TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Global warming is, in fact, not a good thing, and nobody should wish for more of it. Wait... so citing scientific research on stratospheric water vapor is a bad? I didn't make that volcano happen. Are you virtue signaling here? 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 17 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I thought the VEI scale was based on tephra, which is currently under investigation? Correct me if I am wrong. I'm not super well versed on this stuff, just going by what I remember. I’m just going by published preliminary estimates. Regardless of the VEI scale the impacts on the state of the stratosphere and mesosphere are self evident. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Joshua is back to complaining when the rain stops for 24 hours. Jesse is doing his usual silly dramatization that everyone who wants a 70 degree day also wants to kill every single tree. And Andrew is cheering them on. All is right with the world. I am just hoping for 10 dry days in June. Normal is 19 dry days here. I set my expectations appropriately low this year. 1 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 24 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Global warming is, in fact, not a good thing, and nobody should wish for more of it. Well there are pros and cons to global warming. As there are with most things. If we had to choose between warming and cooling, the latter would probably be more problematic for humanity. Though I admit I would probably enjoy it. Thing is, it’s a 100% guarantee that much larger/more abrupt climate changes will affect humanity at some point, regardless of what we do. Either we learn to deal, or we go the way or the dinosaurs. It’s the sad, brutal truth. If we can’t survive the next glacial or hothouse climate (the glacial will likely come first, ironically) then we’re probably never getting off this planet. 5 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Wait... so citing scientific research on stratospheric water vapor is a bad? I didn't make that volcano happen. Are you virtue signaling here? I doubt you blew the volcano considering how it’s destroyed your spring thus far. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Well there are pros and cons to global warming. As there are with most things. If we had to choose between warming and cooling, the latter would probably be more problematic for humanity. Though I admit I would probably enjoy it. Thing is, it’s a 100% guarantee that much larger/more abrupt climate changes will affect humanity at some point, regardless of what we do. Either we learn to deal, or we go the way or the dinosaurs. Sad, brutal truth. Well said. And I agree... global cooling would probably be worse for humanity. Life has thrived in the warmer periods of the last 500 million years. And its much colder now than it's been for much of that time. Of course any significant change in either direction would be bad. 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Just now, Phil said: I doubt you blew the volcano considering how it’s destroyed your spring thus far. Not destroyed. But it has been pretty unusual. It will make me appreciate a climo spring a little more. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Looks like the ECMWF is going with the GEM idea. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Well said. And I agree... global cooling would probably be worse for humanity. Life has thrived in the warmer periods of the last 500 million years. And its much colder now than it's been for much of that time. Of course any significant change in either direction would be bad. Nature likes it warm and wet. Every spring I watch the biosphere awaken from its winter slumber and it’s just the most beautiful thing. It’s always the warmest, most stable part of the year here (August) that has the most wildlife activity. Insects and rodents especially, but everything else too. Huge contrast to the dead nights of winter, when the only noise emanating from the biosphere is the dull roar of the wind through the trees. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 71/41 day here. Mostly sunny with puffy cumulus clouds and scattered thundershowers over the cascades. Real stunner of a day. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: I always enjoy your photos. Thank you. That really made my day. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Fog is encroaching here. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 A rare totally sunny morning. 06Z GFS moved towards the ECMWF... so probably won't get lucky again next weekend. Looking at ECMWF details... this coming week looks pretty cloudy overall before storms arrive again later in the week. Low clouds are back tomorrow and then a solid deck of mid-level clouds on Tuesday... then low clouds again for much of Wednesday and a solid mid-level deck again on Thursday. ECMWF also shows some rain tomorrow and Wednesday for western WA. So this "break" won't be much of a break after today for those north of Portland. 3 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Yesterday actually had a -0.4 departure at PDX. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Doiinko said: Yesterday actually had a -0.4 departure at PDX. -2 departure at SLE -3 at eug. It’s hard to remember the average highs are now in the low 70s south of pdx. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 41 for a low this morning, sunny and 53 now. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 12Z GFS completely different than it's 00Z run for next weekend. Looks cold and wet. And going east won't be any better. 2 1 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Now this is a weekend morning I can stand behind! Perfection! And this Bass (bigger than appears in the pic) really makes me want to start fishing again. The amount of hours logged on this dock as a kid fishing was well…A lot!! Now back at home sitting on the quiet deck with the kids still asleep…Ahhhhhh…WAY better than dark wet and cold. PREFERENCES! 4 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Downside of this run is it isn’t as wet Thursday. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Now this is a weekend morning I can stand behind! Perfection! And this Bass (bigger than appears in the pic) really makes me want to start fishing again. The amount of hours logged on this dock as a kid fishing was well…A lot!! Now back at home sitting on the quiet deck with the kids still asleep…Ahhhhhh…WAY better than dark wet and cold. PREFERENCES! It’s a nice day. We can all agree on that. I’m not going to complain about a couple 70 degree days in late May. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Looks like we got down to 41F. Nice morning currently 62F. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 12z isn’t bad at all. Something for everyone. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Fog made it here but has burned off. Nice day. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 12Z GEFS still moves the trough out by Memorial Day. Actually a little better than it's 00Z run. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 41 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It’s a nice day. We can all agree on that. I’m not going to complain about a couple 70 degree days in late May. Today is pretty gorgeous. Yesterday was as well. Clear with a low of 44 this morning, and mostly sunny and up to 59 now. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Pretty nice looking Euro run 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 12Z ECMWF is ugly for the holiday weekend. Basically cold and wet all 3 days. Also Thursday and Friday... so 5 straight days. And the next 3 days are quite cloudy and cool as well... Wednesday afternoon might be the only time we get within 5 degrees of normal. Might be 9 or 10 days before we have another mostly sunny day. Not a good balance given the last 7 weeks of persistent rain. But that is what it shows. 1 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Have to wonder if PDX has a shot at cracking 75 for the first time this year today. Could be our best chance over the next week judging by model trends. Wednesday was looking like it might have a swing at even 80 a few days ago but that day has been trending cooler and cloudier. 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 12Z EPS and control run are a little better moving the trough east by Memorial Day. The control run is significantly better. There might still be a small chance it gets better by Monday. Control run... 00Z run for Memorial Day on top and new 12 run on the bottom. 3 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS and control run are a little better moving the trough east by Memorial Day. The control run is significantly better. There might still be a small chance it gets better by Monday. Control run... 00Z run for Memorial Day on top and new 12 run on the bottom. Will there be snow in Whistler, British Columbia? I remember the Winter Olympics had a snow shortage there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 71 in North Bend now. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Your moment of zen. 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Your moment of zen. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 70°F with hazy sunshine Corvallis 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Beautiful day. Port Gardner is packed with boats, sail boats, jet skis. Parks are packed of people. It's blue skies here, but certainly a high cloud deck coming in with filtered sunlight. There are now more clouds than sunshine even since just an hour ago. It cracked 60F and is now 62F. I will be curious if it gets warmer or not, or if the clouds will keep Everett's temps down. Have a super Sunday everyone! Was also checking on Bellingham. They appear to be all filtered sun with high clouds. Still makes for a nice day there. Currently 64F at the Bellingham waterfront. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 19 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Halo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 12z EPS is looking pretty good. The mean is in line with the operational for the troughing in the 5-8 day range 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Not going to have a 70-less May or break the record for lowest monthly high temp (67°F in 1962), but I’m not really throwing a fit as it is once again another gorgeous (and quite earned!) day. Tomorrow could be cloudy and drizzly all day due to a weak system drifting in aloft. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 22, 2022 Report Share Posted May 22, 2022 Splendid 18z run. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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