June 2022 Observations and Discussion

[Clinton]

6 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Another swing and a miss forecast last night. Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued with a high probability of rain, wind, and hail. Not one drop. It is really hard to miss on a forecast this badly. 

You may have another chance tonight with the upgrade to a b enhanced risk near your place.

[westMJim]

Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 71/56 there was no rain fall and 39% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here was 55 and there has been 0.20” of rain fall as of 10AM. For today the average H/L is 77/56 the record high was 95 set in 1925 and the record low is 36 is 1945. Last year the H/L was 87/67.

 

[hawkstwelve]

06z GFS was showing a similar pattern that Phil was discussing setting up around mid-month with a fairly large ridge setting up over the center/SE CONUS leading to some awfully warm temperatures for many of us. 

After the chillier than normal period leading up to this, might be nice to have some more summer-like temperatures set in for a bit. 

[CentralNebWeather]

2 hours ago, Clinton said:

You may have another chance tonight with the upgrade to a b enhanced risk near your place.

We will need all we can get this week, as we still are in drought. The upcoming pattern later in June looks like a massive ridge, which might spell a hot and dry pattern. That would be a disaster scenario. We just can’t afford to miss when predictions are 80% or higher. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said:

06z GFS was showing a similar pattern that Phil was discussing setting up around mid-month with a fairly large ridge setting up over the center/SE CONUS leading to some awfully warm temperatures for many of us. 

After the chillier than normal period leading up to this, might be nice to have some more summer-like temperatures set in for a bit. 

Yeah MJO thru p8/1/2 under in situ low AAM/-ENSO background state is one of the strongest warm signals possible in mid/late June. Reminds me of 2012 a bit.

Duration is debatable, but tropical forcing seems to get stuck in that p1/p2 sector on the EPS, so could last a few weeks at least.

[CentralNebWeather]

Rainfall from yesterday. My area was Missed in all directions. Hopefully tonight is different. 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

Hopefully this one actually delivers tonight. 

 

[westMJim]

While it is on a ski hill it none the less is a snow patch and it is still there on June 5th 

https://www.mtu.edu/webcams/ski-hill/

[Niko]

Friday nite was definitely a chilly one. Lows dipped down to 44F here in Macomb. Even upper 40s in Metro Detroit. No records were broken though.

[CentralNebWeather]

 

 

Getting rocked in Central Nebraska. No hail here, though many reports NW of me. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Radar estimate of 1.25” from the storms this evening. Very welcome for sure. Had been dry here for over a week. 

[Phil]

21 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

 

 

Getting rocked in Central Nebraska. No hail here, though many reports NW of me. 

So it actually does rain there?  

[CentralNebWeather]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

So it actually does rain there?  

Most years yes. From October to early May was the driest stretch in over 100 years. The last month has been much better. Corn and soybeans should really get going now. 

[Hawkeye]

We are getting a nice, gentle soaker tonight.  A couple of the little, bubbly, heavier showers have produced some thunder, so I have officially received my first thunderstorm since, I think, mid April.

[hawkstwelve]

Among the more Seattle-like days we've had since we've moved here with cloudy skies all day accompanied by the occasional drizzle/sprinkle and only topping out at 67. 

12z Euro only got up to the mid 70s for FSD over the next 10 days with continued troughiness. Meanwhile the 18z GFS was a little more transient with the central/SE CONUS ridge in the LR. 

Here's the 12z Euro showing a decent amount of precip over the next 10 days for 75% of the CONUS. Poor four corners/SW area doesn't look to be improving with their drought, unfortunately.

[westMJim]

Here is a summery of meteorological spring 2022 for Grand Rapids. The mean temperature was 47.1 that is a departure from average of -0.4 degrees. The average H/L was 56.2/38. The high for the spring season was 87 on May 11,12 and 13. The low was 12 on March 12. There were 0 days of 90 or better. There were 4 days of highs of 32 or less. On 35 nights the low fell to 32 or less. There was 12.76” of rain and melted snow. That is a departure of +2.38” There was 6.4” of snow fall and that is -3.2” below average. For the season there was a total of 71.0” and that is -6.6” below average. In the spring season there were 21 days of a trace of snow fall and on 2 days 1” or more fell. The most on the ground was just 1” on March 11,13 and 13. There was just 35% of possible sunshine.

