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May 2022 Observations & Discussions


Iceresistance

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Whoa, big line going through Paducah's region. 

KPAH_loop (3).gif

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Things SE of DFW continue to score the rain AND some severe weather. 
 

243C7339-4F6F-429D-BB3B-8EA2648C72D8.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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14 hours ago, tStacsh said:

From what I read it was the only 2nd tornado ever reordered in that County.   EF3.  Not sure what this one will be rated.  Guess is High EF2 low EF3.  

 

5 hours ago, westMJim said:

It has been rated DF3. The 1956 Hudsonville-Standale-Walker tornado here in Grand Rapids and the 1953 Coldwater Rd storms in Fling were rated EF5 and the 1965 storm here in Grand Rapids was EF4. Not sure what the 1967 storm near 28st was rated

 

Just catching up with this event - been busy. Two dead now (both in that mobile home park that was leveled). There apparently was another twister that hit Gaylord roughly 25 years ago, but it's so rare of a threat that they have no siren system like is common downstate. Multiple fatality twister. Might be the first since the Sept of 2007 outbreak that killed that couple east of Lansing. The Dexter EF3 in 2012 there were no fatalities, despite some seriously damaged residences. During the June 8th, 1953 outbreak, there was a smaller twister (F3?) that hit near Oscoda right on the beach at lake Huron. My folks had a cottage near there they bought the very next year. I remember my dad casually mentioning one time that we were driving past the spot that twister came through, killing a couple who were strolling the beach that fateful June evening. Talk about being in the wrong place at the wrong time! Of course, all the news was focused on the Flint-Beecher devastation and huge loss of life. Nobody thought that amount of single twister death toll could happen in the modern (warned) era. Then the Joplin monster proved them wrong 58 years later!

Flint (south side this time) also had an F4 twister rip through, just a few years later in '56. My older brother-in-law said he was at a drive-in that evening when it came over and lifted the car he was in a few feet off the ground. I think the last F4 was in the northern suburbs of Detroit (Bloomfield??) circa 1976. A very close call happened when I was working in TX back in the summer of 2010, with that EF4 that ripped through the west side of Toledo after dark iirc. 

This Gaylord twister happens, just as I was thinking we no longer have them here in The Mitt. Never say never (Niko?) 

 

image.png.32157100e918ef1788a2fc35d53f0478.png

Kentucky maybe??

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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The models are shifting the slow moving cutter every-so-slightly west, thus, the warm front shall surge north around here allowing temps to surge well into the 70's.  I'll take it.  I hope the Euro is right for many reasons, esp to get moisture for those out west who need it more.  We have been doing well in that dept. so to see nature "share" the moisture would be a nice deed!

With the shift west, however, some of you in IA/NE/MN/WI will be stuck in some chilly temps for a few days next week.  

Wednesday highs...

1.png

 

This corridor of precip would be nice for KS and E NE/IA peeps...

2.png

 

3.png

 

 

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For the most part, it appears that it'll be a chilly and crisp start to Friday around these parts once the cutter departs.  Nature is going to deliver a well-deserved and perfectly timed Summery wx pattern for the Unofficial start to Summer this Memorial Day weekend.  I've been watching the models like a hawk over the last few weeks for the upcoming weekend.  I remember long ago the EPS was suggesting a big trough over the GL's region and the GEFS had a ridge.  Kuddos to the GEFS for winning this LR battle.

So, here we go, who's ready for a very nice MDW??  It may start off rather HOT for those out west, but now, both the GEFS/EPS are showing a slow moving CF to settle south across the western SUB for Memorial Day.  Memorial Day Boomers???

image.gif

 

I'll try to dive into the Summer pattern a bit more when I get a chance, but something rather fascinating is going to develop in the high lat regions right as we open up MET Summer.  Big Time Blocking.  As a result, I've noticed how much wetter the C Plains could get, esp where the majority of the US wheat is grown in KS! #bullseye...I didn't realize that KS also exports a lot of Beef as well.  This is all good news for our farmers, ranchers and those who are self-sufficient.

5.png

 

 

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Look at those rainfall maps! Isn't that something beautiful? So very glad to see the rainfall spread west into TX/OK and NE where it is most badly needed. A lot of areas it is becoming beyond badly needed.

In terms of weather on the whole runout, looks like I'm still in the rocking chair or washing machine of weather, water and windy chaos.

These waves of storms and wind the last 45-60 days have to be something historic.

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8 hours ago, jaster220 said:

During the June 8th, 1953 outbreak, there was a smaller twister (F3?) that hit near Oscoda right on the beach at lake Huron. My folks had a cottage near there they bought the very next year.

