April 2022 (April 2008/2011 redux)

[TT-SEA]

3 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

April 1904 is certainly a great match here locally. We had an 89 degree heat wave that year at the same exact time we were having a 7" snowstorm this year.

#sorryTim

Well... you can't expect it to be exactly the same!    Just that it was another April with a very high SOI.   Obviously I would not pay good money for a 1904 repeat if nature was going to deliver it for free.    But sadly it won't... and nature doesn't accept credit cards.  

[Cascadia_Wx]

26 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Average temp for March was 47.0…April is still at 46.2 currently. We’re already wetter than March so far this month and very likely we finish colder. 
 We will see how May goes. My best guess is it won’t be nearly as anomalous. I think it’ll be a slightly wetter than normal month…which is probably not a bad bet considering the models are showing us getting consistent precip chances in the first week. I think the month will end with close to average temps. 

Crazy to think that even close to average would make it the coldest May in ten years 

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Crazy to think that even close to average would make it the coldest May in ten years 

Same goes for JJA. It's just sad at this point.

Weirdly enough 2015 of all years brought the last genuinely chilly Sept.

[TacomaWaWx]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Crazy to think that even close to average would make it the coldest May in ten years 

This spring feels a lot different than recent years. Think May will be more usual this year which would feel abnormal compared to recent history. 

[TT-SEA]

Hey Randy... looks like we get another gorgeous Sunday to get work done.    At least the timing of nice days has been favorable.     This will be the 3rd nice Sunday in a row.   

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Hey Randy... looks like we get another gorgeous Sunday to get work done.    At least the timing of nice days has been favorable.     This will be the 3rd nice Sunday in a row.   

Kinda hoping Tuesday and Wednesday turn out nice inbetween systems. Got those days off of work and hoping to go camping. 

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said:

This spring feels a lot different than recent years. Think May will be more usual this year which would feel abnormal compared to recent history. 

If this general -ENSO climate regime persists at least through the end of July, the Cali transplants are going to drop like flies. New imports just aren't all that aware of just how cool our summer weather can be. They associate Seattle with the 2013-2021 summers, not the 2008-2012, or even 1998-2001 summers.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Kinda hoping Tuesday and Wednesday turn out nice inbetween systems. Got those days off of work and hoping to go camping. 

Looking more likely with each run.    The ECMWF was showing a very cold trough those days but has since backed off.   00Z GFS sticking with nice weather those days too.    Still a little early to be sure yet.

[TacomaWaWx]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

If this general -ENSO climate regime persists at least through the end of July, the Cali transplants are going to drop like flies. New imports just aren't all that aware of just how cool our summer weather can be. They associate Seattle with the 2013-2021 summers, not the 2008-2012, or even 1998-2001 summers.

Even though 2019 was still kinda mild due to overnight lows I’d love to see something like that again. Or 2011 or 2012. I remember a big thunderstorm here on 7/20/12. 

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Looking more likely with each run.    The ECMWF was showing a very cold trough those days but has since backed off.   00Z GFS sticking with nice weather those days too.    Still a early to be sure yet.

Nice thing about this time of year is we can get decent amounts of rainfall and still usually sneak some nice weather in too…even during troughy patterns. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Nice thing about this time of year is we can get decent amounts of rainfall and still usually sneak some nice weather in too…even during troughy patterns. 

Looks like a pretty decent stretch of weather for the next week.    The only significant rain during the daylight hours is during the morning on Saturday and Monday per the 00Z GFS and the 12Z ECMWF.

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Even though 2019 was still kinda mild due to overnight lows I’d love to see something like that again. Or 2011 or 2012. I remember a big thunderstorm here on 7/20/12. 

Yeah, avoid the wildfires and oppressive heat and we'll be fine. Even though we were above average that summer, 2019 was humid and rarely warmed above 85°F. No fires, no huge heatwaves. Even that incredible lightning storm in September.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Yeah, avoid the wildfires and oppressive heat and we'll be fine. Even though we were above average that summer, 2019 was humid and rarely warmed above 85°F. No fires, no huge heatwaves. Even that incredible lightning storm in September.

2019 was an unusually persistently wet summer.    Drier and cooler probably wouldn't bother the transplants as much.  

Also remember that July and August averaged close to normal in Seattle last summer.    And the first half of June was top tier wet.     That is 5/6th of summer.    The same was not true to the south and east of course.    

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

2019 was an unusually persistently wet summer.    Drier and cooler probably wouldn't bother the transplants as much.  

Also remember that July and August averaged close to normal in Seattle last summer.    And the first half of June was top tier wet.     That is 5/6th of summer.    The same was not true to the south and east of course.    

What is considered 'close to normal' in the 1991-2020 update is a perversion of our actual climate. We haven't averaged less than a degree above normal during the summer since 2012. Last summer was absolutely warm here.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

What is considered 'close to normal' in the 1991-2020 update is a perversion of our actual climate. We haven't averaged less than a degree above normal during the summer since 2012. Last summer was absolutely warm here.

Well we have raised the bar... makes below normal much easier.   