[Clinton]

I'm catching the northern edge of a storm complex.  Rainfall amounts have been light around a quarter of an inch.  Heavier rains to my south where they have had a lot of rain. In the last week.

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 71/55. There was a reported 0.03” of rain fall and just 12% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here at my house was 60 and at the current time with cloudy skies it is 61. For today the average H/L is 77/56 the record high of 95 was set in 1925 the record low of 37 was set in 1958. Last year the H/L was 89/69.

 

[Tom]

7 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

 

IMG_0602.MOV 56.99 MB · 2 downloads  

 

Getting rocked in Central Nebraska. No hail here, though many reports NW of me. 

I'm thrilled to see you got nailed last night...your patience was reward kindly from nature! Look for more rounds this week as a "Ring of Fire" pattern settles in along with the NW Flow.  I hope to cash in one of these days on a good storm.

 

Meanwhile, the GFS/GGEM were showing the blazing Heat pushing N & E but the blocking is saying "nasso fast"...I will say, that I'll welcome more days in the 80's and a more seasonal pattern next week.  Hope it happens b/c after this chilly week around here my body will be yearning for warmer days.

 

[Hawkeye]

I received a real nice 1.48" overnight and this morning.  Many locations around Cedar Rapids got at least that much.

[bud2380]

I received 1.47” from last nights storms. 

[Jayhawker85]

Received .65 last night from the loud boomers just before bed. Hopefully we can crank out a couple more inches before the heat settles in this weekend 

[Andie]

High of 95 today.  
Friday will bring 100* and thunderstorms!  
That will be just awful.  Potential for severe weather.  
Swell.  🫤

[Iceresistance]

21 minutes ago, Andie said:

High of 95 today.  
Friday will bring 100* and thunderstorms!  
That will be just awful.  Potential for severe weather.  
Swell.  🫤

My area (I’m currently in Dallas, TX) is expecting more severe storms later this week. 

[westMJim]

There has been some light rain here but not much. So far just 0.03" of rain has fallen. And the temperature here is now at 68 and with a DP of 58 it feels rather nice out.

[CentralNebWeather]

I took a drive out in the country this morning after last night’s storms. I finished with 1.25” at my house on the NE side of town. 3 miles north had 2.0” and 6 miles north had 3.0”. There is standing water in fields at that location. Multiple chances this week should be good for most, but a few places in our county of Phelps are water logged. Wouldn’t have typed that one month ago. 

[CentralNebWeather]

 

[CentralNebWeather]

3rd straight night under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Very active pattern for sure. 

 

[Clinton]

Spring stats for KC.

Spring (March-May) 2022 climate stats: Temps were 0.4° above normal which was the 61st warmest on the 134-year record. 15.95" of precip fell, which was 4.22" above normal making it the 13th wettest. 4.3" of snow fell which was 2.3" above normal and the 50th snowiest.

[Andie]

9 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

My area (I’m currently in Dallas, TX) is expecting more severe storms later this week. 

They should be doozies.  Look at these numbers. Hot and humid.  
We hit high 90’s today.
Currently 91 at 8:15 central time.  . 
Its freakin’ early June.  
 

 

[Phil]

The death ridge is coming.

[Andie]

Mañana amigos!!  Vaca santos !!

[Tom]

7 hours ago, Andie said:

Mañana amigos!!  Vaca santos !!

My parents are going to TORCH starting this Friday...Record Heat on the way in the SW..."Southwest Sizzle"

[Tom]

10 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said:

3rd straight night under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Very active pattern for sure. 

 

Later tonight and yet again Wed nigh into Thu has your region in the Zone...0z Euro/GFS pretty much in agreement...Let it Rain...I had a good feeling that this blocking pattern would produce...glad its delivering in the heartland where we grow our food.

 

[Tom]

The JMA suggests the MJO stalls in Phase 1...I believe it, it has been the most consistent and one of the best LR models wrt to the MJO...

 

Here is the TEMP composite for June...I'd be tickled with excitement if TX ends up cooler than what the modeling is showing.  In fact, the CFSv2 is showing the Monsoon firing up in W TX and 4 corners later next week.  Beautiful.

