May Winter Continue 2022 PNW

[The Blob]

12 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

 

There was a 4.2 near Ridgecrest in California this morning. Near where the 7.1 happened in 2019.

[TacomaWaWx]

Gonna be quite a bit more rainfall by the end of the month. This spring has been pretty interesting to say the least. Should have back to back well below normal temp months…with snow in April and anomalously wet in May. Definitely a memorable one might be awhile before another spring like this happens. 

[TacomaWaWx]

May is running -3.6 right now. Pretty good shot at finishing atleast 3 degrees below normal after April finished -2.8. 
 April finished +0.43” in precip and May so far is +1.24”…might finish close to +2.5”. Normal May rainfall is 2.16”. 

[The Blob]

5 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Hopefully a supervolcano eruption soon. Get those hydroponics ready!!!

My lingonberries would do fine, I'd love to grow more arctic food anyways.

[Phil]

This is literally *the* textbook pattern for the GFS to completely and utterly screw up. I have a hunch we’re going to see some stoopid solutions from that model over the coming days.

If not, hats off.

[MossMan]

.29” so far on the day, 5.12” for the month. 
57 degrees and raining. 

[Phil]

If only this were real.  Geesh. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

You got doused in stratiform rain again.  

It's the most common type of West Coast rain.

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

If only this were real.  Geesh. 

East Coast chills out too.

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

If only this were real.  Geesh. 

And somehow it still shows generally dry weather here with highs in the 70s for most of next week.   

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

45 minutes ago, The Blob said:

There was a 4.2 near Ridgecrest in California this morning. Near where the 7.1 happened in 2019.

Turns out the footage shown on that tweet is from Nepal in 2015.  Though there was a strong earthquake in Peru almost a day ago.

 

[Phil]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

And somehow it still shows generally dry weather here with highs in the 70s for most of next week.   

All that bogus lift in the subtropics is something to behold.

Also slingshots a tropical system out of Central America at a million miles per hour and develops another one spontaneously off the SE US coast. Good god almighty.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not terrible. Wasn't expecting anything as good as the 12z. At this time of year we will take what we can get. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Beautiful. 

[smerfylicious]

Picked up 1/2" of rain today. Tomorrow should put me over 13" on the month. I should've expected this, but now there's the beginnings of moss growing on my roof, on the wind shielded side. SMH

[TigerWoodsLibido]

62F with the occasional few sprinkles.

50 mins til Stranger Things S4.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Everything is really growing now. 

[Skagit Weather]

57 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Picked up 1/2" of rain today. Tomorrow should put me over 13" on the month. I should've expected this, but now there's the beginnings of moss growing on my roof, on the wind shielded side. SMH

13" on the month? That's insane! I had no idea that area had gotten that much! Do you have any idea what you average there for May?

[smerfylicious]

16 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

13" on the month? That's insane! I had no idea that area had gotten that much! Do you have any idea what you average there for May?

Only records I can find historically are what I'm grabbing monthly. We're at roughly double what we got last month though.

[RentonHill]

 

[smerfylicious]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

 

I see how it is...the forums forgot me

[Cascadia_Wx]

71/54 day yesterday. Partly to mostly cloudy with some moderate rain at times and a rumble of thunder in the late afternoon. First thunder day of the month.

55 with light rain this morning after a low of 54

[TT-SEA]

New ECMWF weeklies... no surprise that the troughy signal persists through much of June.  

[TacomaWaWx]

Low of 50 this morning…picked up 0.12” since midnight and 3.56” so far this month. 

[The Swamp]

21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

New ECMWF weeklies... no surprise that the troughy signal persists through much of June.  

there will still be some pretty nice weather in there

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Balmy morning. 0.04” in the bucket since midnight. 

[Phil]

7 minutes ago, The Swamp said:

there will still be some pretty nice weather in there

Most of that warm signal in the longer range is spurious. I think it’s a product of terrain heating. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks pretty zonal through the first half

of July. Not bad. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Balmy morning. 0.04” in the bucket since midnight. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

It is 49 here. 42 is our average low for the date. Average high is 67, we should be below that today. 

[T-Town]

29 minutes ago, Phil said:

Most of that warm signal in the longer range is spurious. I think it’s a product of terrain heating. 

