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May Winter Continue 2022 PNW


The Blob

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12 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Me me me.. pick me! use this. 

lol.png

 

8 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

timnowdata.png.0f2ecf5baab30fb044c9303dfa4f1a5d.png

Tim looking up past climate info on Nowdata like

Y’all have me cracking up at work, good job haha :D

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

So we're arguing where is valley floors now. God D**n I'm totally floored by the conversations today. How's that? 

It keeps getting worse and worse. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

This is how I assume Tim descends Rattlesnake Ridge?

All the way from the top of the Ledge! 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Doiinko said:

That storm was really amazing, basically the perfect snowstorm. Foot of snow in one dumping, Thundersnow, and then cold and dry for the next week with the snow staying in the ground.

We really managed to make something out of nothing with that. The air mass itself was fairly borderline and then transitioned to a perfectly-capped inversion, but allowed for weak surface gradients. End result was the coldest run for a lot of metro spots since December 1998.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I wasn't living here at the time, but like many of our deeper outflow events, it seemed like that was another one where the easterlies dried things out closer to the river, and then amounts increased in the less wind-prone areas. PDX measured 7.3" with that but I know amounts really increased to the north and west in Clark County. I think my current location had around 12" that week, most of which fell on the 6th during that big deformation zone that stretch out to the coast.

So your area has had 3 1ft+ snowfalls in the past 8 years! I've not been as lucky but have still done pretty well compared to some places in the south/west metro area.

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21 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Me me me.. pick me! use this. 

lol.png

This is a perfect illustration.    No one is going to convince me differently about things I know intimately from living here for 2 decades.   It's so silly.   But I am more than happy to respond.    Maybe tomorrow we can argue about the weather on your specific street.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We really managed to make something out of nothing with that. The air mass itself was fairly borderline and then transitioned to a perfectly-capped inversion, but allowed for weak surface gradients. End result was the coldest run for a lot of metro spots since December 1998.

The 3 degrees at Hillsboro was amazing, coldest since 1972 there I think.

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This is a perfect illustration.    No one is going to convince me differently about things I know intimately from living here for 2 decades.   It's so silly.   But I am more than happy to respond.    Maybe tomorrow we can argue about the weather on your specific street.  😀

Why dont you just livestream it right now?? We know you arent working

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13 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

So your area has had 3 1ft+ snowfalls in the past 8 years! I've not been as lucky but have still done pretty well compared to some places in the south/west metro area.

Yeah, really has been a consistently good stretch for here since 2008, after an absolutely awful decade leading up to that. 2011-12 had a good amount of slop here and then 2008-09 was obviously huge. So we're at 7/14 winters that have at least cracked 10" here (08-09, 11-12, 13-14, 16-17, 17-18, 20-21, 21-22).

My area got fairly lucky in 2017-18 and was well placed for the most part in each event. Then we paid the price and got extremely unlucky in 2018-19 and finished with 2". Which was about as bad as anyone north of Red Bluff, CA. 

Edited by BLI snowman
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Just now, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, really has been a consistently good stretch for here since 2008, after an absolutely awful decade leading up to that. 2011-12 had a good amount of slop here and then 2008-09 was obviously huge. So we're at 7/14 winters that have at least cracked 10" here (08-09, 11-12, 13-14, 16-16, 17-18, 20-21, 21-22).

My area got fairly lucky in 2017-18 and was well placed for the most part in each event. Then we paid the price and got extremely unlucky in 2018-19 and finished with 2". Which was about as bad as anyone north of Red Bluff, CA. 

Wow, that's a lot of snow! In 2017/18 I didn't do that well, had about 5 inches, and in 2018/2019 I had about 4 inches (the storm on the 25th of Feb gave me like 2.5 to 3 inches). From reports in 2008/09, it looks like my location had 21-25 inches of snow. I hope I get lucky next winter!

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Good lord!!! Tim has broken out the "I've lived here 20 years" line twice already since I was last on just a couple hours ago?

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I was thinking about doing that!    