[TacomaWaWx]

8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Yeah, avoid the wildfires and oppressive heat and we'll be fine. Even though we were above average that summer, 2019 was humid and rarely warmed above 85°F. No fires, no huge heatwaves. Even that incredible lightning storm in September.

We only got above 85 2 times that summer. 91 on 6/12 and 87 on 7/21. Had several decent rainstorms and convective events. Probably one of my favorite summers ever. 

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Well we have raised the bar... makes below normal much easier.   

Whatever will make Jim happy 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We only got above 85 2 times that summer. 91 on 6/12 and 87 on 7/21. Had several decent rainstorms and convective events. Probably one of my favorite summers ever. 

I really like a little more humidity and less heat.    Upper 70s with a dewpoint in the upper 50s is close to summer perfection for me... and if it comes with thunderstorms then all the better.     I would take that over 90 degrees every day of the week.   

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I really like a little more humidity and less heat.    Upper 70s with a dewpoint in the upper 50s is close to summer perfection for me... and if it comes with thunderstorms then all the better.     I would take that over 90 degrees every day of the week.   

As long as it stays below 85 I’m happy. There’s been a few summers recently when we’ve been in the mid 80s to low 90s a lot. My apartments on the second floor and I’ve got no AC. below 85 it’s comfortable but as soon as it gets above that it’s sweltering hot lol. 

[BLI snowman]

10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

What is considered 'close to normal' in the 1991-2020 update is a perversion of our actual climate. We haven't averaged less than a degree above normal during the summer since 2012. Last summer was absolutely warm here.

Absolutely.

And remember that even a "freakishly" cool/wet June like 2010 or 1954 is still about 10,000 times more normal for this region than what we saw last year.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

As long as it stays below 85 I’m happy. There’s been a few summers recently when we’ve been in the mid 80s to low 90s a lot. My apartments on the second floor and I’ve got no AC. below 85 it’s comfortable but as soon as it gets above that it’s sweltering hot lol. 

It becomes a little annoying at 85+ and even more so above 90.   

 

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

It becomes a little annoying at 85+ and even more so above 90.   

 

Gonna be time for summer predictions soon! 

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Absolutely.

And remember that even a "freakishly" cool/wet June like 2010 or 1954 is still about 10,000 times more normal for this region than what we saw last year.

Last June was quite wet.   But obviously literally anything else would be more normal than a once in a millennium heat wave.   Of course it also depends on how far back you look.   At one point not so long ago... a normal June featured a permanent ice sheet over Seattle!   But for the majority of the last 500 million years it was much warmer than it is today.

[MossMan]

Upper 70’s to low 80’s are perfect summertime temps here on the west side, mid 80’s to mid 90’s are perfect on the east side of the cascades!! Cannot wait! 

[Blizzard777]

13 hours ago, T-Town said:

Moab is amazing. It’s been 20 years since we were last there. Definitely a place I want to get back to. 

83* and sunny today (Arches) 

Let me entice you back! 

[TT-SEA]

16 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

83* and sunny today (Arches) 

Let me entice you back! 

Those pics are incredible!    Unreal.

[ShawniganLake]

49/34 here today with .18” of rain.  Can’t wait for some summer like weather.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Today I learned Tim and randy are hoping for a dry day because they will melt if they get hit by a raindrop. I also learned about a spate of recent “wet” summers.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Those pics are incredible!    Unreal.

HDR.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

46F and the occasional shower.

[Blizzard777]

6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Those pics are incredible!    Unreal.

Great definition of Arches ( incredible and unreal) and thanks  

40* Federal Way 

3.49 precipitation for the month 

[TT-SEA]

6 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Today I learned Tim and randy are hoping for a dry day because they will melt if they get hit by a raindrop. I also learned about a spate of recent “wet” summers.

Tim and Randy are always in the rain... haven't melted yet!    But you can't beat a totally dry and sunny spring day for yardwork and even better when it falls on a weekend.  

 

[T-Town]

8 hours ago, Jginmartini said:

83* and sunny today (Arches) 

Let me entice you back! 

Great shots. I recognize delicate arch for sure. Is that landscape arch?  I remember the rock formation in the third photo but forget the name. 
 

On our last trip to arches my employer was going through a round of layoffs. I remember waiting for a call from my boss to find out if I still had a job. Surprisingly good cell reception in the park. And, I kept my job…

[GHweatherChris]

Frosty 31° this morning. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Low of 39…0.01” since midnight. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

South falls had a lot of water yesterday. Took little man on a 5 mile stroller loop on the bike path. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like we bottomed out at 36 this morning. Cloudy skies.

[MossMan]

8 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Today I learned Tim and randy are hoping for a dry day because they will melt if they get hit by a raindrop. I also learned about a spate of recent “wet” summers.

You just learned that today??  

I won’t melt but after nearly 20yrs of working out in it I chose not to and I do root for dry days! Two in a row and preferably on the weekends is all I ask. Now order it up! 

[MossMan]

Had a low of 37. Currently 41 and mostly clear. 

[Phishy Wx]

30 here this morning.  another freeze