we haven't even hit 2". Looks like I might end up below normal on the month, but considering there seems to be a lot of uncertainty still about the last couple few of the month I'll wait to call that for another couple days.

This month has been wetter the farther south you go overall…which is a good thing. Probably only going to end up a bit above average rainfall here. 

[Phil]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I have been thinking about the massive release of pollen this past weekend... that was pretty unusual timing given that the same thing had already happened back in March and almost always happens in March.    I think it might have been a secondary response to the very cold period earlier in April.    Someone posted an article about trees responding to very cold weather after coming out of dormancy and it said the trees will just go through another cycle when the weather warms up because a proper leaf out is critical for survival.    

Interesting. Have noticed the same thing out here after sharp spring cold snaps. Do you know which trees are responsible for the output? 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Interesting. Have noticed the same thing out here after sharp spring cold snaps. Do you know which trees are responsible for the output? 

I don't... but guessing Meatyorologist knows.

[Skagit Weather]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

06z gfs was wet

The precip at the end of it looks more like November than May.

[T-Town]

Looks like some interesting weather moving onshore. 

[Phishy Wx]

Looks like some chunky rain out there you guys

 

43 feels like 40

Raw day

[TigerWoodsLibido]

52F and partly cloudy this morning. Wife about to go in for surgery. The weather and chatting with y'all helps.

[BLI snowman]

23 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

52F and partly cloudy this morning. Wife about to go in for surgery. The weather and chatting with y'all helps.

Hoping for the best!!! Keep us updated. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

52F and partly cloudy this morning. Wife about to go in for surgery. The weather and chatting with y'all helps.

Hope everything goes well. 

[TacomaWaWx]

1 hour ago, T-Town said:

Looks like some interesting weather moving onshore. 

Sky looks kinda convective…getting some sunbreaks here will also help instability. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

52F and partly cloudy this morning. Wife about to go in for surgery. The weather and chatting with y'all helps.

Sending positive vibes!  Hopefully it is a quick surgery with a quick recovery!

[High Desert Mat?]

18 hours ago, RentonHillTC said:

rained

Sprinkled

[seattleweatherguy]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

52F and partly cloudy this morning. Wife about to go in for surgery. The weather and chatting with y'all helps.

Praying

[Phil]

Looks like the GEFS caved to the EPS.

Quite the reversal for D8-10:

[Rubus Leucodermis]

11 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

KPDX is making a run for wettest April on record, in addition to snowiest.

And it won’t stop the Willamette Valley Weenie Brigade from griping that they only get warm and dry anomalies.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

45 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Sky looks kinda convective…getting some sunbreaks here will also help instability. 

Forecast here already mentions T-storms this afternoon.

[Chewbacca Defense]

I know this is a bit off topic, but with all of the cold weather geeks on here, it seems worth a share.  There is a guy based in Bellingham that has a youtube channel called "Living the Van Life."  He used to go on camping adventures in an old VW Vanagon, but recently upgraded to a Sprinter Van.

He drove up to the Arctic Circle this past February, and the camera work is phenomenal.  This is the 3rd of 3 videos, and in my opinion the best.

 

I wonder if I could make it in my Sportwagen?  LOL!  There is a guy who installed a diesel fired heater in his Wagen, and my car is lifted, so really the only challenge I have is having enough space to store what I need.

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I wonder if I could make it in my Sportwagen?  LOL!  There is a guy who installed a diesel fired heater in his Wagen, and my car is lifted, so really the only challenge I have is having enough space to store what I need.

I bet you could. The two major highways to the far north (Alcan and Stewart-Cassair) are maintained for travel by all categories of vehicle. No special equipment required. Main things are to get your vehicle checked out to be sure it has no imminent issues (you want to minimize the chance of breaking down in a remote area), and to be alert for areas of road damage, slowing down when needed (there is ALWAYS significant road damage, due to the arctic and subarctic climates being so hard on roads).

[TigerWoodsLibido]

50F and pouring in Springfield...and they've pushed the surgery back 3 hours...I'm already about to go bonkers from this and now more waiting. She's been waiting for this surgery for years.