OmahaSnowFan Posted April 28, 2022 Report Share Posted April 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: BIG Supercell south of Holdrege, NE Flood Advisory for that storm Moving at 5 mph and has 2” hail! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 35 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: BIG Supercell south of Holdrege, NE Flood Advisory for that storm 20 miles south of me in Alma. 2” hail and torrential downpours. I’m getting some nice rain here as things keep developing. Very thankful for the moisture 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 31 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Moving at 5 mph and has 2” hail! 511 Nebraska site showed low visibility in the hail and rain north of Alma. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 I’ve had some little pingers of hail, but nothing too bad. Nice showers keep developing and moving through. We actually have puddles. Honestly, we haven’t had this since October. Probably 0.25” so far as it continues. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: 20 miles south of me in Alma. 2” hail and torrential downpours. I’m getting some nice rain here as things keep developing. Very thankful for the moisture It appears that the Convective Feedback did the trick for Holdridge to get rainfall. 2 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 1 minute ago, CentralNebWeather said: I’ve had some little pingers of hail, but nothing too bad. Nice showers keep developing and moving through. We actually have puddles. Honestly, we haven’t had this since October. Probably 0.25” so far as it continues. I did not see any puddles from Summer 2021 to April 2022, I was excited to see them again! 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: It appears that the Convective Feedback did the trick for Holdridge to get rainfall. You are 100% correct. Our HS soccer team was hosting their final regular season game, and it looks like lightning and heavy rain will end the game at halftime, according to my son who was watching it and now he is running to his vehicle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Goodness, 80 dBz on radar in Northern Kansas 3 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 7 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Goodness, 80 dBz on radar in Northern Kansas The sky to the south of me is black. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: The sky to the south of me is black. Could you take a Picture of the Supercell or a video of the lightning inside of it? Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 27 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Could you take a Picture of the Supercell or a video of the lightning inside of it? It is too far south now, and other storms are now moving through obscuring a good picture. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 1 minute ago, CentralNebWeather said: It is too far south now, and other storms are now moving through obscuring a good picture. Makes sense now that the others are obscuring it from a good view. Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: Makes sense now that the others are obscuring it from a good view. Here is the best I can do from my front porch. Another cell is just coming through. What an evening. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 1 minute ago, CentralNebWeather said: Here is the best I can do from my front porch. Another cell is just coming through. What an evening. That thing looks mean even from that distance, I've also noticed the amount of Green Grass that is popping up as well. 2 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 27 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: That thing looks mean even from that distance, I've also noticed the amount of Green Grass that is popping up as well. Some yards are starting to look good. Mine has a ways to go with some yellow still showing up. The next week looks to really green things up. Some trees are also just starting to bud out. Probably will be a couple more weeks at least to see all trees leaf out. Behind the averages. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 IMG_0577.MOV 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Rain also coming through the fire/burn areas around Arapahoe. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 9 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: IMG_0577.MOV 56.24 MB · 0 downloads Video has refused to download on my screen. 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 OAX issuing a flash flood warning and not a red flag warning wtf 1 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 KLNK has already picked up 0.67". Just <0.05" and a lightning show in SE Lincoln. We'll see if the stuff to the NW is far enough east in a couple hours. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 The enhanced risk area for today was expanded further east. A tornado outbreak after dark for Kansas, Oklahoma and possibly southern Nebraska is possible. Not a fan of this don't want anyone to get hurt. For mby a squall line with strong winds looks likely. Early this morning, slow-moving MCS has propagated into southeast NE with scattered convection trailing west, just north of the KS border. This activity is expected to gradually wane/shift east by daybreak. Stronger-forced convection is now responding to the short wave over the NE Panhandle and this activity should gradually spread east through late morning. Latest thinking is low-level moisture should hold across southern NE, just north of the surface low as easterly boundary-layer component in the wake of the ongoing MCS will persist across this region. With upper 50s/lower 60s surface dew points expected into portions of northwest KS, supercells should readily develop ahead of the approaching short wave by early afternoon. An expanding corridor of scattered supercells should spread along the NE/KS border within a strongly sheared environment characterized by MUCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg. Forecast soundings strongly suggest very large hail, in excess of 3 inches may be noted within this steep lapse-rate environment. Additionally, a few tornadoes appear likely with this activity, possibly even a strong tornado. Farther south along the dryline, intense surface heating should lead to minimal CINH by 21z and isolated supercells are expected to develop across KS into northern OK where mid-level height falls are expected. Models continue to suggest low-mid 60s surface dew points will be noted immediately ahead of the dryline which will result in a narrow corridor of 3000 J/kg SBCAPE. While model guidance produces minimal/no precipitation along the dryline south of I40 over OK into TX, low-level convergence along the boundary may prove adequate for sustained updrafts at lower latitudes. This portion of the outlook is highly conditional, but if storms develop they will be severe with very large hail (3-4 inch possible) along with a threat for tornadoes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Lot