 

 

 

Let's fire up the Monsoon this year Mother Nature...keep the goodness coming...my gut feeling is we'll be seeing some tremendous Haboob's this year out in W TX and the SW.  A banner Monsoon season in the works.  Last year was great for AZ, in fact, our town of Fountain Hills recorded a little over 12" of rain!  Let the good times...roll??? 

 

 

 

[westMJim]

Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 75/59.Just 13% of sunshine was reported.  At the airport only 0.01" of rain fall was reported. The overnight low so far both at GRR and here at my house was 60 and that is the current temperature here as well. At the airport 0.05" of rain fell and here in my yard only 0.04" fell. For today the average H/L is 77/56. The record high of 94 was set in 2011 and the record low of 38 was set in 1958. Last year the H/L was 80/68.

[Madtown]

Checking in to see if summer is gonna show up up here anytime

[CentralNebWeather]

Looks like my area may get rocked again this evening. What a pattern. Several inches of rain are forecasted. 
 

 

[Andie]

4 hours ago, Tom said:

My parents are going to TORCH starting this Friday...Record Heat on the way in the SW..."Southwest Sizzle"

This is unusual for early June.  I’m hoping it gets this over with itself and we stay in the 90’s but I AM an optimist!  
Yes!  We’re all upset with this.  Lifelong natives are like, “What the hell !!!???”

[Timmy Supercell]

It's been pretty wet over the last 12+ hours. Airport has picked up around 2/3rds inch of rainfall since 9pm last night, and squeezed out a brief thunder out of it. Just stopped raining and overcast now. 70 degrees. 

I was able to see lightning last night but wasn't nearly as frequent as one a couple weeks ago. 

[Timmy Supercell]

Put a section below my thunders on the signature that concerns severe weather, watches and warnings. Pretty low on everything there at the moment but I will add something to that as more events unfold. 

Interestingly my county has been in 2 Tornado Watches but 0 Severe T'storm Watches or Warnings. It sucks to be between 2 NWS offices. There have been several Tornado/Severe Warned storms in Jackson's CWA, but very close to none of that in Charleston's CWA.. (They issue forecasts/alerts for Boyd). 

[Jayhawker85]

Gary or as everyone knows on here Mr. LRC has officially announced his retirement today. He will be missed on the television screen!

[OKwx2k4]

18 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said:

Gary or as everyone knows on here Mr. LRC has officially announced his retirement today. He will be missed on the television screen!

Wpw. That guy has contributed so much to the we way we all look at (and argue about) weather, not just in his area but through discussion, the central US.

[CentralNebWeather]

Will I get 4 nights in a row of a Severe Thunderstorm Watch?  I bet we do. 

 

[tStacsh]

This summer reminds me of 2009 here in Michigan.  Terrible summer.  Hopefully it gets warmer soon.   

[Hawkeye]

This morning's Euro has 100º into southeast Iowa for a few days next week.  Of course, it's bone dry, too.  Every surge of warmth this spring has come with a capped atmosphere and no rain, even with the frontal passage.

I sure am glad we just got a 1.50" soaker.

[Clinton]

2 hours ago, Jayhawker85 said:

Gary or as everyone knows on here Mr. LRC has officially announced his retirement today. He will be missed on the television screen!

Sad to hear it but not surprised he's been taking alot of time off.  I'm going to miss hearing "It's Friday night in the big town."

[CentralNebWeather]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

Sad to hear it but not surprised he's been taking alot of time off.  I'm going to miss hearing "It's Friday night in the big town."

I might be thinking of someone else in the KC area, but didn’t Gary have cancer years ago?  @Clintoni thought you might know the answer. 

[Clinton]

1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said:

I might be thinking of someone else in the KC area, but didn’t Gary have cancer years ago?  @Clintoni thought you might know the answer. 

Yes he did and as far as I know he is cancer free.  I hope it hasn't came back.

[Jayhawker85]

18 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Yes he did and as far as I know he is cancer free.  I hope it hasn't came back.

Yes he will be missed. He said he’s been cancer free since 2000. I guess he is going to focus and take his LRC tool on a global scale which is why is he leaving the station.
 

Why not if it’s going to make him more money!