May Winter Continue 2022 PNW

[jcmcgaffey]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Raining in Seattle this morning too...

 

It is an odd small circular stationary shower that has been just sitting over the northern part of Seattle and has dropped almost 1/4” of rain this morning there.

edit: I see now it has turned into a more elongated convergence.  For an hour or two this morning it was just a small stationary circle. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Muddy dogs!

[Phishy Wx]

14 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Ozark completed.   Need some more suggestions.   

Russian Doll

Barry

[Omegaraptor]

What a beautiful morning here in Corvallis.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12z appears to be fairly MOIST.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The weekend continues to trend wetter.

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The weekend continues to trend wetter.

GFS shows the rain lifting north on Sunday morning... ends up being a pretty nice afternoon from Olympia southward.    And the entire pattern looks less amplified and cold next week compared to the runs yesterday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Really nice day, we had a light shower this morning, dropped 0.01", dry streak is over. 3 of the first 10 days of the month have been completely dry though, including yesterday. Not as bad as some say. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

GFS shows the rain lifting north on Sunday morning... ends up being a pretty nice afternoon from Olympia southward.    And the entire pattern looks less amplified and cold next week compared to the runs yesterday.

Just looking at trends for the weekend. Trending wetter. Who knows what will happen next week, the Lord could come again for all I know. 

[ShawniganLake]

3 hours ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Plenty of us actually do. 

I was obviously being a little over the top.  I know some weather enthusiasts are enjoying this. But apart from those here on the forum I haven’t met one in the real world.  The past couple days haven’t been too bad here actually. Apart from some unfortunate timing on Mother’s Day when we got pounded by a downpour and hail storm at the park and had to carry some crying little humans back to the car. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

I was obviously being a little over the top.  I know some weather enthusiasts are enjoying this. But apart from those here on the forum I haven’t met one in the real world.  The past couple days haven’t been too bad here actually. Apart from some unfortunate timing on Mother’s Day when we got pounded by a downpour and hail storm at the park and had to carry some crying little humans back to the car. 

Does look like next week may be fairly dry and climo.

[RentonHill]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just looking at trends for the weekend. Trending wetter. Who knows what will happen next week, the Lord could come again for all I know. 

watch out Mary!!!

[Omegaraptor]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just looking at trends for the weekend. Trending wetter. Who knows what will happen next week, the Lord could come again for all I know. 

I’m not getting my hopes up yet but next week has trended much less troughy over the last few runs. Guess this pattern can’t last forever.

[bainbridgekid]

On 5/9/2022 at 6:18 AM, AlTahoe said:

23F and windy this morning with 2.5" of snow on the ground. very impressive cold for May. 

528 thicknesses in Central California on May 10th is pretty nuts.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I’m not getting my hopes up yet but next week has trended much less troughy over the last few runs. Guess this pattern can’t last forever.

Exactly how I am looking at it right now... need to see several days of consistency which does not exist right now.     Everything trends wetter and colder and I will assume that will continue until I see something different.    But you are right... it has to change at some point.    We have definitely paid our dues in terms of persistent rain over the last 6 weeks.   That almost always leads to something much better regardless of the year.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I’m not getting my hopes up yet but next week has trended much less troughy over the last few runs. Guess this pattern can’t last forever.

It makes sense. A break in the pattern before troughing a rain returns towards the end of the month. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Exactly how I am looking at it right now... need to see several days of consistency which does not exist right now.     Everything trends wetter and colder and I will assume that will continue until I see something different.    But you are right... it has to change at some point.    We have definitely paid our dues in terms of persistent rain over the last 6 weeks.   That almost always leads to something much better regardless of the year.

If we were paying dues we would have paid back a nickel on a billion dollar debt. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Still have yet to hit 70 since early April here. We’ve only hit +60 6 times since then. We will see about our first +80 high. Over the last decade it’s been mid April-mid May getting our first +80…not looking likely this year. In 2010, 2011 and 2012 it took until early July to finally hit 80. I suspect we won’t have to wait until July but will probably be the latest first +80 in awhile this year. 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

If we were paying dues we would have paid back a nickel on a billion dollar debt. 

Each year stands on its own... and we have definitely paid our dues in terms of persistent rain this spring.      The last decade was one of the wettest in history up here.   SEA is about 3 feet above normal for rainfall since 2014.    It would be nice to balance that out a little too!  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Each year stands on its own... and we have definitely paid our dues in terms of persistent rain this spring.      The last decade was one of the wettest in history up here.   SEA is about 3 feet above normal for rainfall since 2014.    It would be nice to balance that out a little too!  

