Jump to content

May Winter Continue 2022 PNW


The Blob

Recommended Posts

10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Global warming is, in fact, not a good thing, and nobody should wish for more of it.

Wait... so citing scientific research on stratospheric water vapor is a bad?    I didn't make that volcano happen.   Are you virtue signaling here?    ;)

  • Weenie 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I thought the VEI scale was based on tephra, which is currently under investigation? Correct me if I am wrong. I'm not super well versed on this stuff, just going by what I remember.

I’m just going by published preliminary estimates. Regardless of the VEI scale the impacts on the state of the stratosphere and mesosphere are self evident.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Joshua is back to complaining when the rain stops for 24 hours.    Jesse is doing his usual silly dramatization that everyone who wants a 70 degree day also wants to kill every single tree.  And Andrew is cheering them on.    

All is right with the world.    😍

I am just hoping for 10 dry days in June.  Normal is 19 dry days here.   I set my expectations appropriately low this year.

  • Like 1
  • Excited 1
  • Weenie 2

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Global warming is, in fact, not a good thing, and nobody should wish for more of it.

Well there are pros and cons to global warming. As there are with most things. If we had to choose between warming and cooling, the latter would probably be more problematic for humanity. Though I admit I would probably enjoy it. 😬 

Thing is, it’s a 100% guarantee that much larger/more abrupt climate changes will affect humanity at some point, regardless of what we do. Either we learn to deal, or we go the way or the dinosaurs.

It’s the sad, brutal truth. If we can’t survive the next glacial or hothouse climate (the glacial will likely come first, ironically) then we’re probably never getting off this planet.

 

  • Like 5
  • Popcorn 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wait... so citing scientific research on stratospheric water vapor is a bad?    I didn't make that volcano happen.   Are you virtue signaling here?    ;)

I doubt you blew the volcano considering how it’s destroyed your spring thus far. 😄

  • Popcorn 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Well there are pros and cons to global warming. As there are with most things. If we had to choose between warming and cooling, the latter would probably be more problematic for humanity. Though I admit I would probably enjoy it. 😬 

Thing is, it’s a 100% guarantee that much larger/more abrupt climate changes will affect humanity at some point, regardless of what we do. Either we learn to deal, or we go the way or the dinosaurs. Sad, brutal truth.

 

Well said.

And I agree... global cooling would probably be worse for humanity.    Life has thrived in the warmer periods of the last 500 million years.   And its much colder now than it's been for much of that time.    Of course any significant change in either direction would be bad.     

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 3

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Phil said:

I doubt you blew the volcano considering how it’s destroyed your spring thus far. 😄

Not destroyed.   But it has been pretty unusual.  It will make me appreciate a climo spring a little more. 👍

  • Weenie 3

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Well said.

And I agree... global cooling would probably be worse for humanity.    Life has thrived in the warmer periods of the last 500 million years.   And its much colder now than it's been for much of that time.    Of course any significant change in either direction would be bad.  

Nature likes it warm and wet. Every spring I watch the biosphere awaken from its winter slumber and it’s just the most beautiful thing.

It’s always the warmest, most stable part of the year here (August) that has the most wildlife activity. Insects and rodents especially, but everything else too. 

Huge contrast to the dead nights of winter, when the only noise emanating from the biosphere is the dull roar of the wind through the trees.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A rare totally sunny morning.     06Z GFS moved towards the ECMWF... so probably won't get lucky again next weekend.    Looking at ECMWF details... this coming week looks pretty cloudy overall before storms arrive again later in the week.    Low clouds are back tomorrow and then a solid deck of mid-level clouds on Tuesday... then low clouds again for much of Wednesday and a solid mid-level deck again on Thursday.      

ECMWF also shows some rain tomorrow and Wednesday for western WA.    So this "break" won't be much of a break after today for those north of Portland.     

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_6hr_inch-3350400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_6hr_inch-3523200.png

  • Like 3
  • Sick 1
  • Weenie 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Doiinko said:

Yesterday actually had a -0.4 departure at PDX.

-2 departure at SLE -3 at eug. It’s hard to remember the average highs are now in the low 70s south of pdx. 

