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April 2022 (April 2008/2011 redux)


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3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

73A84343-C0F7-414E-A08A-2CC5B36A8801.gif.e48ec8a430bc18bb2140808d30a8c589.gif

MJO about to loop through the WPAC it looks like. 

Shows how strong the Niña background state is. It’s fighting back hard. If we had the background state from 2020/21, we’d probably have a massive ridge forecast.

Correct re: WPAC MJO, esp in Jul/Aug/Sep.

That said, some caution should be exercised with those unfiltered phase diagrams, as the background state, ERWs, and higher frequency waves (CCKWs, etc) are all projected onto there. So sorting out which is which, and the degree/nature of forcing(s) from each, is impossible without looking at VP200/OLR hovmoller plots or something adjacent to that.

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  • Longtimer
31 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s a more wintry look than 75% of January days here.

And here too... :)

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Hail falling and temps plunging here in North Salem. The nice part of the day is over it seems. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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We’ve rebounded to 44 under partly sunny skies. Very nice day. We will see if we can stay sub 50 today…not much precip heading our way for now. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Been sunny most of the day up here in Bellingham, currently 52 after a low of 30 again this morning.  The moisture just cannot seem to make it up this way.  ☹️

Definitely feel like we’ve  been in a pretty lucky spot with how we’ve done the last few days compared to a lot of people in western WA. Chehalis to Portland are the big winners. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Definitely feel like we’ve  been in a pretty lucky spot with how we’ve done the last few days compared to a lot of people in western WA. Chehalis to Portland are the big winners. 

Yeah, I can't really complain *too* much, I think the biggest "FOMO" aspect of this is the fact that is it the middle of friggin April, and how incredibly low the elevations are that people are seeing snow.  I would like to have 1 day where we get enough big 'ole fat flakes falling enough to turn everything white for a few hours then I would be good. 

We haven't had anything where I am at, some parts of Whatcom County have seen some snow, but nowhere near the extent you guys have been seeing down south.

 

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Currently 46 is the highest temp of the day at Corvallis and Eugene.

Even lowland and foothill northern CA is getting in on the cold daytime temps today. Chico and Redding are at a maximum of 52 for the day so far. Looks like very persistent rain in the Sierra foothills as well, which is a godsend for this parched area.

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This is literally 10 miles south of me

 

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
ISSUED: 1:27 PM APR. 14, 2022 – NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Localized snow accumulation up to 4 inches.
Localized snowfall rates of one inch an hour or more.

* WHERE...Worley, Rockford, Cheney, and Fairfield.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM PDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be affected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road
conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by
calling 5 1 1.
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1 hour ago, Timmy Supercell said:

That looks like Spring in Siberia. ;)

I must have moved to Siberia cause that is literally what it looks like here every Spring! Nothing even begins to leaf out until late May in a normal year. Could be waiting until June this year!

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Plenty of sun here today after the morning snow event... most sun we have seen this week.     

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Plenty of sun here today after the morning snow event... most sun we have seen this week.     

Yeah yesterday here was very late Decemberish. No sun at all and only got up to 42. 46 and sunny now more sun the the last few days feels nice. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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The euro still looks plenty wet. Seems like we’re still on track for a cooler and wetter than normal April. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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The new ECMWF weeklies keep the cool/troughy pattern going until at least the end of May. 😱

Maybe there is a God.

FC7D7C8B-B28A-4F5F-97B8-17B8366140EB.gif

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  • Longtimer
Just now, Phil said:

The new ECMWF weeklies keep the cool/troughy pattern going until at least the end of May. 😱

FC7D7C8B-B28A-4F5F-97B8-17B8366140EB.gif

Shades of 2011

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Shades of 2011

I’d prefer a 2008 (no eastern death ridge) but either one would be an impressive low frequency pattern shift vs recent years.

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  • Longtimer
5 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’d prefer a 2008 (no eastern death ridge) but either one would be an impressive low frequency pattern shift vs recent years.

May/June 2008 and 2011 were VERY different here. Some beastly troughs at times in 2008, but SLE had major heatwaves in May 08' and June. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Thunder here!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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  • Longtimer

Good lord... 

19374AD3-0936-43C5-9F1D-4B57BE1D12D2.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

I've been meaning to mow my lawn for the first time this year, but it is hard to do when we have had snow for 5 straight days.  Will need to wait until it dries out.

I’d mow in the snow just for the experience. :lol: Would probably be buying grass seed afterwards though.

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7 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

The 8-16 inches of snow in the Wenatchee area is the latest snowfall ever recorded there, with record keeping beginning in 1931.  The previous record was April 13. 1955.  

Despite that, the roads were clear of snow, just wet, when I was there around 10:30 this morning.  

Latest snow ever *and* it’s 8-16”?

That’s insanity.

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  • Longtimer

SLE snuck in a 50 today. Still good for a -11 departure today. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Looks like EUG was able to pull off a sub-50 high, assuming they don't have a late afternoon heat spike. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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47 here…might get to 48 but sub 50 high is very likely. Think that’s the 6th one this month. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Satellite loop is pretty interesting today.   The trough is right over us so the clouds and precip are just meandering.    The area from Seattle north to Bellingham and eastward looks like little mini volcanoes exploding all over the place as showers pop up and then fade.    You can also see a large convergence zone or deformation setting up shop now from the coast towards Mt. Rainier. 

 

CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW-02-23_46Z-20220414_map_-39-1n-10-100.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Not to get greedy. But I want more snow. 

Probably our last chance of snow is tomorrow. Should finally be getting closer to april normality later this weekend into next week. Still on the cool side though. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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  • Longtimer
9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Satellite loop is pretty interesting today.   The trough is right over us so the clouds and precip are just meandering.    The area from Seattle north to Bellingham and eastward looks like little mini volcanoes exploding all over the place as showers pop up and then fade.    You can also see a large convergence zone or deformation setting up shop now from the coast towards Mt. Rainier. 

 

CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW-02-23_46Z-20220414_map_-39-1n-10-100.gif

Today was much more active than I was expecting. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Looks like we hit 39 again. Currently 36 and partly sunny. Still a lot of snow cover. But it’s pretty muddy out there underneath it! 

4BD3A918-9559-477A-B17C-5D82FC6A5107.jpeg

897CADEE-B478-49E4-AD68-D71C87A8962F.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

924A17AC-2683-484F-9051-F6F8CFC6C2BC.thumb.jpeg.bc726b06c8b0abed74478ed659664438.jpegGot dark here quick 

It got dark here too

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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48/33 today. Tr. Snow 0.09” melted snow/rain and 1.73” of precip this month. Pretty decent looking cell kinda drifting this way we will see what happens 42 currently. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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