I hear new real estate is opening up in the Lake Mead area. 

Edited May 10, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[AlTahoe]

28 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

528 thicknesses in Central California on May 10th is pretty nuts.

Can confirm. It is dumping snow again for the 3rd day in a row and it is 30F outside with everything still frozen solid.

Sunday high was 38F, yesterday was 33F and today's forecast is for 33F. Pretty good cold run for May! 

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

36 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I’m not getting my hopes up yet but next week has trended much less troughy over the last few runs. Guess this pattern can’t last forever.

It will be time for a new pattern to complain about soon 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I hear new real estate is opening up in the Lake Mead area. 

Yeah... it would be nice if nature switched it up a bit and stopped focusing the wet anomalies on western WA and spent some time working on the SW.     Might need an Nino for that to happen... which would be tragic for some up here but we need to share the wealth.    

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Rain returns just in time for my daughters 5th birthday. I do not believe she has ever had rain on her birthday. Interestingly I am going to be turning 38 this year and I do not recall it ever raining on my birthday either. 

Edited May 10, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[RentonHill]

22 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Still have yet to hit 70 since early April here. We’ve only hit +60 6 times since then. We will see about our first +80 high. Over the last decade it’s been mid April-mid May getting our first +80…not looking likely this year. In 2010, 2011 and 2012 it took until early July to finally hit 80. I suspect we won’t have to wait until July but will probably be the latest first +80 in awhile this year. 

This seems darn near unbelievable. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Next week still looking pretty troughy on the GEFS

[The Blob]

This will be some of you guys once it stops being cold

[Cascadia_Wx]

Troughing isn’t as extreme as this week obviously, but that’s a pretty high bar for mid May.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, The Blob said:

This will be some of you guys once it stops being cold

Last summer was about 35 degrees hotter than that. Killed a bunch of people.

[Skagit Weather]

32 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Still have yet to hit 70 since early April here. We’ve only hit +60 6 times since then. We will see about our first +80 high. Over the last decade it’s been mid April-mid May getting our first +80…not looking likely this year. In 2010, 2011 and 2012 it took until early July to finally hit 80. I suspect we won’t have to wait until July but will probably be the latest first +80 in awhile this year. 

2011 was particularly cold up here. I didn't hit 80F until September 23, 2011 and that was my only day the entire summer. That was also the summer Scott Sistek started his summer minutes counter for Seattle (although he's now filled in the data for previous years as well).

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Last summer was about 35 degrees hotter than that. Killed a bunch of people.

Don't worry, because 75% of people on this forum live within 30 minutes of Sea Tac, they will continue to discount our lived experience of last summer. 

[RentonHill]

8 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

2011 was particularly cold up here. I didn't hit 80F until September 23, 2011 and that was my only day the entire summer. That was also the summer Scott Sistek started his summer minutes counter for Seattle (although he's now filled in the data for previous years as well).

Wow June 2021. Also 2001 total. Super interesting. 

[Skagit Weather]

9 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Wow June 2021. Also 2001 total. Super interesting. 

Yeah, June 2021 was crazy. More than all of 2019 or almost 2011/2012 combined.

Looks like 2001 wasn't particularly cold in any single month but was consistently cooler than normal (summer had average highs at SEA 3F below average compared to about 1F below average for 2010-2012) and only had one "heat wave" the entire summer in mid August.

[TacomaWaWx]

53 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

This seems darn near unbelievable. 

Yeah, every year since 2012 has managed to hit 80 by mid May. I personally think we will finally get into the 80s sometime next month. Just don’t really see it happening this month but we will see still 3 weeks left. 

[The Blob]

Honestly I'm not in a rush for summer. I'm enjoying the cool weather. 

[Meatyorologist]

It’s May 10th. We all know how it is out here. Summer will come, probably with a vengeance. Not sure why there’s such a rush.

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

It’s May 10th. We all know how it is out here. Summer will come, probably with a vengeance. Not sure why there’s such a rush.

I'm ready for normal spring weather at this point. I dont want summer yet. Although there are some legit concerns around planting progress in the midwest...they need dry weather asap. 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It’s May 10th. We all know how it is out here. Summer will come, probably with a vengeance. Not sure why there’s such a rush.

It would be nice for winter to end at least.    Something a little closer to normal.

[TT-SEA]

That massive blocking high west of Alaska has been trending farther to the north and west next week on the last few runs of the ECMWF.   Get that beast out of the picture and at least the constant parade of cold troughs dropping straight down from the north will slow down.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

A lot of transplants here who do not realize this is normal spring weather.