It sort of does, actually. Solid marine push as it treks north.
At least the CMC solution is physically possible. I’ll cut off my d**k if the GFS solution verifies.
Re: eclipse. -NAO/Archambault pattern to open April suggests cyclogenesis in NE US in the days leading up to the eclipse. That signal is pretty strong.
Which suggests that, by eclipse day, confluence will be sliding off eastern Canada and high pressure will be building into OH Valley if not already present. So I like odds for clear skies from OH/IN into NY.
Plains/Central US more vulnerable to WAA/clouds ahead of the next storm system by that point.
The weekly drought map shows no dramatic changes. But more and more, little by little, the upper regions of our biggest rivers are showing very dry or some drought. The Mississippi, Snake, Missouri, Colorado, and Rio Grande are all, at least, very dry. Your'e right Andie. Not looking good for a hot summer ahead. The Ohio, Tennessee, and other larger rivers of the Southeast are currently free of dry conditions. But these rivers lack a snow pack source and will be subject to rapid drying as the summer heat comes on. The Sacramento and west coast rivers are ok..backed up by good snowpack.
I'm actually curious to know if there is evidence for lower groundwater supplies in western WA/OR after a water year with 80-90% of normal precipitation vs. one with 110-120% of normal. I've always assumed that the groundwater supply fully recharges in winter.
Completely different story east of the Cascades, obviously.
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i will personally make sure this happens
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