of active weather ahead for the next week especially for Oklahoma and Texas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Clinton said: The enhanced risk area for today was expanded further east. A tornado outbreak after dark for Kansas, Oklahoma and possibly southern Nebraska is possible. Not a fan of this don't want anyone to get hurt. For mby a squall line with strong winds looks likely. Early this morning, slow-moving MCS has propagated into southeast NE with scattered convection trailing west, just north of the KS border. This activity is expected to gradually wane/shift east by daybreak. Stronger-forced convection is now responding to the short wave over the NE Panhandle and this activity should gradually spread east through late morning. Latest thinking is low-level moisture should hold across southern NE, just north of the surface low as easterly boundary-layer component in the wake of the ongoing MCS will persist across this region. With upper 50s/lower 60s surface dew points expected into portions of northwest KS, supercells should readily develop ahead of the approaching short wave by early afternoon. An expanding corridor of scattered supercells should spread along the NE/KS border within a strongly sheared environment characterized by MUCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg. Forecast soundings strongly suggest very large hail, in excess of 3 inches may be noted within this steep lapse-rate environment. Additionally, a few tornadoes appear likely with this activity, possibly even a strong tornado. Farther south along the dryline, intense surface heating should lead to minimal CINH by 21z and isolated supercells are expected to develop across KS into northern OK where mid-level height falls are expected. Models continue to suggest low-mid 60s surface dew points will be noted immediately ahead of the dryline which will result in a narrow corridor of 3000 J/kg SBCAPE. While model guidance produces minimal/no precipitation along the dryline south of I40 over OK into TX, low-level convergence along the boundary may prove adequate for sustained updrafts at lower latitudes. This portion of the outlook is highly conditional, but if storms develop they will be severe with very large hail (3-4 inch possible) along with a threat for tornadoes Yikes! This could be a dangerous situation....buckle up, things are going to get real bumpy over the next 5-7 days! The storm setting up for Mon could be even worse across KS and has that signature of a barreling squall line. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Moderate risk area now issued and enhanced area also pushed further east right up to my door step. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Upgraded to Moderate Risk for Southern Nebraska & Northern Kansas for today. 2 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 I'm heading to Omaha today. Might get bumpy! Look forward to some warmer temps as well. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 2.53" fell at LNK overnight, basically doubling the YTD total of 2.68". Yeah it's been dry lol. Lesser amounts in SE Lincoln, around 1" has fallen so far. 5 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 2 hours ago, Clinton said: Moderate risk area now issued and enhanced area also pushed further east right up to my door step. I’m concerned with the amount of cloud cover and morning storms that won’t make this evening activity not so active. We will see if we are able to clear out by noon 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 29, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: I’m concerned with the amount of cloud cover and morning storms that won’t make this evening activity not so active. We will see if we are able to clear out by noon Same, it's completely cloud-covered over I-40 near Okemah. Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: I’m concerned with the amount of cloud cover and morning storms that won’t make this evening activity not so active. We will see if we are able to clear out by noon Looks like the cap is building in, still plenty of time to warm up. This last line of storms coming through my area are strong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 34 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: I’m concerned with the amount of cloud cover and morning storms that won’t make this evening activity not so active. We will see if we are able to clear out by noon Sun is out here. Gonna be an interesting day for sure; I'm anxious to see if storms can stay discrete in my neck of the woods. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Our HS Track Meet is today at 1 PM. All teachers are required to work at it. Storms look to come through after 4 PM. Field events should be fine, but running events might be iffy. Thick cloud cover all morning might limit some of the severe storms. We'll see. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 I'm fully in the cross hairs for significant severe weather later today, but I do think the most likely outcome for MBY is a severe wind and/or hail threat from a squall line in the 9 PM-1 AM time frame. That said, the 12z FV3 does show a tornadic supercell moving through my area around 7 PM so I would be concerned about any discrete storms that form nearby primarily from 6-9 PM. Just something to keep an eye on. If nothing else maybe I'll get my first tornado watch in almost three years. 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Watch coming soon for @CentralNebWeather 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Target acquired! 5 pm today is where you will find me 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Target acquired! 5 pm today is where you will find me Happy hunting! This afternoon and evening looks interesting... and this looks like the spot to be in. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 19 minutes ago, Bryan1117 said: Happy hunting! This afternoon and evening looks interesting... and this looks like the spot to be in. Not saying it's gonna happen but that cell matches up very well with where two of the strongest tornadoes happened in Nebraska history. Jim Flowers also showed a similar path in his video today with what was shown in the models. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 Watch coming soon along the dry line. Should start to fire between 4-7pm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 @CentralNebWeatherit looks like there is a nice wall of water closing in on ya. Hope you do well! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 29, 2022 Report Share Posted April 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, Clinton said: @CentralNebWeatherit looks like there is a nice wall of water closing in on ya. Hope you do well! Yep. Track meet had 5 events left, and lightning began. It was immediately called off as everyone scattered. Looks dark to the west with some mammatus clouds overhead. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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