April 2022 (April 2008/2011 redux)

[The Blob]

I thought it was supose to be wet today. I've seen more sun than i was expecting.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, The Blob said:

I thought it was supose to be wet today. I've seen more sun than i was expecting.

Precip will be spotty through Friday night. 

[Omegaraptor]

5 minutes ago, The Blob said:

I thought it was supose to be wet today. I've seen more sun than i was expecting.

lol Corvallis

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Omegaraptor said:

lol Corvallis

That shower was pretty weak. Like 5 minutes of light rain. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

April has been a rare exception to what has over the last decade or so been a persistent long-term pattern well worth the griping. The numbers speak for themselves any way you want to crunch them.

Models trending gradually cooler and wetter is likewise a rare and welcome change to how things usually go.

And right on schedule….

[The Blob]

I spoke to soon, just had a good down pour.

[Anti Marine Layer]

22 minutes ago, The Blob said:

I thought it was supose to be wet today. I've seen more sun than i was expecting.

It's the convective hit or miss showers.

[Meatyorologist]

Quite gusty and dark in advance of this

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

Well, yeah. You take a gratuitous, mean-spirited shot at people, you gotta expect some blowback.

With my wife's surgery, I don't even really have the mental energy to point out how warm and dry it had been over the past few years. Dec-Apr aside from Jan has been pretty fun. I feel like this will also be our first cooler and wetter than normal month in quite some time.

[Phishy Wx]

just had literally a 20 second graupel shower lol

 

46 feels like 43

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

With my wife's surgery, I don't even really have the mental energy to point out how warm and dry it had been over the past few years. Dec-Apr aside from Jan has been pretty fun. I feel like this will also be our first cooler and wetter than normal month in quite some time.

Yeah, it's a real thing, but this year seems to be behaving differently. Doesn't mean our perceptions will change overnight, or that the next five years won't go back to more of the same. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

MOIST

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

MOIST

Very, very active for this time of year.

[Anti Marine Layer]

26 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

With my wife's surgery, I don't even really have the mental energy to point out how warm and dry it had been over the past few years. Dec-Apr aside from Jan has been pretty fun. I feel like this will also be our first cooler and wetter than normal month in quite some time.

What is the surgery for?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I'm buying on Phil's late 90s vibe in regards to the upcoming pattern. More like one of those years than 2011, IMO. 

[RentonHill]

Nice cell over Leecher in Twisp. Dont think it will backfill over our place (this is looking east) but cool to watch. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like May 1999 (The one Phil has been mentioning) was tied for 5th coolest on record at Silver Falls. #1 is 2011, #2 is 2010. 

Edited April 26, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[SilverFallsAndrew]

As of this morning it looks like we are at 8.43" of rain on the month. We will not come close to the April record of 13.13" from 1993. An outside shot at 10", which would be the first time since 2011 and would get us into the top 10. 

Looks like the record for May is 10.50" from 1960. Only other May with over 10" was 1977. 

Edited April 26, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[BLI snowman]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

As of this morning it looks like we are at 8.43" of rain on the month. We will not come close to the April record of 13.13" from 1993. An outside shot at 10", which would be the first time since 2011 and would get us into the top 10. 

Looks like the record for May is 10.50" from 1960. Only other May with over 10" was 1977. 

Going further back, 1937 was another one of our great wet Aprils and is the wettest on record for a number of stations with a long POR. Actually followed it up with a pretty dry May, and then a very wet/muggy June. Then a very pleasant summer followed. Only 4 days of 90+ that year in Portland.

Edited April 26, 2022 by BLI snowman

[Chewbacca Defense]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I bet you could. The two major highways to the far north (Alcan and Stewart-Cassair) are maintained for travel by all categories of vehicle. No special equipment required. Main things are to get your vehicle checked out to be sure it has no imminent issues (you want to minimize the chance of breaking down in a remote area), and to be alert for areas of road damage, slowing down when needed (there is ALWAYS significant road damage, due to the arctic and subarctic climates being so hard on roads).

I think the biggest risk for me would be the lack of 4wd/awd.  I get around Bellingham just fine, but it looks like parts of his trip were no joke in terms of icy roads.  Maybe if I went with studded tires.  I'm not gonna lie, I am kinda mulling it over.  In all reality though, It's a stretch for my 6'3" 275# frame to sleep in the back, add in 2-3 weeks of supplies/winter gear, and its probably a bit much.

[Chewbacca Defense]

33 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

What is the surgery for?

She is having to have her foot reattached after breaking it off in his keester for spending too much time on pornhub www.theweatherforums.com

 

[TacomaWaWx]

Had a pretty decent shower a bit ago…next batch looks more organized. Suns back out now which should help. 

[TacomaWaWx]

If the euros right we could be pretty close to average rainfall in May within the first week of the month. 

