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May Winter Continue 2022 PNW


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2 hours ago, Kayla said:

Very heavy rain mixing with snow here this morning. Already 0.65" on the day. Currently 35F.

Starting to think we might actually kick most of this Northwest drought (barring southern OR) by mid month with SWE snowpack in the region sitting at average to well above average now with a whole lot more moisture to come over the next ~10 days. 

 

 

Saw it is supposed to be 70 there Thursday. Bet that'll feel amazing after the Spring you've had.

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

2021-22: 17.75"

-12/24: 0.5"

-12/26: 8.5"

-12/27: 1.5"

-12/29-30: 4"

-1/2: 2"

-1/5: 0.5"

-2/22: 0.25"

-2/24: 0.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

2020-21: 14.5”

 

 

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51 in Tacoma after a low of 47. 51 here on the island as well and cloudy. It’s a little chilly but I think I’ll still go out and kayak anyways later today. 

F01F19F0-E1E0-4C9D-B069-5167DF064B2D.jpeg

8DE9BB8D-B2D2-4B8D-8936-B55EE4BDDE47.jpeg

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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58 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

just a bit different. I think GFS needs to sit down and read a nice book image.png.af68e944ed404655fc5da6e1c4a11d94.pngimage.thumb.png.18ad29e8fb1396c13ed21db1b9dffeeb.png

To be fair... the 12Z ECMWF is wildly different than its 00Z run for Thursday night and Friday morning as well.    I think part of the issue is just the volatility of the pattern.   

New 12Z run on top... and 00Z run on the bottom.     Huge difference for the ECMWF within 3 days.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_1hr_inch-1827600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_1hr_inch-1827600 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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38 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Saw it is supposed to be 70 there Thursday. Bet that'll feel amazing after the Spring you've had.

Yes, can’t wait! After today’s soaking the vegetation should really start popping these next couple of warm days. I’m really looking forward to getting some yard work done and getting the garden prepped before the next push of moisture moves in over the weekend.

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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  • Longtimer
8 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

image.thumb.png.1b0796456438b44ddca0e55fad57a888.png

Moist 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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12 minutes ago, Phil said:

 

With the exception of March, this spring has been a throwback to 2008-2012. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

No summer in sight!!

Depends where you live. 😒

I think I’m gonna get death-ridged.

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4 minutes ago, weatherfan2012 said:

Larry Cosgrove is still somehow convince that we go weak el nino by late summer.we will see

I’ll eat a bug and post the video here if that happens.

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Depends where you live. 😒

I think I’m gonna get death-ridged.

Can’t have troughs without ridges.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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This might be the source of the model instability. Coherent CCKW/MJO crossing the Pacific.

That subsidence over the dateline/WPAC returns quickly afterwards, though. Haven’t seen this type of look since 2011.

C1805554-1A8A-493F-8312-4D7D2D90D085.png

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23 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Some steady rain here the past hour or so.  29 days with measurable rain since the beginning of April at Shawnigan Lake. 

About the same here.   

Using 2011 as a guide... there was only 5 dry days in April that year then 15 dry days in May and 20 dry days in June.    Using that benchmark we should start seeing some improvement soon.    At least it might stop raining almost every day.  

Going beyond June... there was 26 dry days in July, 29 in August, and 25 in September in 2011.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Still socked in with low clouds…53 in Tacoma. Cloud deck seems to be thinning a bit…but there’s still high cloud cover too so filtered sunshine at best. Decently chilly day for early May. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

About the same here.   

Using 2011 as a guide... there was only 5 dry days in April that year then 15 dry days in May and 20 dry days in June.    Using that benchmark we should start seeing some improvement soon.    At least it might stop raining almost every day.  

Going beyond June... there was 26 dry days in July, 29 in August, and 25 in September in 2011.    

2011-12 was a pretty wet water year here. January and March being the two wettest months. Snowy too. 

September 2011 was very mild. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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We had 25 days with measurable rainfall in April. Quite the contrast to the last couple years with long dry spells. I’ll have to look when I get home but we might’ve had more precip days this April than 2021 and 2020 combined. 

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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  • Longtimer

Dribbles and 49 currently. 
.09” so far on the day. 

 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Dribbles and 49 currently. 
.09” so far on the day. 

 

We had drizzle and fog this morning... but the cloud deck lifted and drizzle stopped around 10 a.m.     Its been partly sunny at times since and the deck is dry.    Currently 55 in North Bend.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer
10 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Sunday looking remarkably chilly in southern Oregon. Could see some daily records fall. The frats have a trip to Shasta Lake this weekend… Sunday might not break out of the 50s there.

Hopefully all the kids make it back alive this year. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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My wife just picked the last of the tulips.  They can bloom a long time when the weather stays cool.

20220503_142735.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

About the same here.   

Using 2011 as a guide... there was only 5 dry days in April that year then 15 dry days in May and 20 dry days in June.    Using that benchmark we should start seeing some improvement soon.    At least it might stop raining almost every day.  

Going beyond June... there was 26 dry days in July, 29 in August, and 25 in September in 2011.    

Feels like we are about to turn the corner after early next week.  Perhaps wishful thinking.  Muddy tire tracks behind the lawn mower every day gets  old. 

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34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My wife just picked the last of the tulips.  They can bloom a long time when the weather stays cool.

20220503_142735.jpg

That’s some nice masonry.

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  • Longtimer

I think Tim took over my work computer! It keeps flashing “Humid” 🤣

7992C730-0E30-4F87-994D-B0FFD0126675.jpeg

A2994EC8-E91A-49E8-A0A4-00F30EA79860.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer

Topped out at 53 today. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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2 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

Sunday looking remarkably chilly in southern Oregon. Could see some daily records fall. The frats have a trip to Shasta Lake this weekend… Sunday might not break out of the 50s there.

Which frat are you in? I'm a phi psi alum.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Super Niña coming?

 

Never had a Super La Nina before, this might enhance the Southern Plains Cockroach Death Ridge.

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Never day Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Super Niña coming?

 

The summer of 1975 was not all doom and gloom either.    SEA hit 80 for the first time on May 9th.     May, June and July of 1975 were all drier than normal at SEA.   It was 89 degrees at SEA on the 4th of July... and July even finished slightly warmer than normal.    

There was a very wet period during the second half of August... but summer came back in September.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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36 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The summer of 1975 was not all doom and gloom either.    SEA hit 80 for the first time on May 9th.     May, June and July of 1975 were all drier than normal at SEA.   It was 89 degrees at SEA on the 4th of July... and July even finished slightly warmer than normal.    

There was a very wet period during the second half of August... but summer came back in September.   

June 1955 was remarkable here. Not a single 70+ low. Basically unheard of now. Of course July and August turned nasty, but at least there was variability.

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  • Longtimer

I've been pimping the 1955 analog for a while now...

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Having taco soup for dinner on this cold damp winter night. 

C2940171-095C-44EA-91E1-4A581C38A304.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Just now, MossMan said:

Having taco soup for dinner on this cold damp winter night. 

C2940171-095C-44EA-91E1-4A581C38A304.jpeg

How dare you post that while I’m low carbing. 😡

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