  • Like 3

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

41 for a low this morning, sunny and 53 now. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12Z GFS completely different than it's 00Z run for next weekend.     Looks cold and wet.    And going east won't be any better.

gfs-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-3804000.png

  • Like 2
  • Rain 1
  • scream 1
  • Sick 1
  • Weenie 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Now this is a weekend morning I can stand behind! Perfection! And this Bass (bigger than appears in the pic) really makes me want to start fishing again. The amount of hours logged on this dock as a kid fishing was well…A lot!! Now back at home sitting on the quiet deck with the kids still asleep…Ahhhhhh…WAY better than dark wet and cold. PREFERENCES! 

C092C8C8-D8B2-4D51-A080-61FF4B93B921.jpeg

0AB86B14-5629-46DA-9624-2D9368A57967.jpeg

90636383-BF05-40A1-A760-A936FF6137E4.jpeg

  • Like 4
  • Weenie 1

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Downside of this run is it isn’t as wet Thursday.

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Now this is a weekend morning I can stand behind! Perfection! And this Bass (bigger than appears in the pic) really makes me want to start fishing again. The amount of hours logged on this dock as a kid fishing was well…A lot!! Now back at home sitting on the quiet deck with the kids still asleep…Ahhhhhh…WAY better than dark wet and cold. PREFERENCES! 

C092C8C8-D8B2-4D51-A080-61FF4B93B921.jpeg

0AB86B14-5629-46DA-9624-2D9368A57967.jpeg

90636383-BF05-40A1-A760-A936FF6137E4.jpeg

It’s a nice day. We can all agree on that. I’m not going to complain about a couple 70 degree days in late May. 

  • Like 4

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like we got down to 41F. Nice morning currently 62F.

  • Like 3

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z isn’t bad at all. Something for everyone.

  • Like 2
  • Sad 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

41 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It’s a nice day. We can all agree on that. I’m not going to complain about a couple 70 degree days in late May. 

Today is pretty gorgeous. Yesterday was as well.

Clear with a low of 44 this morning, and mostly sunny and up to 59 now.

  • Like 2

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12Z ECMWF is ugly for the holiday weekend.  Basically cold and wet all 3 days.    Also Thursday and Friday... so 5 straight days.    And the next 3 days are quite cloudy and cool as well... Wednesday afternoon might be the only time we get within 5 degrees of normal.     Might be 9 or 10 days before we have another mostly sunny day.   Not a good balance given the last 7 weeks of persistent rain.   But that is what it shows.    

  • scream 1
  • Sick 1
  • Weenie 2

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Have to wonder if PDX has a shot at cracking 75 for the first time this year today. Could be our best chance over the next week judging by model trends. Wednesday was looking like it might have a swing at even 80 a few days ago but that day has been trending cooler and cloudier.

  • Like 2
  • Popcorn 1

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12Z EPS and control run are a little better moving the trough east by Memorial Day.   The control run is significantly better.   There might still be a small chance it gets better by Monday.

Control run... 00Z run for Memorial Day on top and new 12 run on the bottom.  

 

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-3955200 (1).png

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-3955200.png

  • Like 3
  • scream 1
  • Weenie 3

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS and control run are a little better moving the trough east by Memorial Day.   The control run is significantly better.   There might still be a small chance it gets better by Monday.

Control run... 00Z run for Memorial Day on top and new 12 run on the bottom.  

 

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-3955200 (1).png

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-namer-z500_anom-3955200.png

Will there be snow in Whistler, British Columbia? I remember the Winter Olympics had a snow shortage there.

  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Beautiful day.  Port Gardner is packed with boats, sail boats, jet skis.  Parks are packed of people.  It's blue skies here, but certainly a high cloud deck coming in with filtered sunlight.  There are now more clouds than sunshine even since just an hour ago.  It cracked 60F and is now 62F.  I will be curious if it gets warmer or not, or if the clouds will keep Everett's temps down.

Have a super Sunday everyone!

Screen Shot 2022-05-22 at 2.35.25 PM.png

 

Was also checking on Bellingham.  They appear to be all filtered sun with high clouds.  Still makes for a nice day there.  Currently 64F at the Bellingham waterfront.

 

Screen Shot 2022-05-22 at 2.40.44 PM.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not going to have a 70-less May or break the record for lowest monthly high temp (67°F in 1962), but I’m not really throwing a fit as it is once again another gorgeous (and quite earned!) day. Tomorrow could be cloudy and drizzly all day due to a weak system drifting in aloft.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Splendid 18z run.

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...