Phil Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Tom said: Indeed, I think the Euro gets a bit overdone with temps in the D5+ range but with the blocking waning and the SER flexing its muscle this may end up come close. The EPS is very warm next Mon-Fri and even extends the warmth through the following weekend while the GEFS cut it short and cooling filters in by Thu/Fri. Let the battle begin again. I have no faith in the GFS/GEFS during a pattern like this. Always trapping ULLs in the NPAC and reverting to the +TNH pattern. We’ll see though! 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 2 hours ago, Andie said: We get those non stop roaring winds virtually every year now. March-April can get so windy people become short tempered. Can’t escape it even inside. A lot of collision aloft. I’ve seen this more and more the past 10 yrs Yes! It was like every time i was outside, even when it was warm, it was just like being annoyed and pushed around the whole time. I never knew wind could be so annoying. It was remarkable, though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 I forgot to check my rain gauge before I left the house this morning, but I'm seeing radar estimates and local airport reports of over .75", so we got another good soaking over here. And the rain is just lingering around, so looks like we've got at least a couple more hours to go. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 The Euro has highs well into the 80s and pushing 90 for much of next week with dew points surging into the low 70s! It's a miracle! And naturally we went from extended winter to summer, with no nice spring weather in between. But I'll gladly take heat and humidity over what we've had. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 Texans are dragging out the hoodies and light coats today. It got down into the 40’s last night and is a really chilly damp 53 right now. They're forecasting a high of 70 but with this cloud cover and no wind it will have to work hard to get there. That Front had some punch to it. We’re expecting more rain. We’ll see if that happens. Dang! It’s chilly out there! 3 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 46 minutes ago, bud2380 said: The Euro has highs well into the 80s and pushing 90 for much of next week with dew points surging into the low 70s! It's a miracle! And naturally we went from extended winter to summer, with no nice spring weather in between. But I'll gladly take heat and humidity over what we've had. I don’t see this happening next week lol. Mid 70 dew points all the way up to Minnesota and Wi in early may is extremely rare. The Euro has it going from cold and snow to mid July in the matter of a few days lol 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 My rain total is 1.23", at the high end of the model range. There were multiple models that dropped us down to 0.2-0.5" at one point. Even last night the short-term models/CAMs were in the 0.6-0.8" range. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 3 hours ago, Jayhawker85 said: I don’t see this happening next week lol. Mid 70 dew points all the way up to Minnesota and Wi in early may is extremely rare. The Euro has it going from cold and snow to mid July in the matter of a few days lol I'm sure the specifics are overdone, but the general idea appears clear, with agreement from the GFS and Canadian that we will have very warm and seasonably humid air next week, which will feel great. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 This morning's Euro has a LOW temp here next Tuesday morning of only 75º. 2 1 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 3, 2022 Report Share Posted May 3, 2022 Radar estimated 0.92" at my house today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Getting some loud thunder tonight under the inversion. Been ongoing for about an hour now. Looks like there are more rounds incoming as well. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 61*. High of 84* and severe thunderstorms today. 1 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Heavy rainfall expected in my area this evening through tomorrow night. Euro and GFS indicate widespread 1-3 inch amounts. The 6z HRRR shows 3-5 inch amounts. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Bring out the Canoe for our OK folks.... @Iceresistance @OKwx2k4 It's going to get bumpy later today thru the night..... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Same Ol' story continues as we open up May for Chitown...setting a new record low for sunshine (0%) for the 1st 3 days of the month...BUT...Summer is around the corner. I could already see the city buzzing with peeps and people prepping their gardens. The smells of Summer will certainly be in the Air. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Winter in May...what an odd Spring season... https://news.yahoo.com/early-may-snow-makes-spring-173311849.html 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 52/44. There was 0.68" of rain fall that brings the monthly total to 0.85" and for the year the total is now at 15.17" that is 3.75" above average for this period in the year. Last year as of May 3rd Grand Rapids only had 6.70". The first 4 month of 2022 have been very cloudy, cool and wet. At Grand Rapids the first 4 months have been 2.0° colder than the 30 year average and -2.65° colder than the new 15 year average. The official overnight low at GRR was 42 and the overnight low here at my house was 41. At the current time it is sunny and 48 here at my house. It will soon be time to enjoy some much warmer temperature as we head into next week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 39 minutes ago, Tom said: BUT...Summer is around the corner. yes, since around mid March it has been cold and wet here in the Great Lakes area and it now looks like a good patten change to much nicer weather for a while. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Yup my grids have mid 80s next week. Things will really be growing after all the moisture we've had. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Models are locked into summer next week, with no more cold dumps in sight. It's still up in the air how much rain we'll get Thu/Fri. The Euro continues to be the most bullish with 1-2", but a few other models (GFS) are keeping the second spoke of energy south of us and are much drier. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Tom said: Same Ol' story continues as we open up May for Chitown...setting a new record low for sunshine (0%) for the 1st 3 days of the month...BUT...Summer is around the corner. I could already see the city buzzing with peeps and people prepping their gardens. The smells of Summer will certainly be in the Air. It is finally sunny and pleasant in Eastern Iowa. It makes such a difference. Even though it's cool, the wind is light so it feels so much nicer today. The next two days look awful, before we finally will turn things around this weekend, before next week's heat wave. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 More chances of severe weather next week as temps and humidity levels rise. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 5 hours ago, Tom said: Bring out the Canoe for our OK folks.... @Iceresistance @OKwx2k4 It's going to get bumpy later today thru the night..... No need to worry, I live on a hill and I'm currently in Orlando, Florida! 1 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 I thought I would add that I’m battling a migraine today. I often do when there’s a strong system on the horizon. Barometric pressure is a trigger and I’ve been dealing with this baby for 2 days. It’s worse today and I can tell this is a strong system. I love Spring, but Spring doesn’t love me. Anyone else in this boat? 80*. Storms should start firing around 4 pm. Edit: 5 pm. No rain yet. They’re moving it later this evening. Overcast and very warm all day. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Rain with a couple of rumbles of thunder have moved in with a temperature of 54. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 Steady rain has produced about a 1/2 inch of rain so far. Heavier rain expected overnight and tomorrow afternoon. Can't wait to the sun again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted May 4, 2022 Report Share Posted May 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Clinton said: Steady rain has produced about a 1/2 inch of rain so far. Heavier rain expected overnight and tomorrow afternoon. Can't wait to the sun again. Just wait till it hits 90 next week and the humidity will feel awful outside lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 lol...I think the NWS in KC was having some fun with the Star Wars May the 4th meme in their weather story graphic today. 4 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 On 5/3/2022 at 7:54 AM, Andie said: We get those non stop roaring winds virtually every year now. March-April can get so windy people become short tempered. Can’t escape it even inside. A lot of collision aloft. I’ve seen this more and more the past 10 yrs The day I was riding east out of OKC last November wind was wipping the uHaul and seemed like it was hard to keep a straight drive on I-40. I hardly know much about Oklahoma climate. But just to say, most of the travel from OR to KY was calm except for when I passed through OK. Some of the roads there need maintenancing outside of the big city I should probably mention too. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 Well, had some thunderstorms near Ashland a few times yesterday. Nothing really strong. After the Tornado Watch expired there continued to be storms at night and had some flashing around 11pm. Mild today and was overcast pretty much all day. 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 13 hours ago, Tom said: Bring out the Canoe for our OK folks.... @Iceresistance @OKwx2k4 It's going to get bumpy later today thru the night..... Bumpy is correct. Very correct. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 The Thu/Fri system is a battle between the Euro and the CAMs. The Euro, while gradually bringing the rain totals down across Iowa, still has near 1" in Cedar Rapids as of the 18z run. Meanwhile, the 3k NAM and HRRR show heavy convection well down in Missouri sucking up all the moisture. Both models now spit out only about 0.1" here. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 Ice out 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 Steady rain this evening has added up to .90 inches. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 2 hours ago, Madtown said: Ice out Excellent!!! A nice Carl Kiekhaefer Mercury!!! I used to have a 1955 9.9hp that was all white. It would smoke anything now days in that HP range but not so friendly on the environment. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 Euro has really dried out for most C and E IA for this late week system. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 5 hours ago, Grizzcoat said: Euro has really dried out for most C and E IA for this late week system. Proof that summer is right around the corner!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 1.3 inches has fallen so far. A break in the rain is expected this morning before more rain and thunderstorms move back in later this afternoon and tonight. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 5, 2022 Report Share Posted May 5, 2022 We lost out last night but storms in the forecast today and some will be severe with hail and high winds. We’re at 70 Humidity 90%. Pressure 29.79. Talk about damp out there. My storm headache is in full bloom. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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