I was not aware of that 1953 storm in Oscoda Thanks for that update 

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Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 65/54 being further west the cold front came thru GR before Lansing. The high at Lansing was 74 just after midnight.  It was yet another example as to why Lansing has seemed to be warmer than GR many times this year. As there have been many times when the cold front came thru just before and just after midnight. The official total rain fall at GR for yesterday was 0.86. The overnight low at both my house and officially at GR was 52 and that is the current temperature. We are taking a road trip up to Bay City today and will be back later today. The week ahead looks to be cool and at times wet. 

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I’m having a difficult time acclimating to the warmup this year. Haven’t had much warmth until now, so that’s probably part of it.

Low 90s w/ upper 60s dews is not bad at all by midsummer standards, if anything would be less humid than average. But man, my body just ain’t having it right now. :lol: 

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That was pretty intense. Prolonged 50-55mph winds, flashy lightning, and a torrent of rain with this QLCS. Nice consolation prize after the first line gapped us.

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12 hours ago, westMJim said:

I was not aware of that 1953 storm in Oscoda Thanks for that update 

And maybe my memory from my youth was a bit off. There were 4 fatalities, and this mentions only that cottages were hit. As I reflect on it more, I think it was the parents and their child that were killed (probably in one of those cabins), not a couple just strolling along on the beach. 

image.thumb.png.111326c0757c4fd586fdd03e3740ffca.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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As well as the other strong and deadly twisters on the evening of 6/8/53, there was a deadly F4 in the far, far SE corner of Lower MI near Erie that somebody actually snapped a picture of. It's the only photo I am aware of during that outbreak. No photo of the F5 in Flint, but from descriptions of spectators this is probably a good example. All told, 126 people were killed by TORS in The Mitt that early summer evening. Just krazy to think about that today. 

Erie Michigan 1953 tornado.jpg

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Models are shifting the midweek system westward.  Unfortunately, that means the widespread 1-2+" rain band has shifted from eastern Iowa into central and western Iowa.  Anything less than an inch would be a big disappointment.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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1 hour ago, Hawkeye said:

Models are shifting the midweek system northwestward.  Unfortunately, that means the widespread 1-2+" rain band has shifted from eastern Iowa into central and western Iowa.  Anything less than an inch would be a big disappointment.

Im sitting at .90 for May. Driest I can remember. If we dont catch some rain this week no doubt we will be back on the drought monitor!

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Frost/Freeze advisories are not typical this late in the season, but they sure keep the Furnace's running!  My Furnace just kicked on and has been all night.  It'll prob kick on a few more time this week before we can FINALLY say goodbye till next Autumn.  

 

Screen Shot 2022-05-23 at 3.23.27 AM.png

 

It's a cool, crisp 43F this morning underneath clear skies.  Looking forward to more sunnier skies today compared to yesterday.  It was a nice day overall but clouds filtered the sky and with the brisk NW winds it sorta had a cool bite to it sitting outside.

 

 

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If the system keeps trending west, we might squeeze in one more day in the 70's on Thursday.  #Bonus

The 0z Euro sure looks wet...it's also suggesting upper 70's here on Wed...

1.png

 

As for MDW, models are looking dry and very warm for the eastern SUB.   Perfect beach weather for the shores of western LM as there will be a strong SW breeze on SUN & MON.  Not soo good for the easter Shores of LM.  This is about as good as a Holiday forecast one can ask for the majority of our Sub Forum, but esp in the MW/GL's region.  Get out and enjoy this holiday weekend!

Enjoy this warm spell, bc if the EPS is right, here comes another cool/wet period just as we open met Summer.  June gloom??  There is a silver lining...loads of precip for the ag belt...

1.gif

 

 

2.png

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3 hours ago, OKwx2k4 said:

Mid-60s highs, lower to mid-50s lows and rain this week is looking like the drill for me.

Seattle, Oklahoma ladies and gentlemen. I'll probably cycle a furnace a few times after or starting today.

Enjoy this cool, wet period my friend...I'm sure you'll be roasting in the Heat/Humidity soon!

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On 5/22/2022 at 12:57 AM, jaster220 said:

 

Just catching up with this event - been busy. Two dead now (both in that mobile home park that was leveled). There apparently was another twister that hit Gaylord roughly 25 years ago, but it's so rare of a threat that they have no siren system like is common downstate. Multiple fatality twister. Might be the first since the Sept of 2007 outbreak that killed that couple east of Lansing. The Dexter EF3 in 2012 there were no fatalities, despite some seriously damaged residences. During the June 8th, 1953 outbreak, there was a smaller twister (F3?) that hit near Oscoda right on the beach at lake Huron. My folks had a cottage near there they bought the very next year. I remember my dad casually mentioning one time that we were driving past the spot that twister came through, killing a couple who were strolling the beach that fateful June evening. Talk about being in the wrong place at the wrong time! Of course, all the news was focused on the Flint-Beecher devastation and huge loss of life. Nobody thought that amount of single twister death toll could happen in the modern (warned) era. Then the Joplin monster proved them wrong 58 years later!