Apologies if this belongs in the preferences thread, but I do love me some spurious weather. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

More light rain has developed in the past hour. Up to 0.07" on the day. 9.37" on the month, 1.14" away from hitting the monthly record from 1960. We will be on record watch all weekend. As the main focus of the rain will be slightly south of us tomorrow, any bit we get today will help ensure victory later in the weekend. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We are now officially over 80" on the water year. Only the 3rd time we have managed that feat in the past 11 years. 

[TacomaWaWx]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We are now officially over 80" on the water year. Only the 3rd time we have managed that feat in the past 11 years. 

I really thought we were in for a repeat of last spring with how March played out…but it’s been a pretty amazing run since early April. Oregon really needed this and things should continue to get better in early June. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

More light rain has developed in the past hour. Up to 0.07" on the day. 9.37" on the month, 1.14" away from hitting the monthly record from 1960. We will be on record watch all weekend. As the main focus of the rain will be slightly south of us tomorrow, any bit we get today will help ensure victory later in the weekend. 

I am all about rainfall records... hope you make it!

May 1960 was very wet here as well of course.   There was only 4 days with no measurable rainfall that month at Snoqualmie Falls and it was the 7th wettest May on record going back to 1898.   We are going to end up with 5 dry days this month.  

But 1960 flipped on a dime at the start of June.   Only 5 days with measurable rain in June and 0 days in July.   A rare 0.00 month at Snoqualmie Falls.    In general, very persistent rain in April and May sometimes lingers into June but is usually a good sign for the JJA period.   And the opposite is true as well in this area.  Long dry periods in April and May usually leads to more rain in the JJA period.   I assume its just the natural ebb and flow of the patterns.  

[Kayla]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am all about rainfall records... hope you make it!

May 1960 was very wet here as well of course.   There was only 4 days with no measurable rainfall that month at Snoqualmie Falls and it was the 7th wettest May on record going back to 1898.   We are going to end up with 5 dry days this month.  

But 1960 flipped on a dime at the start of June.   Only 5 days with measurable rain in June and 0 days in July.   A rare 0.00 month at Snoqualmie Falls.    In general, very persistent rain in April and May sometimes lingers into June but is usually a good sign for the JJA period.   And the opposite is true as well in this area.  Long dry periods in April and May usually leads to more rain in the JJA period.   I assume its just the natural ebb and flow of the patterns.  

Interestingly enough, May 1960 was pretty dry here. Really no correlation of a wet May and how the summer turns out in Bozeman. Probably because May/June are normally pretty wet here.

We are going to end up with 25 rain days here this month and will likely end up with a top 5 wettest May on record.

[Phil]

29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am all about rainfall records... hope you make it!

May 1960 was very wet here as well of course.   There was only 4 days with no measurable rainfall that month at Snoqualmie Falls and it was the 7th wettest May on record going back to 1898.   We are going to end up with 5 dry days this month.  

But 1960 flipped on a dime at the start of June.   Only 5 days with measurable rain in June and 0 days in July.   A rare 0.00 month at Snoqualmie Falls.    In general, very persistent rain in April and May sometimes lingers into June but is usually a good sign for the JJA period.   And the opposite is true as well in this area.  Long dry periods in April and May usually leads to more rain in the JJA period.   I assume its just the natural ebb and flow of the patterns.  

1964 says hi.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

1964 says hi.

Not so much.

There was 19 days without measurable rain here in May of 1964.   That month had way more dry days than this year.   Normal is 16 days with rain and May 1964 only had 12.    In fact... that month ended up significantly drier than normal out here.   

[TT-SEA]

May of 1983 and 1993 are also good examples.   There were long stretches of warm and dry weather in both those months out here.   I imagine it seemed like summer had really started.     May 1983 peaked at 98 degrees and May 1993 peaked at 87 degrees twice.   We can't even manage mid-70s this month.   The rainy pattern started up in late May in 1993 but not until the second week of June in 1983.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

I really thought we were in for a repeat of last spring with how March played out…but it’s been a pretty amazing run since early April. Oregon really needed this and things should continue to get better in early June. 

Seemed like we were going in a very bad direction until things flipped at the last minute.