Do it. I'll personally give you my twitch.tv account so you can stream too! Twitch has a lot more followers and viewers than any other streaming platforms. Show your worth! :D

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Just had to explain to my roommate what the deal is on the forums. Now he wants a full on documentary on the preference wars :lol:

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Just had to explain to my roommate what the deal is on the forums. Now he wants a full on documentary on the preference wars :lol:

At least it should be pretty easy to figure that aspect of things out in fall/winter.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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I can picture Fred now, lounging out on his deck or balcony with his feet up, sipping a martini, and laughing out loud knowing he has other people to deal with the forum fun now! 
 

Oh and I like sun and warmth in the summer and cold and snow in the winter…in case anyone was still unsure. 

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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JUICY

gfs_apcpn24_nwus_17.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Just had to explain to my roommate what the deal is on the forums. Now he wants a full on documentary on the preference wars :lol:

This stuff is not even preference related.  

But I am pretty knowledgeable about our road and the weather in my backyard.    😃

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I can picture Fred now, lounging out on his deck or balcony with his feet up, sipping a martini, and laughing out loud knowing he has other people to deal with the forum fun now! 
 

Oh and I like sun and warmth in the summer and cold and snow in the winter…in case anyone was still unsure. 

No one is actually fighting... its pretty light-hearted.     At least I hope it is.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This stuff is not even preference related.  

But I am pretty knowledgeable about our road and the weather in my backyard.    😃

Ryan Reynolds Facepalm.gif

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This stuff is not even preference related.  

But I am pretty knowledgeable about our road and the weather in my backyard.    😃

I wish I can be this proficient. I don't even know the name of the street next block down. :(

How can i know weather a block down? 

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11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I can picture Fred now, lounging out on his deck or balcony with his feet up, sipping a martini, and laughing out loud knowing he has other people to deal with the forum fun now! 
 

Oh and I like sun and warmth in the summer and cold and snow in the winter…in case anyone was still unsure. 

We Have a wiener. 

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

No one is actually fighting... its pretty light-hearted.     At least I hope it is.  

Yeah I’m enjoying it! Not like we have some major weather event coming up or anything. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Just drove it... the valley floor is 1.8 miles from the end of our driveway.    This is the valley floor.   And a very flood prone location.   The Snoqualmie River backs up into this area when it floods.  

20220523_152149.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

No one is actually fighting... its pretty light-hearted.     At least I hope it is.  

It's all good playa. 

 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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41 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Wow, that's a lot of snow! In 2017/18 I didn't do that well, had about 5 inches, and in 2018/2019 I had about 4 inches (the storm on the 25th of Feb gave me like 2.5 to 3 inches). From reports in 2008/09, it looks like my location had 21-25 inches of snow. I hope I get lucky next winter!

We hit 35" in 2008-09 where I was living, in Brush Prairie, WA. 

I think we could ride our little streak out until the next Nino, but we'll see. Neutral ENSO can be hit/miss. You have your gems like 2013-14 and 2003-04, but you also have your turds like 2012-13. 

I think the last 14 years have at least re-established that Ninas (particularly weaker ones) are still generally the best for lowland snowfall. After the travesties of 1998-01 and slow torture of 2007-08. 

 

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On another note, I have some suspicions about the GFS in this pattern.

At D4/5 it’s cutting off a ULL in the SE US and dragging the tail of that NPAC trough more than the EPS mean.

The GFS could be right, as guidance has trended that way somewhat, but that’s also been the bias of the GFS all spring. And the last time this happened, the EPS spanked it.

GFS vs EPS mean at 108hrs:

E0A37014-416E-4C1F-B54B-94DB6579B768.gif

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3 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

YARN | You're quite mad, you know. | Seinfeld (1989) - S04E10 The Virgin |  Video clips by quotes | fa90f3dc | 紗

I know that I live really close to the valley floor.    You must be way up in the mountains farther... towards the pass.   😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

1.8 miles is 1.8 miles.    No matter how much you argue.    ;)

 

The average walking pace for an adult is between five and seven feet per second, depending on a number of variables. That would be about 22 to 31 minutes.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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