Flint (south side this time) also had an F4 twister rip through, just a few years later in '56. My older brother-in-law said he was at a drive-in that evening when it came over and lifted the car he was in a few feet off the ground. I think the last F4 was in the northern suburbs of Detroit (Bloomfield??) circa 1976. A very close call happened when I was working in TX back in the summer of 2010, with that EF4 that ripped through the west side of Toledo after dark iirc. 

This Gaylord twister happens, just as I was thinking we no longer have them here in The Mitt. Never say never (Niko?) 

 

image.png.32157100e918ef1788a2fc35d53f0478.png

Kentucky maybe??

 

Indeed amigo..never say never!!!

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 61/46 and 0.01" of rain was reported. We went up to Bay City for the day. It was mostly cloudy going there with a few breaks in the clouds. There were also a few sprinkles on and off. The overnight low here at my house was 38 and it looks like the official overnight low at GRR will be 42. At this time it is clear and 39 here at my house.

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Had a really nice t'stm Saturday morning w/ pea size hail and wind gusts up to 60 mph. Branches were seen broken off the trees all over the place. Wind driven rainfall as well. Lasted for about 10 minutes or less.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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2 hours ago, Tom said:

Frost/Freeze advisories are not typical this late in the season, but they sure keep the Furnace's running!  My Furnace just kicked on and has been all night.  It'll prob kick on a few more time this week before we can FINALLY say goodbye till next Autumn.  

The overnight low here in MBY was 38. The furnace did not kick on but it is cool in the house and I may turn it on before the wife gets up. I covered my tomato plants last night but they are now getting so big that I had find big old flower pots to cover them up with so I hope this is the last of the cold nights this season.

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3 hours ago, OKwx2k4 said:

Mid-60s highs, lower to mid-50s lows and rain this week is looking like the drill for me.

Seattle, Oklahoma ladies and gentlemen. I'll probably cycle a furnace a few times after or starting today.

Enjoying the cool while I can my friend!!   
it may be a very hot summer.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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3 hours ago, westMJim said:

The overnight low here in MBY was 38. The furnace did not kick on but it is cool in the house and I may turn it on before the wife gets up. I covered my tomato plants last night but they are now getting so big that I had find big old flower pots to cover them up with so I hope this is the last of the cold nights this season.

I turned my heat on at 5 this morning.  Got down to 65 in the house.  

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It is a blustery, chilly day today along w/ a blend of clouds & sun. Temps are holding steady into the 50s. Looks like Autunm when you step outside. Lows tanite will be near 40F, but there is a good chance that some 30s could very well be in play in some of the colder spots. I have a feeling that my area will be somewhere between 35-40F.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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29 minutes ago, westMJim said:

Wow that was some the derecho that formed in SE Michigan and then moved thru Ontario and into Quebec 

https://www.woodtv.com/weather/deadly-derecho-8-fatalities-900000-lost-power/

Canada-derecho-tree-hits-golf-cart-2.jpg

I've rode out passing storms on a course before. WORST nightmare right here in these pics!

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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1 hour ago, tStacsh said:

I turned my heat on at 5 this morning.  Got down to 65 in the house.  

strange how different here. Had at least one window open a little. Looks like our low was in the vicinity of 50F. Tonight they're calling for mid-40s tho

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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28 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Currently 48 degrees and light rain continuing at 1:30 pm. Our house has been between 58-61 degrees for the last few days. I won’t turn on heat now. Summer returns by the weekend and the A/C will be back on.  Saving money where we can. 

I appreciate the saving $$, but that's just a bit chilly for my living room. Seems like I've been toggling back and forth the last couple of weeks between HEAT and COOL

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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41 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Currently 48 degrees and light rain continuing at 1:30 pm. Our house has been between 58-61 degrees for the last few days. I won’t turn on heat now. Summer returns by the weekend and the A/C will be back on.  Saving money where we can. 

You got some thick blood my friend!  I can handle 65F for a day but anything below that for more than a day is tough.  

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22 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

I appreciate the saving $$, but that's just a bit chilly for my living room. Seems like I've been toggling back and forth the last couple of weeks between HEAT and COOL

😅 me too Jaster. Heat and Ac going back and forth. At this rate, it is becoming comical.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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23 minutes ago, Tom said:

You got some thick blood my friend!  I can handle 65F for a day but anything below that for more than a day is tough.  

Just wearing sweatshirts, more blankets at night. We’ve been out of school for a week, so we are out and about. My wife has done more baking, which adds to the warmth on the main floor. 

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7 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Just wearing sweatshirts, more blankets at night. We’ve been out of school for a week, so we are out and about. My wife has done more baking, which adds to the warmth on the main floor. 

The heat from the kitchen actually does work quite well when I’m cooking during the colder days without having the furnace kick on.  Enjoy the cooler weather before summer is back!

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