There was 3 pieces of energy with the late October storm, first was hurricane Norma, then a wave swung out of the SW and then finally a storm came into the pacific northwest and rotated through. The final piece is what could deliver a nice snow if there is cold air available. 12z Euro today I think is on the right path.
Yeah snowiest and coldest since 1951-1952.
Last year all the seasonal models and experts had us at like 70% of normal precip do to the 3rd year La Nina. But winter ended up acting like an El Nino instead.
This year they all had us at 120% or above because of the El Nino so of course it acts like a La Nina.
We have never had an above average winter with a Nov and Dec this bad before, so it looks like they have already busted on their forecast for this season.
Next week is almost certain to be warm as well. Sitting at less than 2" of snow on the season at my house and won't add on much in the next week if at all. Next hope is the week before Christmas, but doesn't look like winter will invade most of us here anytime soon. blah