[Cloud]

It’s coming!!!  

[weatherfan2012]

5 hours ago, Phil said:

Pretty insane +SOI numbers now.

https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/soi/

The 30 and 90 day combined average is actually the highest it’s been since the start of this La Niña in 2020. Crazy stuff.

What funny is Larry Cosgrove is still very much on the weak El nino train for end of summer fall.

[Phil]

16 minutes ago, weatherfan2012 said:

What funny is Larry Cosgrove is still very much on the weak El nino train for end of summer fall.

Yeah that almost certainly isn’t happening.

In fact this is the first year I can remember without any “spring barrier” issues in seasonal guidance. Mostly because the system state is so deeply entrenched in its La Niña state. Usually ENSO weakens during the warm season, but might not be the case this year. 

[Phil]

I brought up the 1998-2001 (1999 in particular) because it also stayed strong through the summer, and was a 3+ year event.

Both 2008 and 2011 pulled back during the summer months. They still had a La Niña element to their respective low frequency states, but it was weaker.

[T-Town]

47 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Had a pretty decent shower a bit ago…next batch looks more organized. Suns back out now which should help. 

This one’s going to get here. 

[NWbyNW]

The last week here has been nothing but nice weather it seems.  Blue skies with clouds.  No real rain and no showers other than a sprinkle that lasted a minute and disappeared.  I know it's been more showery in other parts of the sound, but not much of anything in the Convergence Zone the past week.

Got to fully pull out hedge, sand and prep a fence, paint it, pour concrete, and install it with no rain whatsoever over the course of the past week.  

 

It has been blustery the past two days, I like that. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

The last week here has been nothing but nice weather it seems.  Blue skies with clouds.  No real rain and no showers other than a sprinkle that lasted a minute and disappeared.  I know it's been more showery in other parts of the sound, but not much of anything in the Convergence Zone the past week.

Got to fully pull out hedge, sand and prep a fence, paint it, pour concrete, and install it with no rain whatsoever over the course of the past week.  

 

It has been blustery the past two days, I like that. 

You should move out of the rain shadow.   And I should move into the rain shadow!    There has been numerous downpours here today.   

And just heard a loud clap of thunder now.  

[NWbyNW]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

You should move out of the rain shadow.   And I should move into the rain shadow!    There has been numerous downpours here today.   

And just heard a loud clap of thunder now.  

We can trade for a week or two if you'd like.  Give it a try, lol.  But once summer hits and it starts getting above 70F, I am going to want to move back to my area.   Heck, maybe I should buy a place in Crescent City where summers are in the low 60s.  

[MossMan]

Yesterday I was going to run home early and haul more dirt and mulch to my garden but it started pouring around 3pm or so…Had the same thought today as it’s been halfway decent, but the radar looks just like it did yesterday so I’m not going to bother. 

I predict this post gets at least 5 wieners slapped on it! Maybe more!! 

[T-Town]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yesterday I was going to run home early and haul more dirt and mulch to my garden but it started pouring around 3pm or so…Had the same thought today as it’s been halfway decent, but the radar looks just like it did yesterday so I’m not going to bother. 

I predict this post gets at least 5 wieners slapped on it! Maybe more!! 

If there was a yard work emoji I would give you one. 

[TT-SEA]

29 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yesterday I was going to run home early and haul more dirt and mulch to my garden but it started pouring around 3pm or so…Had the same thought today as it’s been halfway decent, but the radar looks just like it did yesterday so I’m not going to bother. 

I predict this post gets at least 5 wieners slapped on it! Maybe more!! 

I made sure my entire dirt pile was moved by Sunday afternoon because I knew what was coming.    

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I made sure my entire dirt pile was moved by Sunday afternoon because I knew what was coming.    

I wanted my wood chip mulch before finishing the dirt for the garden to make it easier to get in there with the tractor…Have I ever mentioned how much I dislike April…

[Phil]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I wanted my wood chip mulch before finishing the dirt for the garden to make it easier to get in there with the tractor…Have I ever mentioned how much I dislike April…

Or you could work in the rain. It’s like taking a shower only you finish dirtier than when you started.

[Phil]

Hail reports with that squall approaching Tim.

[TT-SEA]

Long rolling thunder just now with the next cell moving in.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Phil said:

Hail reports with that squall approaching Tim.

Just starting here... will let you know if there is hail.   

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Or you could work in the rain. It’s like taking a shower only you finish dirtier than when you started.

I have to take the tractor up the side of the house by the propane tank which is pure mud when raining. My plan is to gravel that stretch since grass will not grow due to thick tree cover but haven’t gotten that far. The mud then gets into the tread of the tractor tires and leaves a hell of a mess in the driveway. On dry days it’s a non issue. First world problems I know.